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Food basket in Dan Issa

Maradi, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,578–2,528

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,459–2,584

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,340 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,578 and 2,528 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,459 and 2,584 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dan Issa: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,340 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,578 and 2,528 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,459 and 2,584 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,693–2,323 1,950 1,530–2,433
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,430–2,324 1,719 1,282–2,417
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,578–2,528 1,877 1,349–2,608
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,559–2,589 1,899 1,341–2,932
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,459–2,584 1,883 1,186–2,968
Cost history (370 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,040
Aug 20262,340
Jul 20262,484
Jun 20262,424
May 20262,184
Apr 20262,076
Mar 20261,992
Feb 20261,884
Jan 20261,692
Dec 20251,908
Nov 20252,076
Oct 20251,800
Sept 20252,220
Aug 20252,604
Jul 20252,964
Jun 20253,084
May 20253,120
Apr 20253,048
Mar 20252,988
Feb 20253,084
Jan 20253,264
Dec 20243,060
Nov 20242,928
Oct 20242,712
Sept 20242,940
Aug 20244,428
Jul 20244,608
Jun 20244,044
May 20243,564
Apr 20243,768
Mar 20243,264
Feb 20242,844
Jan 20242,712
Dec 20232,760
Nov 20232,940
Oct 20232,400
Sept 20233,144
Aug 20233,696
Jun 20232,964
May 20232,688
Apr 20232,652
Mar 20232,952
Feb 20233,024
Jan 20232,640
Dec 20222,640
Nov 20223,576
Oct 20222,124
Jul 20223,084
Apr 20223,012
Mar 20223,000
Feb 20222,964
Jan 20222,892
Dec 20212,820
Nov 20212,616
Oct 20212,064
Sept 20212,712
Aug 20213,504
Jul 20213,312
Jun 20213,096
May 20212,892
Apr 20212,784
Mar 20212,784
Feb 20212,820
Jan 20212,496
Dec 20202,640
Nov 20202,088
Oct 20201,884
Sept 20202,580
Aug 20202,952
Jul 20202,844
Jun 20202,400
May 20202,220
Apr 20202,316
Mar 20202,208
Feb 20202,028
Jan 20201,956
Dec 20191,968
Nov 20191,860
Oct 20191,644
Sept 20191,800
Aug 20191,788
Jul 20191,764
Jun 20191,692
May 20191,836
Apr 20192,064
Mar 20191,884
Feb 20192,124
Jan 20191,848
Dec 20182,268
Nov 20181,836
Oct 20181,740
Sept 20182,076
Aug 20182,568
Jul 20182,652
Jun 20182,700
May 20182,532
Apr 20182,304
Mar 20182,304
Feb 20182,268
Jan 20182,256
Dec 20172,340
Nov 20172,304
Oct 20171,860
Sept 20171,872
Aug 20173,300
Jul 20173,120
Jun 20173,036
May 20172,940
Apr 20172,772
Mar 20172,460
Feb 20172,256
Jan 20171,968
Nov 20161,848
Oct 20161,524
Sept 20161,728
Aug 20162,340
Jul 20162,172
Jun 20162,004
May 20161,956
Feb 20161,668
Jan 20161,464
Dec 20151,548
Oct 20151,524
Sept 20151,692
Aug 20151,704
Jul 20151,656
Jun 20151,740
May 20151,716
Apr 20151,704
Mar 20151,485
Feb 20151,527
Jan 20151,541
Nov 20141,762
Oct 20141,600
Sept 20141,804
Aug 20141,983
Jul 20142,171
Jun 20142,216
May 20142,215
Apr 20142,427
Mar 20142,344
Feb 20142,318
Jan 20142,322
Dec 20132,302
