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Millet in Dogofri

Segou, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

221–344

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

200–361

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 221 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 200 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Dogofri: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 221 and 344 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 200 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 244–316 263 242–322 384 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 232–336 263 218–432 373 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 221–344 261 217–438 357 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 204–338 251 183–354 329 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 200–361 246 172–413 317 –
Price history (201 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026260
Jul 2026290
Jun 2026290
May 2026290
Apr 2026290
Mar 2026290
Feb 2026290
Jan 2026290
Dec 2025290
Oct 2025300
Sept 2025306
Aug 2025330
Jul 2025335
Jun 2025335
May 2025346
Apr 2025350
Mar 2025331
Feb 2025344
Jan 2025331
Dec 2024335
Nov 2024360
Oct 2024396
Sept 2024400
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024378
Jun 2024344
May 2024300
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024300
Jan 2024270
Nov 2023280
Oct 2023300
Sept 2023303
Aug 2023325
Jul 2023313
Jun 2023283
May 2023300
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023325
Feb 2023325
Dec 2022330
Nov 2022347
Oct 2022438
Sept 2022450
Aug 2022400
Jul 2022395
Jun 2022390
May 2022400
Apr 2022394
Mar 2022323
Feb 2022284
Jan 2022268
Dec 2021273
Nov 2021265
Oct 2021250
Sept 2021250
Aug 2021240
Jul 2021214
Jun 2021200
May 2021200
Apr 2021200
Mar 2021200
Feb 2021188
Jan 2021175
Dec 2020175
Nov 2020194
Oct 2020213
Sept 2020225
Aug 2020213
Jul 2020175
Jun 2020175
May 2020175
Apr 2020175
Mar 2020175
Feb 2020175
Jan 2020175
Dec 2019175
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018250
May 2018250
Apr 2018250
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018237
Jan 2018200
Dec 2017200
Nov 2017218
Oct 2017225
Sept 2017250
Aug 2017250
Jul 2017225
Jun 2017225
May 2017219
Apr 2017200
Mar 2017200
Feb 2017188
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016175
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016175
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016175
May 2016175
Apr 2016150
Mar 2016150
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016150
Dec 2015155
Nov 2015166
Oct 2015200
Aug 2015200
Jul 2015200
Jun 2015200
May 2015194
Apr 2015175
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015165
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014179
Oct 2014200
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014200
Jul 2014202
Jun 2014198
May 2014192
Apr 2014176
Mar 2014180
Feb 2014180
Jan 2014183
Dec 2013185
Nov 2013188
Oct 2013183
Sept 2013185
Aug 2013188
Jul 2013180
Sept 2012290
Aug 2012294
Jul 2012291
Jun 2012291
Nov 2011198
Oct 2011184
Sept 2011154
Aug 2011152
Jul 2011150
Jun 2011146
May 2011134
Apr 2011130
Mar 2011130
Feb 2011129
Jan 2011131
Dec 2010131
Nov 2010120
Oct 2010128
Sept 2010141
Aug 2010160
Jul 2010156
Jun 2010145
May 2010138
Apr 2010140
Mar 2010138
Feb 2010141
Jan 2010148
Dec 2009153
Nov 2009155
Oct 2009182
Sept 2009199
Aug 2009191
Jul 2009181
Jun 2009180
May 2009162
Apr 2009160
Mar 2009155
Feb 2009156
Jan 2009153
Dec 2008137
Nov 2008148
Oct 2008177
Sept 2008178
Aug 2008172
Jul 2008169
Jun 2008154
May 2008140
Apr 2008131
Mar 2008129
Feb 2008135
Jan 2008129
Dec 2007126
Nov 2007129
Oct 2007121
Sept 2007118
Aug 2007124
Jul 2007119
Jun 2007112
May 2007113
Apr 2007115
Mar 2007114
Feb 2007112
Jan 2007109

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-873-73-retail-kg.