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Millet in Sikasso Médine

Sikasso, Mali · XOF per KG · retail

Normal July 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

227–369

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

220–385

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In July 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 369 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 220 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Sikasso Médine: XOF per KGIn July 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 81 markets in Mali, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 369 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 220 and 385 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 244–322 266 232–365 372 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 235–341 266 212–378 378 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 227–369 267 207–436 387 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 219–379 264 202–449 361 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 220–385 261 216–480 336 –
Price history (226 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Jul 2026265
Jun 2026260
May 2026263
Apr 2026274
Mar 2026294
Feb 2026294
Jan 2026296
Dec 2025295
Oct 2025313
Sept 2025313
Aug 2025318
Jul 2025336
Jun 2025355
May 2025353
Apr 2025356
Mar 2025343
Feb 2025361
Jan 2025343
Dec 2024376
Nov 2024441
Oct 2024441
Sept 2024404
Aug 2024404
Jul 2024390
Jun 2024310
May 2024300
Apr 2024300
Mar 2024299
Jan 2024255
Nov 2023292
Oct 2023300
Sept 2023300
Aug 2023300
Jul 2023307
Jun 2023308
May 2023320
Apr 2023347
Mar 2023350
Dec 2022355
Nov 2022436
Oct 2022450
Sept 2022453
Aug 2022437
Jul 2022401
Jun 2022400
May 2022402
Apr 2022391
Mar 2022334
Feb 2022316
Jan 2022271
Dec 2021255
Nov 2021256
Oct 2021225
Sept 2021203
Aug 2021205
Jul 2021200
Jun 2021200
May 2021200
Apr 2021198
Mar 2021200
Feb 2021199
Jan 2021201
Dec 2020224
Nov 2020228
Oct 2020228
Sept 2020236
Aug 2020222
Jul 2020203
Jun 2020201
May 2020198
Apr 2020200
Mar 2020199
Feb 2020198
Jan 2020198
Dec 2019196
Nov 2019199
Oct 2019200
Sept 2019198
Aug 2019198
Jul 2019198
Jun 2019200
May 2019200
Apr 2019197
Mar 2019200
Feb 2019205
Jan 2019241
Dec 2018236
Nov 2018241
Oct 2018250
Sept 2018251
Aug 2018252
Jul 2018258
Jun 2018254
May 2018257
Apr 2018253
Mar 2018250
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018245
Dec 2017275
Nov 2017288
Oct 2017301
Sept 2017295
Aug 2017248
Jul 2017232
Jun 2017229
May 2017223
Apr 2017208
Mar 2017205
Feb 2017204
Jan 2017201
Dec 2016205
Nov 2016220
Oct 2016200
Sept 2016200
Aug 2016200
Jul 2016200
Jun 2016203
May 2016201
Apr 2016200
Mar 2016200
Feb 2016200
Jan 2016198
Dec 2015200
Nov 2015200
Oct 2015200
Aug 2015204
Jul 2015215
Jun 2015201
May 2015200
Apr 2015200
Mar 2015198
Feb 2015194
Jan 2015201
Dec 2014207
Nov 2014211
Oct 2014218
Sept 2014220
Aug 2014222
Jul 2014220
Jun 2014219
May 2014212
Apr 2014213
Mar 2014220
Feb 2014221
Jan 2014215
Dec 2013225
Nov 2013226
Oct 2013223
Sept 2013225
Aug 2013225
Jul 2013225
Jun 2013225
May 2013225
Apr 2013225
Mar 2013225
Feb 2013229
Jan 2013218
Nov 2012313
Oct 2012309
Sept 2012317
Aug 2012323
Jul 2012305
Jun 2012300
May 2012300
Apr 2012292
Mar 2012250
Feb 2012250
Jan 2012240
Oct 2011176
Sept 2011180
Aug 2011189
Jul 2011179
Jun 2011180
May 2011179
Apr 2011176
Mar 2011175
Feb 2011175
Jan 2011175
Dec 2010175
Nov 2010175
Oct 2010175
Sept 2010182
Aug 2010190
Jul 2010193
Jun 2010195
May 2010175
Apr 2010175
Mar 2010175
Feb 2010175
Jan 2010174
Dec 2009187
Nov 2009212
Oct 2009221
Sept 2009222
Aug 2009205
Jul 2009183
Jun 2009182
May 2009172
Apr 2009169
Mar 2009158
Feb 2009152
Jan 2009150
Dec 2008162
Nov 2008185
Oct 2008189
Sept 2008186
Aug 2008175
Jul 2008179
Jun 2008155
May 2008136
Apr 2008130
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008126
Jan 2008125
Dec 2007140
Nov 2007135
Oct 2007134
Sept 2007134
Aug 2007129
Jul 2007129
Jun 2007125
May 2007124
Apr 2007126
Mar 2007125
Feb 2007125
Jan 2007125

Track record in Mali

How past forecasts for Mali did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Mali
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 3% better than the base rate 10,661
Estimate (this month) 76% 94% 6% better than the base rate 10,596
Next month 74% 94% 9% worse than the base rate 10,590
In 2 months 74% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 10,553
In 3 months 74% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 10,599

Last observed: July 2026. Series id: mali-904-73-retail-kg.