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Maize in Ségou Centre

Segou, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

129–220

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

122–259

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 58 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 129 and 220 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 259 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize, Ségou Centre: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 58 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 129 and 220 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 122 and 259 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 456); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 155–197 173 152–215 268 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 138–205 168 137–276 243 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 129–220 155 127–335 232 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 124–232 151 120–391 218 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 122–259 153 102–456 223 –
Price history (273 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026175
Jun 2026175
May 2026175
Apr 2026175
Mar 2026175
Feb 2026175
Jan 2026175
Dec 2025175
Oct 2025194
Sept 2025215
Aug 2025225
Jul 2025244
Jun 2025250
May 2025250
Apr 2025250
Mar 2025231
Feb 2025250
Jan 2025231
Dec 2024225
Nov 2024219
Sept 2024310
Aug 2024300
Jul 2024285
Jun 2024250
May 2024225
Apr 2024225
Mar 2024206
Jan 2024213
Nov 2023206
Oct 2023220
Sept 2023250
Aug 2023244
Jul 2023225
Jun 2023244
May 2023250
Apr 2023250
Mar 2023250
Dec 2022250
Nov 2022250
Oct 2022260
Sept 2022319
Aug 2022325
Jul 2022325
Jun 2022325
May 2022325
Apr 2022319
Mar 2022281
Feb 2022275
Jan 2022245
Dec 2021225
Nov 2021215
Oct 2021219
Sept 2021225
Aug 2021215
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021200
May 2021200
Apr 2021200
Mar 2021190
Feb 2021175
Jan 2021175
Dec 2020150
Nov 2020165
Oct 2020175
Sept 2020169
Aug 2020170
Jul 2020144
Jun 2020125
May 2020125
Apr 2020125
Mar 2020125
Feb 2020125
Jan 2020125
Dec 2019125
Nov 2019138
Oct 2019150
Sept 2019150
Aug 2019150
Jul 2019150
Jun 2019150
May 2019150
Apr 2019150
Mar 2019150
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019168
Dec 2018150
Nov 2018169
Oct 2018195
Sept 2018218
Aug 2018200
Jul 2018200
Jun 2018200
May 2018200
Apr 2018180
Mar 2018191
Feb 2018181
Jan 2018160
Dec 2017150
Nov 2017156
Oct 2017175
Sept 2017200
Aug 2017350
Jul 2017175
Jun 2017175
May 2017175
Apr 2017175
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017156
Jan 2017150
Dec 2016160
Nov 2016164
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016175
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016175
May 2016175
Apr 2016150
Mar 2016150
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016151
Dec 2015159
Nov 2015175
Oct 2015175
Aug 2015175
Jul 2015175
Jun 2015170
May 2015150
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015150
Feb 2015150
Jan 2015150
Dec 2014150
Nov 2014156
Oct 2014175
Sept 2014175
Aug 2014175
Jul 2014175
Jun 2014175
May 2014175
Apr 2014175
Mar 2014175
Feb 2014175
Jan 2014169
Dec 2013163
Nov 2013163
Oct 2013175
Sept 2013175
Aug 2013175
Jul 2013175
Jun 2013175
May 2013175
Apr 2013175
Mar 2013175
Feb 2013175
Jan 2013175
Nov 2012150
Oct 2012230
Sept 2012225
Aug 2012225
Jul 2012225
Jun 2012231
May 2012256
Apr 2012225
Mar 2012214
Feb 2012225
Jan 2012210
Dec 2011225
Oct 2011160
Sept 2011150
Aug 2011150
Jul 2011150
Jun 2011150
May 2011150
Apr 2011150
Mar 2011145
Feb 2011129
Jan 2011130
Dec 2010125
Nov 2010125
Oct 2010134
Sept 2010150
Aug 2010157
Jul 2010156
Jun 2010150
May 2010150
Apr 2010150
Mar 2010150
Feb 2010150
Jan 2010150
Dec 2009144
Nov 2009147
Oct 2009150
Sept 2009175
Aug 2009185
Jul 2009175
Jun 2009175
May 2009172
Apr 2009164
Mar 2009169
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009131
Dec 2008120
Nov 2008122
Oct 2008140
Sept 2008160
Aug 2008160
Jul 2008162
Jun 2008153
May 2008129
Apr 2008125
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008121
Jan 2008115
Dec 2007110
Nov 2007110
Oct 2007103
Sept 2007110
Aug 2007110
Jul 2007108
Jun 2007100
May 2007100
Apr 2007100
Mar 2007100
Feb 2007100
Jan 200778
Dec 200675
Nov 200689
Oct 2006109
Sept 2006125
Aug 2006129
Jul 2006127
Jun 2006131
May 2006125
Apr 2006125
Mar 2006125
Feb 2006128
Jan 2006103
Dec 2005102
Nov 2005104
Oct 2005113
Sept 2005195
Aug 2005200
Jul 2005204
Jun 2005180
May 2005169
Apr 2005144
Mar 2005138
Feb 2005128
Jan 2005100
Dec 2004100
Nov 2004100
Oct 2004100
Sept 200480.8
Aug 200478.8
Jul 200475
Jun 200475
May 200475
Apr 200475
Feb 200450
Jan 200450.6
Dec 200352
Nov 200365
Oct 2003104
Sept 2003130
Aug 2003140
Jul 2003139
Jun 2003142
May 2003150
Apr 2003144
Mar 2003145
Feb 2003146
Jan 2003141

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-901-51-retail-kg.