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Millet in San

Segou, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

170–303

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

157–303

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 170 and 303 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 157 and 303 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, San: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 170 and 303 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 157 and 303 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 620); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 189–249 202 186–308 322 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 174–274 200 155–443 307 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 170–303 199 154–484 306 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 167–322 196 167–620 290 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 157–303 191 136–427 274 –
Price history (212 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026200
Jul 2026219
Jun 2026213
May 2026200
Apr 2026200
Mar 2026220
Feb 2026220
Jan 2026200
Dec 2025215
Oct 2025250
Sept 2025245
Aug 2025256
Jul 2025300
Jun 2025275
May 2025294
Apr 2025300
Mar 2025313
Feb 2025338
Jan 2025313
Dec 2024300
Nov 2024375
Oct 2024400
Sept 2024390
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024390
Jun 2024306
May 2024275
Apr 2024250
Mar 2024250
Jan 2024250
Nov 2023250
Oct 2023250
Sept 2023250
Aug 2023250
Jul 2023250
Jun 2023250
May 2023260
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023300
Dec 2022300
Nov 2022319
Oct 2022390
Sept 2022400
Aug 2022380
Jul 2022375
Jun 2022369
May 2022370
Apr 2022370
Mar 2022306
Feb 2022275
Jan 2022260
Dec 2021250
Nov 2021240
Oct 2021200
Sept 2021200
Aug 2021200
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021200
May 2021200
Apr 2021200
Mar 2021185
Feb 2021175
Jan 2021175
Dec 2020188
Nov 2020200
Oct 2020200
Sept 2020200
Aug 2020195
Jul 2020175
Jun 2020175
May 2020169
Apr 2020150
Mar 2020150
Feb 2020150
Jan 2020150
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019138
Oct 2019125
Sept 2019175
Aug 2019168
Jul 2019150
Jun 2019150
May 2019150
Apr 2019160
Mar 2019175
Feb 2019175
Jan 2019175
Dec 2018175
Nov 2018175
Oct 2018195
Sept 2018225
Aug 2018225
Jul 2018225
Jun 2018225
May 2018225
Apr 2018215
Mar 2018225
Feb 2018218
Jan 2018210
Dec 2017225
Nov 2017231
Oct 2017250
Sept 2017250
Aug 2017235
Jul 2017206
Jun 2017200
May 2017200
Apr 2017175
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017163
Jan 2017150
Dec 2016175
Nov 2016175
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016175
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016175
May 2016175
Apr 2016175
Mar 2016175
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016150
Dec 2015169
Nov 2015175
Oct 2015175
Aug 2015181
Jul 2015175
Jun 2015175
May 2015175
Apr 2015175
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015175
Jan 2015175
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014188
Oct 2014200
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014200
Jul 2014200
Jun 2014200
May 2014200
Apr 2014200
Mar 2014200
Feb 2014200
Jan 2014200
Dec 2013200
Nov 2013200
Oct 2013200
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013200
Jul 2013200
Sept 2012238
Aug 2012269
Jul 2012275
Jun 2012275
Oct 2011160
Sept 2011150
Aug 2011150
Jul 2011150
Jun 2011150
May 2011150
Apr 2011150
Mar 2011150
Feb 2011150
Jan 2011150
Nov 2010150
Oct 2010162
Sept 2010175
Aug 2010175
Jun 2010175
May 2010175
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010175
Jan 2010175
Dec 2009150
Nov 2009175
Oct 2009156
Sept 2009200
Aug 2009200
Jul 2009181
Jun 2009175
May 2009175
Apr 2009175
Mar 2009170
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009150
Dec 2008150
Nov 2008165
Oct 2008175
Sept 2008175
Aug 2008175
Jul 2008175
Jun 2008155
May 2008138
Apr 2008125
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008125
Jan 2008125
Dec 2007125
Nov 2007125
Oct 2007125
Sept 2007125
Aug 2007125
Jul 2007125
Jun 2007125
May 2007125
Apr 2007125
Mar 2007125
Feb 2007124
Jan 2007116

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-900-73-retail-kg.