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Food basket in Zinder Commune

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,030–3,165

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,932–3,324

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,108 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,030 and 3,165 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,932 and 3,324 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Zinder Commune: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,108 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,030 and 3,165 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,932 and 3,324 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,491–3,181 2,801 2,222–3,238
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,097–3,100 2,462 1,843–3,192
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,030–3,165 2,425 1,791–3,257
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,926–3,169 2,397 1,607–3,847
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,932–3,324 2,506 1,536–3,678
Cost history (417 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,892
Aug 20263,108
Jul 20263,060
Jun 20263,048
May 20262,820
Apr 20262,424
Mar 20262,496
Feb 20262,436
Jan 20262,220
Dec 20252,208
Nov 20252,376
Oct 20252,628
Sept 20252,856
Aug 20253,300
Jul 20253,672
Jun 20253,804
May 20253,684
Apr 20253,804
Mar 20253,756
Feb 20253,804
Jan 20253,936
Dec 20243,156
Nov 20243,024
Oct 20243,816
Sept 20244,608
Aug 20244,908
Jul 20244,980
Jun 20244,368
May 20244,188
Apr 20244,056
Mar 20243,576
Feb 20243,504
Jan 20243,312
Dec 20233,408
Nov 20233,204
Oct 20233,348
Sept 20233,552
Aug 20233,852
Jul 20232,892
Jun 20232,832
May 20232,868
Apr 20232,844
Mar 20232,772
Feb 20232,640
Jan 20232,688
Dec 20222,796
Nov 20223,552
Oct 20222,964
Sept 20223,252
Aug 20223,384
Jul 20223,936
Jun 20224,020
May 20224,152
Apr 20223,840
Mar 20223,276
Feb 20223,372
Jan 20223,192
Dec 20212,988
Nov 20212,748
Oct 20212,856
Sept 20213,288
Aug 20213,480
Jul 20213,096
Jun 20213,048
May 20212,952
Apr 20212,940
Mar 20212,772
Feb 20212,820
Jan 20212,520
Apr 20202,712
Dec 20192,028
Nov 20191,980
Oct 20191,896
Sept 20192,076
Aug 20192,316
Jul 20191,608
May 20192,244
Apr 20192,412
Mar 20192,184
Feb 20192,124
Jan 20192,052
Dec 20181,848
Oct 20182,016
Sept 20182,424
Aug 20182,448
Jul 20182,664
Jun 20182,652
May 20182,664
Apr 20182,556
Mar 20182,256
Feb 20182,256
Jan 20182,256
Nov 20172,220
Oct 20172,088
Sept 20173,132
Aug 20173,348
Jul 20173,420
Jun 20173,480
May 20173,276
Apr 20173,132
Mar 20172,712
Feb 20172,628
Jan 20172,220
Nov 20162,016
Oct 20162,016
Sept 20162,460
Aug 20162,700
Jul 20162,196
Jun 20162,460
May 20162,052
Apr 20162,052
Mar 20161,716
Feb 20161,716
Jan 20161,836
Dec 20151,824
Oct 20151,800
Sept 20151,836
Aug 20151,800
Jul 20152,052
Jun 20152,100
May 20152,148
Apr 20152,052
Mar 20151,824
Feb 20151,740
Jan 20151,680
Dec 20141,716
Sept 20142,376
Aug 20142,484
Jul 20142,748
Jun 20142,820
May 20142,820
Apr 20142,820
Mar 20142,796
Feb 20142,772
Jan 20142,796
Dec 20132,832
Nov 20132,928
Oct 20132,928
Sept 20133,180
Aug 20133,324
Apr 20133,024
Mar 20132,868
Jan 20132,508
Dec 20122,492
Nov 20122,253
Oct 20122,048
Sept 20122,796
Aug 20124,031
Jul 20123,286
Apr 20122,712
Mar 20122,520
Feb 20122,544
Jan 20122,544
Dec 20112,328
Nov 20112,124
Oct 20111,836
Sept 20111,656
Aug 20111,848
Jul 20112,016
Jun 20111,992
May 20112,088
Apr 20111,740
Mar 20111,704
Feb 20111,644
