Staple Signals Français

Home › Mali

Millet in Koury

Sikasso, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

163–341

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

152–336

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 163 and 341 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 152 and 336 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Koury: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 163 and 341 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 152 and 336 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 643); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 202–285 232 187–354 337 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 184–311 228 176–501 325 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 163–341 213 126–587 284 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 158–360 206 137–643 271 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 152–336 202 111–424 263 –
Price history (209 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026231
Jul 2026206
Jun 2026219
May 2026225
Apr 2026225
Mar 2026210
Feb 2026210
Jan 2026238
Dec 2025188
Oct 2025231
Sept 2025250
Aug 2025263
Jul 2025275
Jun 2025250
May 2025263
Apr 2025319
Mar 2025331
Feb 2025350
Jan 2025331
Dec 2024325
Nov 2024356
Oct 2024400
Sept 2024400
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024330
Jun 2024288
May 2024250
Apr 2024250
Mar 2024250
Jan 2024225
Nov 2023250
Oct 2023260
Sept 2023300
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023270
Jun 2023275
May 2023300
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023300
Feb 2023300
Dec 2022250
Nov 2022325
Oct 2022390
Sept 2022400
Aug 2022400
Jul 2022388
Jun 2022400
May 2022387
Apr 2022359
Mar 2022300
Feb 2022300
Jan 2022260
Dec 2021238
Nov 2021240
Oct 2021200
Sept 2021200
Aug 2021200
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021194
May 2021175
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021175
Feb 2021175
Jan 2021150
Dec 2020175
Nov 2020185
Oct 2020225
Sept 2020225
Aug 2020215
Jul 2020184
Jun 2020175
May 2020163
Apr 2020150
Mar 2020150
Feb 2020150
Jan 2020150
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019110
Jul 2019125
Jun 2019125
Mar 2019130
Feb 2019130
Jan 2019125
Nov 2018125
Oct 2018200
Sept 2018200
Aug 2018250
Jul 2018250
Jun 2018250
May 2018250
Apr 2018240
Mar 2018225
Feb 2018225
Jan 2018205
Dec 2017187
Nov 2017225
Oct 2017240
Sept 2017250
Aug 2017231
Jul 2017225
Jun 2017225
May 2017200
Apr 2017194
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017175
Jan 2017175
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016196
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016183
Aug 2016185
Jul 2016185
Jun 2016185
May 2016183
Apr 2016175
Mar 2016175
Feb 2016175
Jan 2016175
Dec 2015169
Nov 2015168
Oct 2015175
Aug 2015175
Jul 2015175
Jun 2015175
May 2015159
Apr 2015175
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015150
Jan 2015150
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014175
Oct 2014200
Sept 2014188
Aug 2014175
Jul 2014175
Jun 2014175
May 2014175
Apr 2014175
Mar 2014175
Feb 2014175
Jan 2014175
Dec 2013200
Nov 2013200
Oct 2013200
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013199
Jul 2013200
Sept 2012275
Aug 2012275
Jul 2012275
Jun 2012275
Oct 2011175
Sept 2011175
Aug 2011175
Jul 2011172
Jun 2011151
May 2011150
Apr 2011150
Mar 2011150
Feb 2011150
Jan 2011150
Dec 2010144
Nov 2010144
Oct 2010150
Sept 2010150
Aug 2010168
Jul 2010175
Jun 2010155
May 2010150
Apr 2010150
Mar 2010150
Feb 2010150
Jan 2010150
Dec 2009150
Nov 2009169
Oct 2009178
Sept 2009198
Aug 2009178
Jul 2009175
Jun 2009165
May 2009150
Apr 2009150
Mar 2009150
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009142
Dec 2008125
Nov 2008155
Oct 2008155
Sept 2008175
Aug 2008174
Jul 2008164
Jun 2008146
May 2008134
Apr 2008122
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008125
Jan 2008125
Dec 2007124
Nov 2007125
Oct 2007125
Sept 2007124
Aug 2007125
Jul 2007125
Jun 2007125
May 2007106
Apr 2007125
Mar 2007123
Feb 2007118
Jan 2007108

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-885-73-retail-kg.