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Millet in Djikoroni

Bamako, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

227–354

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

204–410

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 204 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Djikoroni: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 17% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 354 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 204 and 410 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 643); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 240–320 256 228–348 393 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 234–339 258 220–380 396 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 227–354 257 196–416 391 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 215–385 252 188–549 363 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 204–410 248 167–643 334 –
Price history (214 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026250
Jul 2026300
Jun 2026300
May 2026300
Apr 2026300
Mar 2026300
Feb 2026300
Jan 2026300
Dec 2025300
Oct 2025350
Sept 2025320
Aug 2025350
Jul 2025350
Jun 2025350
May 2025350
Apr 2025350
Mar 2025331
Feb 2025350
Jan 2025331
Dec 2024380
Nov 2024413
Oct 2024420
Sept 2024400
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024380
Jun 2024300
May 2024300
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024300
Jan 2024300
Nov 2023313
Oct 2023330
Sept 2023350
Aug 2023350
Jul 2023350
Jun 2023350
May 2023370
Apr 2023375
Mar 2023375
Feb 2023375
Dec 2022400
Nov 2022400
Oct 2022438
Sept 2022450
Aug 2022425
Jul 2022425
Jun 2022419
May 2022435
Apr 2022388
Mar 2022335
Feb 2022319
Jan 2022300
Dec 2021300
Nov 2021245
Oct 2021250
Sept 2021250
Aug 2021245
Jul 2021225
Jun 2021240
May 2021225
Apr 2021225
Mar 2021225
Feb 2021206
Jan 2021206
Dec 2020225
Nov 2020244
Oct 2020250
Sept 2020250
Aug 2020225
Jul 2020200
Jun 2020200
May 2020200
Apr 2020200
Mar 2020200
Feb 2020200
Jan 2020200
Dec 2019200
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018250
May 2018255
Apr 2018256
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018250
Dec 2017256
Nov 2017275
Oct 2017275
Sept 2017275
Aug 2017255
Jul 2017250
Jun 2017250
May 2017250
Apr 2017225
Mar 2017225
Feb 2017219
Jan 2017200
Dec 2016213
Nov 2016235
Oct 2016225
Sept 2016225
Aug 2016225
Jul 2016225
Jun 2016225
May 2016225
Apr 2016225
Mar 2016225
Feb 2016213
Jan 2016213
Dec 2015225
Nov 2015225
Oct 2015225
Aug 2015225
Jul 2015225
Jun 2015225
May 2015225
Apr 2015225
Mar 2015208
Feb 2015225
Jan 2015225
Dec 2014225
Nov 2014225
Oct 2014225
Sept 2014225
Aug 2014225
Jul 2014225
Jun 2014225
May 2014225
Apr 2014225
Mar 2014233
Feb 2014228
Jan 2014225
Dec 2013225
Nov 2013225
Oct 2013225
Sept 2013225
Aug 2013225
Jul 2013225
Jun 2013225
May 2013225
Apr 2013225
Mar 2013250
Feb 2013248
Jan 2013240
Nov 2012300
Oct 2012325
Sept 2012325
Aug 2012325
Jul 2012315
Jun 2012306
May 2012310
Apr 2012312
Mar 2012281
Feb 2012256
Jan 2012255
Nov 2011200
Oct 2011194
Sept 2011181
Aug 2011178
Jul 2011179
Jun 2011178
May 2011175
Apr 2011175
Mar 2011176
Feb 2011175
Jan 2011175
Dec 2010175
Nov 2010175
Oct 2010188
Sept 2010200
Aug 2010195
Jul 2010200
Jun 2010185
May 2010181
Apr 2010194
Mar 2010190
Feb 2010195
Jan 2010200
Dec 2009198
Nov 2009225
Oct 2009210
Sept 2009228
Aug 2009206
Jul 2009200
Jun 2009195
May 2009175
Apr 2009175
Mar 2009175
Feb 2009175
Jan 2009175
Dec 2008175
Nov 2008194
Oct 2008188
Sept 2008200
Aug 2008198
Jul 2008195
Jun 2008175
May 2008150
Apr 2008150
Mar 2008150
Feb 2008150
Jan 2008150
Dec 2007150
Nov 2007150
Oct 2007150
Sept 2007150
Aug 2007150
Jul 2007145
Jun 2007148
May 2007150
Apr 2007150
Mar 2007150
Feb 2007150
Jan 2007150

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-872-73-retail-kg.