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Maize in Koulikoro Gare

Koulikoro, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

182–248

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

174–256

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 58 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 182 and 248 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 174 and 256 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize, Koulikoro Gare: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 58 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 182 and 248 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 174 and 256 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 206–238 219 189–259 286 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 196–245 217 189–284 277 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 182–248 212 165–326 262 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 180–253 209 170–332 256 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 174–256 209 147–302 254 –
Price history (228 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026220
Jul 2026220
Jun 2026220
May 2026220
Apr 2026220
Mar 2026220
Feb 2026220
Jan 2026220
Dec 2025220
Oct 2025215
Sept 2025218
Aug 2025250
Jul 2025250
Jun 2025265
May 2025273
Apr 2025275
Mar 2025250
Feb 2025275
Jan 2025250
Dec 2024259
Nov 2024250
Oct 2024300
Sept 2024306
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024284
Jun 2024255
May 2024238
Apr 2024225
Mar 2024225
Jan 2024229
Nov 2023244
Oct 2023263
Sept 2023265
Aug 2023250
Jul 2023250
Jun 2023250
May 2023275
Apr 2023275
Mar 2023275
Feb 2023275
Dec 2022255
Nov 2022260
Oct 2022300
Sept 2022338
Aug 2022346
Jul 2022353
Jun 2022360
May 2022360
Apr 2022361
Mar 2022291
Feb 2022263
Jan 2022250
Dec 2021246
Nov 2021228
Oct 2021236
Sept 2021230
Aug 2021234
Jul 2021225
Jun 2021220
May 2021220
Apr 2021218
Mar 2021215
Feb 2021193
Jan 2021178
Dec 2020175
Nov 2020188
Oct 2020200
Sept 2020175
Aug 2020175
Jul 2020175
Jun 2020175
May 2020175
Apr 2020175
Mar 2020168
Feb 2020150
Jan 2020150
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019150
Oct 2019150
Sept 2019175
Aug 2019175
Jul 2019175
Jun 2019175
May 2019175
Apr 2019175
Mar 2019175
Feb 2019175
Jan 2019175
Dec 2018175
Nov 2018175
Oct 2018209
Sept 2018250
Aug 2018231
Jul 2018225
Jun 2018225
May 2018225
Apr 2018220
Mar 2018201
Feb 2018200
Jan 2018200
Dec 2017188
Nov 2017194
Oct 2017200
Sept 2017200
Aug 2017409Data error
Jul 2017195
Jun 2017191
May 2017188
Apr 2017175
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017175
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016175
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016175
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016188
Jun 2016175
May 2016175
Apr 2016175
Mar 2016175
Feb 2016175
Jan 2016175
Dec 2015175
Nov 2015175
Oct 2015194
Aug 2015188
Jul 2015175
Jun 2015175
May 2015175
Apr 2015175
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015175
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014175
Oct 2014175
Sept 2014175
Aug 2014174
Jul 2014175
Jun 2014175
May 2014175
Apr 2014175
Mar 2014175
Feb 2014175
Jan 2014175
Dec 2013175
Nov 2013175
Oct 2013200
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013200
Jul 2013200
Jun 2013200
May 2013200
Apr 2013200
Mar 2013200
Feb 2013200
Jan 2013184
Nov 2012200
Oct 2012233
Sept 2012255
Aug 2012250
Jul 2012288
Jun 2012258
May 2012275
Apr 2012256
Mar 2012236
Feb 2012240
Jan 2012225
Oct 2011225
Sept 2011195
Aug 2011192
Jul 2011175
Jun 2011175
May 2011175
Apr 2011175
Mar 2011175
Feb 2011175
Jan 2011175
Dec 2010150
Nov 2010152
Oct 2010175
Sept 2010173
Aug 2010175
Jul 2010175
Jun 2010175
May 2010175
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010175
Jan 2010175
Dec 2009173
Nov 2009175
Oct 2009180
Sept 2009190
Aug 2009191
Jul 2009182
Jun 2009175
May 2009175
Apr 2009175
Mar 2009175
Feb 2009175
Jan 2009175
Dec 2008173
Nov 2008173
Oct 2008188
Sept 2008196
Aug 2008190
Jul 2008195
Jun 2008177
May 2008165
Apr 2008150
Mar 2008150
Feb 2008147
Jan 2008146
Dec 2007143
Nov 2007150
Oct 2007150
Sept 2007150
Aug 2007150
Jul 2007138
Jun 2007127
May 2007129
Apr 2007129
Mar 2007125
Feb 2007125
Jan 2007125

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-882-51-retail-kg.