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Food basket in Ségou Centre

Segou, Mali · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,011–3,520

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,758–3,264

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,400 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,011 and 3,520 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,758 and 3,264 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Ségou Centre: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,400 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,011 and 3,520 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,758 and 3,264 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,584); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,171–2,847 2,410 1,938–3,403
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,069–3,190 2,381 1,939–3,851
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,011–3,520 2,409 1,642–4,802
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,728–3,573 2,219 1,384–5,584
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,758–3,264 2,262 1,371–3,713
Cost history (236 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 20262,400
Jul 20262,325
Jun 20262,100
May 20262,190
Apr 20262,280
Mar 20262,304
Feb 20262,304
Jan 20262,400
Dec 20252,400
Aug 20252,928
Jul 20253,000
Jun 20253,000
May 20253,000
Apr 20253,300
Mar 20253,108
Feb 20253,360
Jan 20253,108
Aug 20244,200
Jul 20244,104
Jun 20243,600
May 20243,072
Apr 20243,000
Mar 20243,000
Jan 20242,772
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20233,000
Aug 20233,000
Jul 20233,000
Jun 20233,000
May 20233,000
Apr 20233,300
Mar 20233,000
Nov 20223,600
Oct 20224,500
Aug 20224,680
Jul 20224,200
Jun 20224,200
May 20224,380
Apr 20224,308
Mar 20223,672
Feb 20223,456
Jan 20222,940
Dec 20212,856
Nov 20212,760
Aug 20212,400
Jul 20212,256
Jun 20212,100
May 20212,100
Apr 20212,100
Mar 20212,100
Feb 20212,100
Jan 20212,100
Dec 20202,100
Sept 20202,400
Aug 20202,460
Jul 20202,172
Jun 20202,064
May 20201,920
Apr 20201,800
Mar 20201,800
Feb 20201,800
Jan 20201,800
Dec 20191,800
Sept 20191,800
Aug 20191,800
Jul 20191,800
Jun 20191,800
May 20191,800
Apr 20191,800
Mar 20191,800
Feb 20191,800
Jan 20192,472
Dec 20181,860
Nov 20182,475
Sept 20182,700
Aug 20182,844
Jul 20182,700
Jun 20182,700
May 20182,700
Apr 20182,700
Mar 20182,652
Feb 20182,424
Jan 20182,400
Dec 20172,400
Sept 20172,844
Aug 20172,400
Jul 20172,400
Jun 20172,400
May 20172,280
Apr 20172,100
Mar 20172,100
Feb 20171,872
Jan 20171,800
Dec 20162,028
Nov 20162,100
Oct 20162,100
Sept 20162,100
Aug 20162,100
Jul 20162,100
Jun 20162,100
May 20162,100
Apr 20161,800
Mar 20161,800
Feb 20161,800
Jan 20161,908
Dec 20151,992
Aug 20152,100
Jul 20152,100
Jun 20152,100
May 20152,028
Apr 20151,800
Mar 20151,800
Feb 20151,800
Jan 20151,800
Dec 20142,100
Sept 20142,268
Aug 20142,400
Jul 20142,400
Jun 20142,400
May 20142,280
Apr 20142,280
Mar 20142,100
Feb 20142,100
Jan 20142,100
Oct 20132,400
Sept 20132,400
Aug 20132,400
Jul 20132,268
Jun 20132,100
May 20132,100
Apr 20132,100
Mar 20132,100
Feb 20132,100
Jan 20132,100
Sept 20123,000
Aug 20123,300
Jul 20123,300
Jun 20123,300
May 20123,300
Apr 20123,180
Mar 20122,859
Feb 20122,700
Jan 20122,580
Dec 20112,700
Sept 20111,800
Aug 20111,800
Jul 20111,800
Jun 20111,800
May 20111,800
Apr 20111,800
Mar 20111,740
Feb 20111,545
Jan 20111,500
Oct 20101,605
Sept 20101,800
Aug 20101,980
Jul 20101,950
Jun 20101,800
May 20101,800
Apr 20101,800
Mar 20101,800
Feb 20101,800
Jan 20101,800
Sept 20092,320
Aug 20092,304
Jul 20092,100
Jun 20092,100
May 20091,800
Apr 20091,800
Mar 20091,776
Feb 20091,800
Jan 20091,590
Dec 20081,500
Oct 20081,950
Sept 20082,063
Aug 20081,920
Jul 20082,078
Jun 20081,812
May 20081,530
Apr 20081,500
Mar 20081,500
Feb 20081,515
Jan 20081,433
Dec 20071,320
Nov 20071,320
Oct 20071,272
Sept 20071,320
Aug 20071,320
Jul 20071,296
Jun 20071,200
May 20071,200
Apr 20071,200
Mar 20071,200
Feb 20071,200
Jan 20071,104
Oct 20061,343
Sept 20061,500
Aug 20061,545
Jul 20061,500
Jun 20061,523
May 20061,500
Apr 20061,500
Mar 20061,500
Feb 20061,560
Jan 20061,290
Dec 20051,373
Oct 20052,004
Sept 20052,700
Aug 20052,475
Jul 20052,460
Jun 20052,145
May 20052,029
Apr 20051,740
Mar 20051,650
Feb 20051,590
Jan 20051,230
Nov 20041,164
Oct 20041,253
Sept 20041,010
Aug 20041,035
Jul 2004900
Jun 2004900
May 2004900
Apr 2004900
Feb 2004900
Jan 2004900
Dec 2003900
Sept 20031,800
Aug 20031,800
Jul 20031,845
Jun 20031,920
May 20031,920
Apr 20031,830
Mar 20031,800
Feb 20031,800
Jan 20031,800

Track record of the basket forecasts in Mali

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 77% 92% 4% 2,201
Estimate (this month) 76% 92% 7% 2,200
Next month 75% 93% 11% 2,205
In 2 months 74% 94% 16% 2,188
In 3 months 73% 94% 19% 2,189