Oct 20132,249
Sept 20132,389
Aug 20133,309
Jul 20133,240
Jun 20133,194
May 20132,872
Apr 20132,943
Mar 20132,826
Feb 20132,607
Jan 20132,369
Dec 20122,418
Nov 20122,537
Oct 20122,010
Sept 20122,621
Aug 20122,980
Jul 20122,844
May 20122,600
Apr 20122,562
Mar 20122,278
Feb 20122,227
Jan 20122,216
Dec 20112,206
Nov 20111,953
Oct 20111,566
Sept 20111,524
Jul 20111,944
Jun 20111,943
May 20112,112
Apr 20111,992
Mar 20111,932
Jan 20111,842
Dec 20102,001
Nov 20101,529
Oct 20101,483
Sept 20101,709
Aug 20102,556
Jul 20102,368
Jun 20102,322
May 20102,213
Apr 20102,086
Mar 20101,992
Feb 20101,944
Jan 20101,880
Dec 20091,800
Nov 20091,704
Oct 20091,560
Sept 20091,662
Aug 20092,004
Jul 20092,094
Jun 20091,731
May 20091,674
Apr 20091,722
Mar 20091,722
Feb 20091,776
Jan 20091,785
Dec 20081,638
Nov 20081,539
Oct 20081,584
Sept 20081,884
Aug 20082,244
Jul 20082,160
Jun 20081,848
May 20081,812
Apr 20081,764
Mar 20081,836
Feb 20081,524
Jan 20081,392
Dec 20071,178
Nov 20071,267
Oct 20071,045
Sept 20071,119
Aug 20071,322
Jul 20071,260
Jun 20071,255
May 20071,291
Apr 20071,371
Mar 20071,344
Feb 20071,338
Jan 20071,285
Dec 20061,218
Nov 20061,186
Oct 20061,057
Sept 20061,289
Aug 20061,507
Jul 20061,633
Jun 20061,535
May 20061,615
Apr 20061,588
Mar 20061,463
Feb 20061,508
Jan 20061,452
Dec 20051,488
Nov 20051,360
Oct 20051,180
Sept 20051,902
Aug 20053,560
Jul 20053,334
Jun 20052,786
May 20052,335
Apr 20052,144
Mar 20051,861
Feb 20051,785
Jan 20051,632
Dec 20041,544
Nov 20041,405
Oct 20041,326
Sept 20041,201
Aug 20041,431
Jul 20041,451
Jun 20041,341
May 20041,395
Apr 20041,471
Mar 20041,249
Feb 20041,099
Jan 20041,030
Dec 20031,029
Nov 2003920
Oct 2003845
Sept 2003872
Aug 20031,099
Jul 20031,155
Jun 20031,182
May 20031,353
Apr 20031,425
Mar 20031,479
Feb 20031,419
Jan 20031,420
Dec 20021,410
Nov 20021,350
Oct 20021,362
Sept 20021,398
Aug 20022,656
Jul 20022,688
Jun 20022,250
May 20022,244
Apr 20022,160
Mar 20022,208
Feb 20021,758
Jan 20021,656
Dec 20011,488
Nov 20011,476
Oct 20011,368
Sept 20011,506
Aug 20012,248
Jun 20011,896
May 20011,800
Apr 20011,818
Mar 20011,812
Feb 20011,410
Jan 20011,187
Dec 20001,236
Nov 20001,188
Oct 20001,068
Sept 20001,092
Aug 20001,128
Jul 20001,212
Jun 20001,056
May 20001,356
Apr 20001,176
Mar 2000996
Feb 2000996
Jan 2000912
Dec 19991,020
Nov 1999864
Oct 1999792
Sept 19991,068
Aug 19991,128
Jul 19991,188
Jun 19991,116
May 19991,128
Apr 19991,068
Mar 19991,068
Feb 19991,008
Jan 1999948
Dec 19981,056
Nov 19981,056
Oct 19981,008
Sept 19981,044
Aug 19982,436
Jul 19982,592
Jun 19982,436
May 19982,124
Apr 19982,328
Mar 19981,896
Feb 19981,704
Jan 19981,644
Dec 19971,632
Nov 19971,464
Oct 19971,308
Sept 19971,224
Aug 19972,076
Jul 19971,992
Jun 19971,788
May 19971,896
Apr 19971,800
Mar 19971,668
Feb 19971,428
Jan 19971,596
Dec 19961,440
Nov 19961,560
Oct 19961,332
Sept 19961,164
Aug 19961,308
Apr 19961,008
Feb 1996660
Jan 1996672
Dec 1995732
Nov 1995648
Oct 1995600
Sept 1995684
Aug 1995792
Jul 1995528
Jun 1995612
May 1995612
Apr 1995648
Mar 1995492
Feb 1995540
Jan 1995540
Nov 1994480
Oct 1994384
Aug 1994696
May 1994708
Apr 1994708
Mar 1994612
Feb 1994672
Jan 1994660

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186