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Food basket in Burambi

Rumonge, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

36,750–53,274

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

36,345–62,461

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 38,555 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 36,750 and 53,274 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 36,345 and 62,461 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Burambi: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 38,555 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 36,750 and 53,274 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 36,345 and 62,461 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,00080,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 89,322); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 36,056–46,024 40,650 34,021–50,550
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 37,103–49,792 42,563 34,626–56,447
Nov 2026
Next month		 36,750–53,274 42,910 34,059–61,707
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 36,486–59,235 43,463 33,450–82,641
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 36,345–62,461 43,648 33,597–89,322
Cost history (63 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202638,555
Jun 202641,378
May 202647,285
Apr 202638,760
Feb 202643,515
Jan 202641,670
Dec 202541,061
Nov 202538,967
Oct 202539,525
Sept 202534,634
Aug 202542,300
Jul 202538,272
Jun 202540,215
May 202541,110
Apr 202541,000
Mar 202540,809
Feb 202540,778
Jan 202541,630
Dec 202439,144
Nov 202437,997
Oct 202437,541
Sept 202433,890
Aug 202435,954
Jul 202435,900
Jun 202436,957
May 202435,290
Apr 202435,196
Mar 202435,850
Feb 202434,848
Jan 202436,637
Dec 202333,195
Nov 202336,517
Oct 202337,132
Sept 202336,007
Aug 202336,751
Jul 202335,688
Jun 202334,386
May 202335,227
Apr 202334,267
Mar 202332,167
Feb 202333,170
Jan 202332,925
Dec 202227,376
Nov 202227,645
Oct 202225,410
Sept 202224,200
Aug 202221,780
May 202221,675
Apr 202218,315
Mar 202218,129
Feb 202218,837
Jan 202218,616
Apr 202114,525
Mar 202114,959
Feb 202117,152
Jan 202115,500
Dec 202015,193
Nov 202015,697
Oct 202014,576
Sept 202013,087
Aug 202014,115
Jul 202014,342
Jun 202014,649

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620