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Millet in Koulikoro Ba

Koulikoro, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

176–289

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

157–352

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 20% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 176 and 289 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 157 and 352 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Koulikoro Ba: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 20% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 176 and 289 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 157 and 352 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 631); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 189–266 207 183–295 333 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 183–284 208 183–336 333 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 176–289 204 167–311 342 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 166–340 202 157–618 312 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 157–352 197 139–631 288 –
Price history (276 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026200
Jul 2026250
Jun 2026250
May 2026250
Apr 2026250
Mar 2026250
Feb 2026250
Jan 2026225
Dec 2025225
Oct 2025225
Sept 2025238
Aug 2025267
Jul 2025289
Jun 2025300
May 2025300
Apr 2025300
Mar 2025275
Feb 2025300
Jan 2025275
Dec 2024340
Nov 2024350
Oct 2024390
Sept 2024363
Aug 2024365
Jul 2024348
Jun 2024304
May 2024285
Apr 2024285
Mar 2024285
Jan 2024280
Nov 2023300
Oct 2023304
Sept 2023308
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023299
Jun 2023300
May 2023303
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023350
Feb 2023350
Dec 2022340
Nov 2022398
Oct 2022446
Sept 2022429
Aug 2022413
Jul 2022402
Jun 2022410
May 2022380
Apr 2022376
Mar 2022295
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022250
Dec 2021249
Nov 2021245
Oct 2021200
Sept 2021210
Aug 2021202
Jul 2021190
Jun 2021190
May 2021195
Apr 2021196
Mar 2021200
Feb 2021193
Jan 2021187
Dec 2020216
Nov 2020225
Oct 2020225
Sept 2020225
Aug 2020205
Jul 2020200
Jun 2020200
May 2020200
Apr 2020200
Mar 2020200
Feb 2020200
Jan 2020200
Dec 2019200
Nov 2019200
Oct 2019200
Sept 2019200
Aug 2019200
Jul 2019200
Jun 2019200
May 2019200
Apr 2019200
Mar 2019190
Feb 2019193
Jan 2019221
Dec 2018209
Nov 2018221
Oct 2018242
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018247
Jun 2018250
May 2018250
Apr 2018235
Mar 2018225
Feb 2018219
Jan 2018200
Dec 2017227
Nov 2017248
Oct 2017252
Sept 2017243
Aug 2017213
Jul 2017211
Jun 2017209
May 2017196
Apr 2017174
Mar 2017173
Feb 2017175
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016183
Nov 2016200
Oct 2016191
Sept 2016194
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016200
Jun 2016180
May 2016175
Apr 2016173
Mar 2016177
Feb 2016175
Jan 2016175
Dec 2015184
Nov 2015186
Oct 2015207
Aug 2015209
Jul 2015210
Jun 2015205
May 2015165
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015158
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015183
Dec 2014198
Nov 2014195
Oct 2014202
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014207
Jul 2014218
Jun 2014225
May 2014225
Apr 2014225
Mar 2014225
Feb 2014225
Jan 2014225
Dec 2013215
Nov 2013215
Oct 2013225
Sept 2013225
Aug 2013225
Jul 2013225
Jun 2013225
May 2013225
Apr 2013225
Mar 2013225
Feb 2013225
Jan 2013225
Nov 2012300
Oct 2012317
Sept 2012300
Aug 2012300
Jul 2012300
Jun 2012300
May 2012300
Apr 2012282
Mar 2012242
Feb 2012230
Jan 2012207
Dec 2011225
Oct 2011179
Sept 2011162
Aug 2011165
Jul 2011165
Jun 2011155
May 2011148
Apr 2011145
Mar 2011150
Feb 2011150
Jan 2011153
Dec 2010158
Nov 2010158
Oct 2010172
Sept 2010186
Aug 2010187
Jul 2010175
Jun 2010175
May 2010170
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010175
Jan 2010183
Dec 2009182
Nov 2009184
Oct 2009200
Sept 2009200
Aug 2009197
Jul 2009184
Jun 2009175
May 2009165
Apr 2009164
Mar 2009171
Feb 2009159
Jan 2009148
Dec 2008151
Nov 2008171
Oct 2008178
Sept 2008185
Aug 2008180
Jul 2008186
Jun 2008161
May 2008150
Apr 2008140
Mar 2008150
Feb 2008146
Jan 2008142
Dec 2007142
Nov 2007149
Oct 2007149
Sept 2007150
Aug 2007149
Jul 2007142
Jun 2007128
May 2007126
Apr 2007129
Mar 2007129
Feb 2007130
Jan 2007126
Dec 2006127
Nov 2006142
Oct 2006144
Sept 2006154
Aug 2006156
Jul 2006149
Jun 2006150
May 2006149
Apr 2006148
Mar 2006142
Feb 2006128
Jan 2006125
Dec 2005122
Nov 2005134
Oct 2005201
Sept 2005249
Aug 2005226
Jul 2005233
Jun 2005207
May 2005193
Apr 2005175
Mar 2005175
Feb 2005139
Jan 2005125
Dec 2004125
Nov 2004132
Oct 2004127
Sept 200493.6
Aug 200497.4
Jul 200496.1
Jun 200498.2
May 200497.3
Apr 200497.5
Feb 200499.6
Jan 200499.3
Dec 200396.6
Nov 2003116
Oct 2003172
Sept 2003173
Aug 2003174
Jul 2003179
Jun 2003177
May 2003173
Apr 2003165
Mar 2003155
Feb 2003156
Jan 2003160

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-251-73-retail-kg.