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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Burambi

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,007–4,955

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,724–5,651

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 44% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,007 and 4,955 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,724 and 5,651 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Burambi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 44% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,007 and 4,955 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,724 and 5,651 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 9,547); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,946–3,797 3,270 2,767–5,092 3,790 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,973–4,385 3,430 2,764–5,585 4,078 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,007–4,955 3,469 2,741–7,581 4,235 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,990–5,258 3,485 2,811–9,460 4,314 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,724–5,651 3,390 2,512–9,547 3,822 –
Price history (64 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,992
Jun 20263,250
May 20265,320
Apr 20263,750
Mar 20262,974
Feb 20263,189
Jan 20262,937
Dec 20252,942
Nov 20253,134
Oct 20253,260
Sept 20252,817
Aug 20253,000
Jul 20253,062
Jun 20252,835
May 20252,940
Apr 20253,140
Mar 20253,347
Feb 20253,214
Jan 20252,942
Dec 20243,533
Nov 20242,835
Oct 20243,182
Sept 20242,888
Aug 20242,951
Jul 20242,615
Jun 20242,500
May 20242,833
Apr 20243,150
Mar 20242,525
Feb 20242,800
Jan 20242,900
Dec 20233,000
Nov 20232,885
Oct 20232,907
Sept 20232,846
Aug 20232,662
Jul 20232,500
Jun 20232,750
May 20233,200
Apr 20233,378
Mar 20233,154
Feb 20232,679
Jan 20232,000
Dec 20221,945
Nov 20222,179
Oct 20221,819
Sept 20221,625
Aug 20221,532
May 20221,700
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,233
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,225
Apr 20211,536
Mar 20211,542
Feb 20211,411
Jan 20211,600
Dec 20201,767
Nov 20201,750
Oct 20201,475
Sept 20201,492
Aug 20201,390
Jul 20201,287
Jun 20201,378

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-3047-829-retail-kg.