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Millet in Loulouni

Sikasso, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 47% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

184–349

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

178–334

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 47% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 184 and 349 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 178 and 334 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Loulouni: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 47% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 184 and 349 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 178 and 334 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 194–323 220 176–407 407 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 187–353 220 163–426 409 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 184–349 219 149–386 413 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 176–341 214 154–365 398 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 178–334 213 172–389 360 –
Price history (211 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026200
Jul 2026285
Jun 2026290
May 2026280
Apr 2026285
Mar 2026300
Feb 2026300
Jan 2026336
Dec 2025350
Oct 2025370
Sept 2025378
Aug 2025376
Jul 2025351
Jun 2025390
May 2025394
Apr 2025400
Mar 2025356
Feb 2025391
Jan 2025356
Dec 2024390
Nov 2024437
Oct 2024450
Sept 2024420
Aug 2024428
Jul 2024395
Jun 2024353
May 2024350
Apr 2024345
Mar 2024340
Jan 2024300
Nov 2023347
Oct 2023345
Sept 2023353
Aug 2023348
Jul 2023323
Jun 2023328
May 2023350
Apr 2023370
Mar 2023350
Feb 2023350
Dec 2022425
Nov 2022473
Oct 2022485
Sept 2022472
Aug 2022448
Jul 2022449
Jun 2022448
May 2022446
Apr 2022441
Mar 2022351
Feb 2022298
Jan 2022290
Dec 2021298
Nov 2021265
Oct 2021233
Sept 2021227
Aug 2021229
Jul 2021226
Jun 2021225
May 2021225
Apr 2021225
Mar 2021225
Feb 2021226
Jan 2021220
Dec 2020223
Nov 2020250
Oct 2020250
Sept 2020250
Aug 2020250
Jul 2020231
Jun 2020226
May 2020225
Apr 2020226
Mar 2020225
Feb 2020225
Jan 2020218
Dec 2019264
Nov 2019250
Jul 2019250
Jun 2019250
May 2019200
Apr 2019236
Mar 2019250
Feb 2019250
Jan 2019275
Nov 2018275
Oct 2018275
Sept 2018275
Aug 2018275
Jul 2018267
Jun 2018274
May 2018277
Apr 2018258
Mar 2018252
Feb 2018255
Jan 2018257
Dec 2017283
Nov 2017300
Oct 2017300
Sept 2017301
Aug 2017266
Jul 2017250
Jun 2017245
May 2017243
Apr 2017230
Mar 2017222
Feb 2017222
Jan 2017219
Dec 2016238
Nov 2016231
Oct 2016211
Sept 2016219
Aug 2016221
Jul 2016221
Jun 2016220
May 2016220
Apr 2016225
Mar 2016226
Feb 2016216
Jan 2016210
Dec 2015222
Nov 2015219
Oct 2015227
Aug 2015233
Jul 2015241
Jun 2015238
May 2015225
Apr 2015208
Mar 2015222
Feb 2015222
Jan 2015222
Dec 2014218
Nov 2014242
Oct 2014250
Sept 2014244
Aug 2014241
Jul 2014246
Jun 2014242
May 2014231
Apr 2014244
Mar 2014238
Feb 2014244
Jan 2014245
Dec 2013244
Nov 2013242
Oct 2013250
Sept 2013250
Aug 2013248
Jul 2013250
Sept 2012325
Aug 2012310
Jul 2012300
Jun 2012300
Oct 2011200
Sept 2011200
Aug 2011200
Jul 2011200
Jun 2011200
May 2011181
Apr 2011175
Mar 2011175
Feb 2011175
Jan 2011175
Dec 2010175
Nov 2010175
Oct 2010175
Sept 2010175
Aug 2010181
Jul 2010175
Jun 2010175
May 2010175
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010188
Jan 2010175
Dec 2009200
Nov 2009208
Oct 2009225
Sept 2009200
Aug 2009193
Jul 2009177
Jun 2009173
May 2009174
Apr 2009170
Mar 2009152
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009149
Dec 2008150
Nov 2008189
Oct 2008180
Sept 2008187
Aug 2008175
Jul 2008175
Jun 2008150
May 2008150
Apr 2008150
Mar 2008150
Feb 2008150
Jan 2008150
Dec 2007150
Nov 2007140
Oct 2007150
Sept 2007150
Aug 2007150
Jul 2007149
Jun 2007138
May 2007128
Apr 2007150
Mar 2007125
Feb 2007125
Jan 2007125

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-889-73-retail-kg.