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Millet in Shiango

Segou, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 51% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

156–315

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

139–387

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 51% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 156 and 315 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 139 and 387 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Shiango: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 51% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 156 and 315 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 139 and 387 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 928); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 165–284 188 161–369 372 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 159–324 186 158–386 371 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 156–315 184 155–337 371 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 144–336 178 136–567 325 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 139–387 174 127–928 307 –
Price history (199 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 2026172
Jul 2026260
Jun 2026260
May 2026260
Apr 2026260
Mar 2026260
Feb 2026260
Jan 2026265
Dec 2025290
Oct 2025300
Sept 2025308
Aug 2025325
Jul 2025325
Jun 2025325
May 2025340
Apr 2025350
Mar 2025335
Feb 2025350
Jan 2025335
Dec 2024344
Nov 2024363
Oct 2024390
Sept 2024393
Aug 2024400
Jul 2024381
Jun 2024350
May 2024300
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024300
Jan 2024300
Nov 2023300
Oct 2023300
Sept 2023310
Aug 2023306
Jul 2023316
Jun 2023275
May 2023300
Apr 2023300
Mar 2023300
Dec 2022320
Nov 2022350
Oct 2022438
Sept 2022450
Aug 2022450
Jul 2022400
Jun 2022375
May 2022379
Apr 2022361
Mar 2022307
Feb 2022279
Jan 2022248
Dec 2021254
Nov 2021241
Oct 2021203
Sept 2021190
Aug 2021183
Jul 2021173
Jun 2021170
May 2021168
Apr 2021165
Mar 2021169
Feb 2021159
Jan 2021145
Dec 2020154
Nov 2020178
Oct 2020190
Sept 2020176
Aug 2020186
Jul 2020166
Jun 2020155
May 2020155
Apr 2020142
Mar 2020130
Feb 2020127
Jan 2020132
Dec 2019137
Aug 2018230
Jul 2018230
Jun 2018230
May 2018227
Apr 2018220
Mar 2018216
Feb 2018212
Jan 2018200
Dec 2017201
Nov 2017219
Oct 2017215
Sept 2017232
Aug 2017230
Jul 2017205
Jun 2017198
May 2017190
Apr 2017179
Mar 2017168
Feb 2017155
Jan 2017150
Dec 2016160
Nov 2016170
Oct 2016165
Sept 2016165
Aug 2016165
Jul 2016157
Jun 2016158
May 2016153
Apr 2016150
Mar 2016140
Feb 2016140
Jan 2016140
Dec 2015150
Nov 2015167
Oct 2015186
Aug 2015190
Jul 2015190
Jun 2015183
May 2015175
Apr 2015165
Mar 2015165
Feb 2015160
Jan 2015155
Dec 2014175
Nov 2014178
Oct 2014182
Sept 2014200
Aug 2014195
Jul 2014191
Jun 2014188
May 2014180
Apr 2014165
Mar 2014165
Feb 2014167
Jan 2014174
Dec 2013180
Nov 2013182
Oct 2013182
Sept 2013185
Aug 2013186
Jul 2013178
Sept 2012285
Aug 2012285
Jul 2012286
Jun 2012288
Oct 2011168
Sept 2011150
Aug 2011148
Jul 2011148
Jun 2011135
May 2011128
Apr 2011129
Mar 2011129
Feb 2011125
Jan 2011128
Dec 2010129
Nov 2010119
Oct 2010125
Sept 2010135
Aug 2010142
Jul 2010161
Jun 2010146
May 2010138
Apr 2010137
Mar 2010135
Feb 2010140
Jan 2010148
Dec 2009154
Nov 2009147
Oct 2009174
Sept 2009203
Aug 2009196
Jul 2009182
Jun 2009168
May 2009161
Apr 2009161
Mar 2009158
Feb 2009161
Jan 2009158
Dec 2008150
Nov 2008153
Oct 2008179
Sept 2008186
Aug 2008182
Jul 2008182
Jun 2008168
May 2008147
Apr 2008141
Mar 2008138
Feb 2008133
Jan 2008124
Dec 2007120
Nov 2007119
Oct 200797
Sept 2007103
Aug 2007117
Jul 2007108
Jun 2007106
May 2007102
Apr 2007103
Mar 2007103
Feb 2007104
Jan 2007104

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: mali-903-73-retail-kg.