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Millet in Ségou Centre

Segou, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 28% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

168–293

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

147–272

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 168 and 293 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 147 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Ségou Centre: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 28% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 168 and 293 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 147 and 272 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 465); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 181–237 201 162–284 264 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 172–266 198 162–321 316 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 168–293 201 137–400 287 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 144–298 185 115–465 234 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 147–272 189 114–309 246 –
Price history (236 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026200
Jul 2026194
Jun 2026175
May 2026182
Apr 2026190
Mar 2026192
Feb 2026192
Jan 2026200
Dec 2025200
Aug 2025244
Jul 2025250
Jun 2025250
May 2025250
Apr 2025275
Mar 2025259
Feb 2025280
Jan 2025259
Aug 2024350
Jul 2024342
Jun 2024300
May 2024256
Apr 2024250
Mar 2024250
Jan 2024231
Nov 2023250
Oct 2023250
Aug 2023250
Jul 2023250
Jun 2023250
May 2023250
Apr 2023275
Mar 2023250
Nov 2022300
Oct 2022375
Aug 2022390
Jul 2022350
Jun 2022350
May 2022365
Apr 2022359
Mar 2022306
Feb 2022288
Jan 2022245
Dec 2021238
Nov 2021230
Aug 2021200
Jul 2021188
Jun 2021175
May 2021175
Apr 2021175
Mar 2021175
Feb 2021175
Jan 2021175
Dec 2020175
Sept 2020200
Aug 2020205
Jul 2020181
Jun 2020172
May 2020160
Apr 2020150
Mar 2020150
Feb 2020150
Jan 2020150
Dec 2019150
Sept 2019150
Aug 2019150
Jul 2019150
Jun 2019150
May 2019150
Apr 2019150
Mar 2019150
Feb 2019150
Jan 2019206
Dec 2018155
Nov 2018206
Sept 2018225
Aug 2018237
Jul 2018225
Jun 2018225
May 2018225
Apr 2018225
Mar 2018221
Feb 2018202
Jan 2018200
Dec 2017200
Sept 2017237
Aug 2017200
Jul 2017200
Jun 2017200
May 2017190
Apr 2017175
Mar 2017175
Feb 2017156
Jan 2017150
Dec 2016169
Nov 2016175
Oct 2016175
Sept 2016175
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016175
Jun 2016175
May 2016175
Apr 2016150
Mar 2016150
Feb 2016150
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015166
Aug 2015175
Jul 2015175
Jun 2015175
May 2015169
Apr 2015150
Mar 2015150
Feb 2015150
Jan 2015150
Dec 2014175
Sept 2014189
Aug 2014200
Jul 2014200
Jun 2014200
May 2014190
Apr 2014190
Mar 2014175
Feb 2014175
Jan 2014175
Oct 2013200
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013200
Jul 2013189
Jun 2013175
May 2013175
Apr 2013175
Mar 2013175
Feb 2013175
Jan 2013175
Sept 2012250
Aug 2012275
Jul 2012275
Jun 2012275
May 2012275
Apr 2012265
Mar 2012238
Feb 2012225
Jan 2012215
Dec 2011225
Sept 2011150
Aug 2011150
Jul 2011150
Jun 2011150
May 2011150
Apr 2011150
Mar 2011145
Feb 2011129
Jan 2011125
Oct 2010134
Sept 2010150
Aug 2010165
Jul 2010162
Jun 2010150
May 2010150
Apr 2010150
Mar 2010150
Feb 2010150
Jan 2010150
Sept 2009193
Aug 2009192
Jul 2009175
Jun 2009175
May 2009150
Apr 2009150
Mar 2009148
Feb 2009150
Jan 2009132
Dec 2008125
Oct 2008162
Sept 2008172
Aug 2008160
Jul 2008173
Jun 2008151
May 2008128
Apr 2008125
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008126
Jan 2008119
Dec 2007110
Nov 2007110
Oct 2007106
Sept 2007110
Aug 2007110
Jul 2007108
Jun 2007100
May 2007100
Apr 2007100
Mar 2007100
Feb 2007100
Jan 200792
Oct 2006112
Sept 2006125
Aug 2006129
Jul 2006125
Jun 2006127
May 2006125
Apr 2006125
Mar 2006125
Feb 2006130
Jan 2006108
Dec 2005114
Oct 2005167
Sept 2005225
Aug 2005206
Jul 2005205
Jun 2005179
May 2005169
Apr 2005145
Mar 2005138
Feb 2005132
Jan 2005102
Nov 200497
Oct 2004104
Sept 200484.2
Aug 200486.2
Jul 200475
Jun 200475
May 200475
Apr 200475
Feb 200475
Jan 200475
Dec 200375
Sept 2003150
Aug 2003150
Jul 2003154
Jun 2003160
May 2003160
Apr 2003152
Mar 2003150
Feb 2003150
Jan 2003150

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-901-73-retail-kg.