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Food basket in Bankass

Mopti, Mali · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,804–3,221

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,729–3,226

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,352 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,804 and 3,221 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,729 and 3,226 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Bankass: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,352 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,804 and 3,221 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,729 and 3,226 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,055–2,868 2,348 1,958–3,242
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,910–3,021 2,332 1,850–3,870
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,804–3,221 2,262 1,702–4,598
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,697–3,293 2,187 1,558–4,432
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,729–3,226 2,202 1,514–3,713
Cost history (210 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 20262,352
Jul 20262,426
Jun 20262,316
May 20262,175
Apr 20262,093
Mar 20262,469
Feb 20262,268
Jan 20262,250
Dec 20252,442
Oct 20252,136
Sept 20252,568
Aug 20252,652
May 20253,144
Apr 20253,276
Mar 20253,300
Feb 20253,540
Jan 20253,300
Oct 20244,020
Sept 20243,936
Aug 20244,032
Jul 20244,188
Jun 20243,468
May 20243,120
Apr 20243,120
Mar 20243,036
Feb 20242,580
Jan 20242,460
Dec 20232,448
Nov 20232,640
Oct 20232,616
Sept 20232,856
Aug 20232,640
Jul 20232,388
Jun 20232,400
May 20232,664
Apr 20233,192
Mar 20233,180
Feb 20233,276
Jan 20232,676
Nov 20222,814
Oct 20224,008
Sept 20224,380
Aug 20224,248
Jul 20224,008
Jun 20223,912
May 20224,176
Apr 20223,828
Mar 20223,300
Feb 20223,156
Jan 20222,688
Nov 20212,508
Oct 20212,256
Sept 20212,160
Aug 20212,136
Jul 20212,016
Jun 20212,136
May 20212,160
Apr 20212,115
Mar 20212,040
Feb 20211,860
Jan 20211,800
Nov 20201,968
Oct 20201,896
Sept 20201,968
Aug 20202,052
Jul 20201,848
Jun 20201,788
May 20201,776
Apr 20201,632
Mar 20201,620
Feb 20201,500
Jan 20201,500
Nov 20191,560
Oct 20191,524
Sept 20191,632
Aug 20191,680
Jul 20191,680
Jun 20191,800
May 20191,836
Apr 20191,836
Mar 20191,824
Feb 20191,944
Jan 20191,872
Dec 20181,764
Nov 20181,875
Oct 20182,052
Sept 20182,496
Aug 20182,520
Jul 20182,436
Jun 20182,484
May 20182,472
Apr 20182,400
Mar 20182,472
Feb 20182,532
Jan 20182,304
Dec 20172,112
Nov 20172,184
Oct 20172,448
Sept 20172,604
Aug 20172,544
Jul 20172,385
Jun 20172,316
May 20172,292
Apr 20172,148
Mar 20172,088
Feb 20171,992
Jan 20171,884
Dec 20161,764
Nov 20161,992
Oct 20161,980
Sept 20161,980
Aug 20161,920
Jul 20161,968
Jun 20161,980
May 20161,932
Apr 20161,920
Mar 20161,920
Feb 20161,800
Jan 20161,692
Dec 20151,776
Nov 20151,776
Oct 20151,800
Aug 20151,812
Jul 20151,968
Jun 20152,028
May 20151,908
Apr 20151,800
Mar 20151,716
Feb 20151,848
Jan 20151,716
Dec 20141,860
Nov 20141,884
Oct 20141,920
Sept 20141,908
Aug 20141,890
Jul 20142,076
Jun 20141,980
May 20141,960
Apr 20141,896
Mar 20141,896
Feb 20141,980
Jan 20141,932
Dec 20131,920
Nov 20132,040
Oct 20131,920
Sept 20131,740
Aug 20132,055
Jul 20132,124
Sept 20122,616
Aug 20122,616
Jul 20123,108
Jun 20123,000
Nov 20111,800
Oct 20111,620
Sept 20111,240
Aug 20111,455
Jul 20111,500
Jun 20111,440
May 20111,440
Apr 20111,440
Mar 20111,452
Feb 20111,440
Jan 20111,335
Dec 20101,275
Nov 20101,164
Oct 20101,308
Sept 20101,395
Aug 20101,584
Jul 20101,740
Jun 20101,620
May 20101,580
Apr 20101,680
Feb 20101,665
Jan 20101,620
Dec 20091,464
Nov 20091,515
Oct 20091,488
Sept 20091,725
Aug 20092,040
Jul 20091,890
Jun 20091,752
May 20091,640
Apr 20091,605
Mar 20091,620
Feb 20091,650
Jan 20091,515
Dec 20081,260
Nov 20081,050
Oct 20081,260
Sept 20081,545
Aug 20081,650
Jul 20081,620
Jun 20081,500
May 20081,455
Apr 20081,260
Mar 20081,290
Feb 20081,305
Jan 20081,152
Dec 20071,035
Nov 20071,050
Oct 2007975
Sept 20071,035
Aug 20071,170
Jul 20071,164
Jun 20071,140
May 20071,110
Apr 20071,140
Mar 20071,170
Feb 20071,200
Jan 2007984

Track record of the basket forecasts in Mali

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 77% 92% 4% 2,201
Estimate (this month) 76% 92% 7% 2,200
Next month 75% 93% 11% 2,205
In 2 months 74% 94% 16% 2,188
In 3 months 73% 94% 19% 2,189