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Millet in Mopti Digue

Mopti, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

208–330

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

199–336

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 208 and 330 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 336 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Mopti Digue: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 208 and 330 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 199 and 336 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 234–293 251 193–320 342 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 213–312 250 182–340 336 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 208–330 248 195–422 323 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 191–342 244 161–434 309 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 199–336 240 187–377 304 –
Price history (275 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026250
Jul 2026250
Jun 2026250
May 2026250
Apr 2026238
Mar 2026250
Feb 2026250
Jan 2026250
Dec 2025275
Oct 2025250
Sept 2025275
Aug 2025294
Jul 2025300
Jun 2025300
May 2025325
Apr 2025350
Mar 2025373
Feb 2025354
Jan 2025335
Dec 2024325
Nov 2024363
Oct 2024400
Sept 2024400
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024399
Jun 2024344
May 2024300
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024292
Jan 2024250
Nov 2023250
Oct 2023269
Sept 2023275
Aug 2023285
Jul 2023294
Jun 2023275
May 2023294
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023300
Dec 2022300
Nov 2022363
Oct 2022413
Sept 2022416
Aug 2022400
Jul 2022400
Jun 2022385
May 2022400
Apr 2022380
Mar 2022330
Feb 2022319
Jan 2022281
Dec 2021275
Nov 2021256
Oct 2021225
Sept 2021225
Aug 2021200
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021200
May 2021200
Apr 2021200
Mar 2021200
Feb 2021200
Jan 2021200
Dec 2020200
Nov 2020200
Oct 2020223
Sept 2020225
Aug 2020213
Jul 2020200
Jun 2020200
May 2020175
Apr 2020175
Mar 2020175
Feb 2020175
Jan 2020175
Dec 2019175
Nov 2019175
Oct 2019200
Sept 2019200
Aug 2019200
Jul 2019200
Jun 2019200
May 2019200
Apr 2019200
Mar 2019200
Feb 2019200
Jan 2019221
Dec 2018200
Nov 2018221
Oct 2018250
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018250
May 2018250
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018237
Dec 2017230
Nov 2017249
Oct 2017267
Sept 2017275
Aug 2017256
Jul 2017240
Jun 2017231
May 2017225
Apr 2017219
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017200
Jan 2017200
Dec 2016200
Nov 2016200
Oct 2016200
Sept 2016200
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016200
Jun 2016200
May 2016200
Apr 2016200
Mar 2016197
Feb 2016199
Jan 2016197
Dec 2015199
Nov 2015200
Oct 2015200
Aug 2015200
Jul 2015200
Jun 2015200
May 2015200
Apr 2015185
Mar 2015200
Feb 2015200
Jan 2015195
Dec 2014200
Nov 2014200
Oct 2014200
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014206
Jul 2014225
Jun 2014206
May 2014200
Apr 2014200
Mar 2014200
Feb 2014200
Jan 2014200
Dec 2013200
Nov 2013217
Oct 2013200
Sept 2013225
Aug 2013225
Jul 2013212
Jun 2013200
May 2013200
Apr 2013200
Mar 2013200
Feb 2013200
Jan 2013200
Nov 2012265
Oct 2012273
Sept 2012271
Aug 2012291
Jul 2012290
Jun 2012286
May 2012278
Apr 2012290
Mar 2012252
Feb 2012226
Jan 2012225
Dec 2011225
Oct 2011180
Sept 2011158
Aug 2011163
Jul 2011153
Jun 2011150
May 2011150
Apr 2011150
Mar 2011150
Feb 2011150
Jan 2011150
Dec 2010148
Nov 2010145
Oct 2010153
Sept 2010171
Aug 2010182
Jul 2010178
Jun 2010175
May 2010175
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010175
Jan 2010175
Dec 2009168
Nov 2009170
Oct 2009182
Sept 2009206
Aug 2009201
Jul 2009191
Jun 2009181
May 2009178
Apr 2009175
Mar 2009175
Feb 2009175
Jan 2009162
Dec 2008150
Nov 2008163
Oct 2008175
Sept 2008180
Aug 2008180
Jul 2008185
Jun 2008160
May 2008152
Apr 2008140
Mar 2008140
Feb 2008140
Jan 2008131
Dec 2007125
Nov 2007125
Oct 2007125
Sept 2007125
Aug 2007125
Jul 2007125
Jun 2007125
May 2007125
Apr 2007125
Mar 2007125
Feb 2007125
Jan 2007118
Dec 2006120
Nov 2006127
Oct 2006140
Sept 2006163
Aug 2006163
Jul 2006165
Jun 2006163
May 2006166
Apr 2006166
Mar 2006164
Feb 2006155
Jan 2006145
Dec 2005149
Nov 2005173
Oct 2005193
Sept 2005232
Aug 2005222
Jul 2005220
Jun 2005206
Apr 2005170
Mar 2005163
Feb 2005149
Jan 2005133
Dec 2004130
Nov 2004128
Oct 2004126
Sept 200497.2
Aug 200498.8
Jul 2004100
Jun 200498.7
May 200492.9
Apr 200490
Mar 200487.6
Feb 200494.5
Jan 200497.4
Dec 2003106
Nov 2003125
Oct 2003150
Sept 2003161
Aug 2003171
Jul 2003178
Jun 2003179
May 2003181
Apr 2003182
Mar 2003182
Feb 2003181
Jan 2003180

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-252-73-retail-kg.