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Food basket in Bonkaney

Niamey, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,353–3,431

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,267–3,591

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,336 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,353 and 3,431 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,267 and 3,591 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Bonkaney: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,336 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,353 and 3,431 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,267 and 3,591 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,852–3,490 3,191 2,737–3,666
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,616–3,393 2,909 2,213–3,699
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,353–3,431 2,796 2,102–3,692
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,363–3,554 2,833 2,008–3,865
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,267–3,591 2,828 1,861–3,640
Cost history (192 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,276
Aug 20263,336
Jul 20263,324
Jun 20263,360
May 20263,000
Apr 20262,868
Mar 20262,820
Feb 20262,796
Jan 20262,796
Dec 20252,820
Nov 20252,868
Oct 20252,976
Sept 20253,324
Aug 20253,480
Jul 20253,768
Jun 20253,696
May 20253,720
Apr 20254,020
Mar 20253,960
Feb 20253,900
Jan 20253,864
Dec 20243,900
Oct 20243,948
Sept 20244,860
Aug 20245,760
Jul 20245,556
Jun 20244,932
May 20244,476
Apr 20244,080
Mar 20243,816
Feb 20243,672
Jan 20243,624
Oct 20233,792
Sept 20234,368
Aug 20234,236
Jul 20234,092
Jun 20233,624
May 20233,456
Apr 20233,684
Mar 20233,444
Feb 20233,528
Jan 20233,540
Nov 20222,724
Oct 20223,708
Sept 20224,080
Aug 20224,584
Jul 20224,236
Jun 20223,960
May 20223,960
Apr 20223,816
Mar 20223,768
Feb 20223,720
Jan 20223,480
Dec 20213,396
Nov 20213,600
Oct 20213,432
Sept 20213,624
Aug 20213,612
Jul 20213,528
Jun 20213,528
May 20213,528
Apr 20213,300
Mar 20213,144
Feb 20213,024
Jan 20212,904
Oct 20203,084
Sept 20203,672
Aug 20203,792
Jul 20203,168
Jun 20202,880
May 20202,808
Apr 20202,808
Mar 20202,808
Feb 20202,820
Jan 20202,688
Dec 20192,808
Oct 20192,844
Sept 20192,856
Aug 20192,856
Jul 20192,796
Jun 20192,196
May 20192,976
Apr 20192,856
Mar 20192,844
Feb 20192,808
Jan 20192,784
Dec 20182,784
Nov 20182,820
Oct 20182,820
Sept 20183,324
Aug 20183,444
Jul 20183,552
Jun 20183,552
May 20183,336
Apr 20183,216
Mar 20183,036
Feb 20183,024
Jan 20183,024
Dec 20173,276
Nov 20173,120
Oct 20173,324
Sept 20173,552
Aug 20173,576
Jul 20173,528
Jun 20173,528
May 20173,576
Apr 20173,312
Mar 20172,820
Feb 20172,796
Jan 20172,808
Nov 20162,616
Oct 20162,856
Sept 20162,820
Aug 20163,072
Jul 20162,856
Jun 20162,856
May 20162,856
Apr 20162,604
Mar 20162,592
Feb 20162,592
Jan 20162,376
Oct 20152,580
Sept 20152,832
Aug 20152,880
Jul 20152,916
Jun 20152,820
May 20152,832
Apr 20152,844
Mar 20152,857
Feb 20152,841
Jan 20152,796
Nov 20143,279
Oct 20142,961
Sept 20143,012
Aug 20143,254
Jul 20143,214
Jun 20143,189
May 20143,293
Apr 20143,360
Mar 20143,320
Feb 20143,330
Jan 20143,360
Dec 20133,360
Nov 20133,252
Oct 20133,147
Sept 20133,254
Aug 20133,353
Jul 20133,547
Jun 20133,362
May 20133,357
Apr 20133,360
Mar 20133,180
Jan 20133,120
Nov 20123,096
Oct 20123,072
Sept 20123,704
Aug 20123,859
Jul 20123,808
May 20123,541
Apr 20123,240
Nov 20112,738
Oct 20112,490
Sept 20112,340
Jul 20112,511
Jun 20112,604
May 20112,622
Apr 20112,414
Mar 20112,424
Feb 20112,381
Jan 20112,376
Nov 20102,134
Oct 20102,381
Sept 20102,873
Aug 20103,101
Jul 20103,036
Jun 20102,903
May 20102,948
Apr 20102,646
Mar 20102,667
Feb 20102,637
Jan 20102,644
Nov 20092,610
Oct 20092,484
Sept 20092,880
Aug 20093,059
Jul 20092,856
Jun 20092,604
May 20092,609
Apr 20092,536
Mar 20092,568
Feb 20092,619
Jan 20092,662

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186