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Food basket in Koury

Sikasso, Mali · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,950–4,089

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,825–4,037

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,775 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,950 and 4,089 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,825 and 4,037 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Koury: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,775 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,950 and 4,089 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,825 and 4,037 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,721); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,426–3,423 2,781 2,244–4,249
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,208–3,732 2,735 2,107–6,009
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,950–4,089 2,556 1,514–7,045
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,890–4,321 2,477 1,638–7,721
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,825–4,037 2,428 1,335–5,086
Cost history (209 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 20262,775
Jul 20262,475
Jun 20262,628
May 20262,700
Apr 20262,700
Mar 20262,520
Feb 20262,520
Jan 20262,850
Dec 20252,250
Oct 20252,772
Sept 20253,000
Aug 20253,156
Jul 20253,300
Jun 20253,000
May 20253,156
Apr 20253,828
Mar 20253,972
Feb 20254,200
Jan 20253,972
Dec 20243,900
Nov 20244,272
Oct 20244,800
Sept 20244,800
Aug 20244,800
Jul 20243,960
Jun 20243,456
May 20243,000
Apr 20243,000
Mar 20243,000
Jan 20242,700
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20233,120
Sept 20233,600
Aug 20233,600
Jul 20233,240
Jun 20233,300
May 20233,600
Apr 20233,600
Mar 20233,600
Feb 20233,600
Dec 20223,000
Nov 20223,900
Oct 20224,680
Sept 20224,800
Aug 20224,800
Jul 20224,656
Jun 20224,800
May 20224,644
Apr 20224,308
Mar 20223,600
Feb 20223,600
Jan 20223,120
Dec 20212,856
Nov 20212,880
Oct 20212,400
Sept 20212,400
Aug 20212,400
Jul 20212,400
Jun 20212,328
May 20212,100
Apr 20212,100
Mar 20212,100
Feb 20212,100
Jan 20211,800
Dec 20202,100
Nov 20202,220
Oct 20202,700
Sept 20202,700
Aug 20202,580
Jul 20202,208
Jun 20202,100
May 20201,956
Apr 20201,800
Mar 20201,800
Feb 20201,800
Jan 20201,800
Dec 20191,800
Nov 20191,320
Jul 20191,500
Jun 20191,500
Mar 20191,560
Feb 20191,560
Jan 20191,500
Nov 20181,500
Oct 20182,400
Sept 20182,400
Aug 20183,000
Jul 20183,000
Jun 20183,000
May 20183,000
Apr 20182,880
Mar 20182,700
Feb 20182,700
Jan 20182,460
Dec 20172,244
Nov 20172,700
Oct 20172,880
Sept 20173,000
Aug 20172,772
Jul 20172,700
Jun 20172,700
May 20172,400
Apr 20172,328
Mar 20172,100
Feb 20172,100
Jan 20172,100
Dec 20162,100
Nov 20162,352
Oct 20162,100
Sept 20162,196
Aug 20162,220
Jul 20162,220
Jun 20162,220
May 20162,196
Apr 20162,100
Mar 20162,100
Feb 20162,100
Jan 20162,100
Dec 20152,028
Nov 20152,016
Oct 20152,100
Aug 20152,100
Jul 20152,100
Jun 20152,100
May 20151,908
Apr 20152,100
Mar 20152,100
Feb 20151,800
Jan 20151,800
Dec 20142,100
Nov 20142,100
Oct 20142,400
Sept 20142,256
Aug 20142,100
Jul 20142,100
Jun 20142,100
May 20142,100
Apr 20142,100
Mar 20142,100
Feb 20142,100
Jan 20142,100
Dec 20132,400
Nov 20132,400
Oct 20132,400
Sept 20132,400
Aug 20132,385
Jul 20132,400
Sept 20123,300
Aug 20123,300
Jul 20123,300
Jun 20123,300
Oct 20112,100
Sept 20112,100
Aug 20112,100
Jul 20112,063
Jun 20111,815
May 20111,800
Apr 20111,800
Mar 20111,800
Feb 20111,800
Jan 20111,800
Dec 20101,725
Nov 20101,730
Oct 20101,800
Sept 20101,800
Aug 20102,018
Jul 20102,100
Jun 20101,860
May 20101,800
Apr 20101,800
Mar 20101,800
Feb 20101,800
Jan 20101,800
Dec 20091,800
Nov 20092,025
Oct 20092,142
Sept 20092,370
Aug 20092,130
Jul 20092,100
Jun 20091,980
May 20091,800
Apr 20091,800
Mar 20091,800
Feb 20091,800
Jan 20091,700
Dec 20081,500
Nov 20081,857
Oct 20081,857
Sept 20082,096
Aug 20082,088
Jul 20081,970
Jun 20081,752
May 20081,613
Apr 20081,470
Mar 20081,500
Feb 20081,500
Jan 20081,500
Dec 20071,488
Nov 20071,500
Oct 20071,500
Sept 20071,492
Aug 20071,500
Jul 20071,500
Jun 20071,500
May 20071,275
Apr 20071,500
Mar 20071,478
Feb 20071,418
Jan 20071,302

Track record of the basket forecasts in Mali

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 77% 92% 4% 2,201
Estimate (this month) 76% 92% 7% 2,200
Next month 75% 93% 11% 2,205
In 2 months 74% 94% 16% 2,188
In 3 months 73% 94% 19% 2,189