Jan 20111,644
Dec 20101,620
Nov 20101,464
Oct 20101,464
Sept 20102,232
Aug 20102,652
Jul 20102,568
Jun 20102,628
May 20102,184
Apr 20102,184
Mar 20102,088
Feb 20102,088
Jan 20102,220
Dec 20092,148
Nov 20091,884
Oct 20091,776
Sept 20091,884
Aug 20092,352
Jul 20092,316
Jun 20092,052
May 20092,088
Apr 20092,004
Mar 20092,040
Feb 20092,124
Jan 20091,971
Dec 20081,818
Nov 20081,695
Oct 20081,684
Sept 20082,169
Aug 20082,263
Jul 20082,132
Jun 20082,050
May 20081,833
Apr 20081,818
Mar 20081,872
Feb 20081,716
Jan 20081,511
Dec 20071,373
Nov 20071,399
Oct 20071,266
Sept 20071,403
Aug 20071,524
Jul 20071,547
Jun 20071,509
May 20071,522
Apr 20071,602
Mar 20071,541
Feb 20071,540
Jan 20071,515
Dec 20061,464
Nov 20061,440
Oct 20061,416
Sept 20061,752
Aug 20061,908
Jul 20062,052
Jun 20061,812
May 20061,728
Apr 20061,704
Mar 20061,608
Feb 20061,656
Jan 20061,644
Dec 20051,572
Nov 20051,452
Oct 20051,464
Sept 20051,908
Aug 20053,132
Jul 20053,048
Jun 20052,544
May 20052,172
Apr 20052,304
Mar 20051,968
Feb 20051,932
Jan 20051,812
Dec 20041,476
Nov 20041,500
Oct 20041,452
Sept 20041,608
Aug 20041,740
Jul 20041,632
Jun 20041,428
May 20041,512
Apr 20041,512
Mar 20041,392
Feb 20041,308
Jan 20041,092
Dec 2003900
Nov 2003984
Oct 2003960
Sept 20031,092
Aug 20031,224
Jul 20031,284
Jun 20031,380
May 20031,548
Apr 20031,548
Mar 20031,560
Feb 20031,692
Jan 20031,488
Dec 20021,404
Nov 20021,356
Oct 20021,392
Sept 20022,064
Aug 20022,544
Jul 20022,544
Jun 20022,268
May 20022,256
Apr 20022,052
Mar 20022,028
Feb 20021,920
Jan 20021,500
Dec 20011,296
Nov 20011,332
Oct 20011,284
Sept 20011,620
Aug 20012,196
Jul 20012,376
Jun 20012,076
May 20011,812
Apr 20012,256
Mar 20012,040
Feb 20011,608
Jan 20011,404
Dec 20001,464
Nov 20001,332
Oct 20001,272
Sept 20001,296
Aug 20001,284
Jul 20001,320
Jun 20001,272
May 20001,416
Apr 20001,344
Mar 20001,176
Feb 20001,164
Jan 20001,044
Dec 19991,008
Nov 19991,044
Oct 1999996
Sept 1999912
Aug 19991,008
Jul 19991,152
Jun 19991,032
May 19991,056
Apr 19991,044
Mar 1999936
Feb 1999876
Jan 1999852
Dec 1998888
Nov 19981,044
Oct 19981,080
Sept 19981,944
Aug 19982,448
Jul 19983,744
Jun 19982,124
May 19982,184
Apr 19982,028
Mar 19981,788
Feb 19981,740
Jan 19981,716
Dec 19971,548
Nov 19971,572
Oct 19971,344
Sept 19971,716
Aug 19972,136
Jul 19971,944
Jun 19971,836
May 19971,752
Apr 19971,776
Mar 19971,584
Feb 19971,404
Jan 19971,296
Dec 19961,140
Nov 19961,200
Oct 19961,092
Sept 19961,092
Aug 19961,500
Jul 19961,500
Jun 19961,284
May 19961,272
Apr 19961,176
Mar 1996984
Feb 1996936
Jan 1996816
Dec 1995744
Nov 1995792
Oct 1995732
Sept 1995792
Aug 1995840
Jul 1995828
Jun 1995804
May 1995780
Apr 1995696
Mar 1995660
Feb 1995660
Jan 1995672
Dec 1994612
Nov 1994654
Oct 1994696
Sept 1994804
Aug 1994852
Jul 1994840
Jun 1994912
May 1994780
Apr 1994696
Mar 1994732
Feb 1994696
Jan 1994504
Dec 1993480
Nov 1993522
Oct 1993564
Sept 1993672
Aug 1993684
Jul 1993732
Jun 1993660
May 1993648
Apr 1993552
Mar 1993708
Feb 1993720
Jan 1993684
Dec 1992576
Nov 1992588
Oct 1992636
Sept 1992672
Aug 1992828
Jul 1992924
Jun 1992732
May 1992708
Apr 1992624
Mar 1992612
Feb 1992600
Jan 1992636
Dec 1991612
Nov 1991552
Oct 1991552
Sept 1991840
Aug 1991876
Jul 19911,020
Jun 1991900
May 1991864
Apr 1991840
Mar 1991816
Feb 1991768
Jan 1991708
Dec 1990612
Nov 1990624
Oct 1990732
Sept 1990708
Aug 1990720
Jul 1990756
Jun 1990720
May 1990696
Apr 1990696
Mar 1990600
Feb 1990588
Jan 1990528

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186