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Food basket in Diffa Commune

Diffa, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,915–3,253

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,007–3,488

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,120 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,915 and 3,253 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,007 and 3,488 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Diffa Commune: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,120 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,915 and 3,253 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,007 and 3,488 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,604–3,421 2,951 2,404–3,670
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,135–3,281 2,591 1,841–3,517
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,915–3,253 2,448 1,823–3,900
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,033–3,371 2,580 1,730–3,550
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,007–3,488 2,575 1,694–3,640
Cost history (364 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,276
Aug 20263,120
Jul 20263,024
Jun 20263,072
Apr 20262,856
Mar 20263,060
Feb 20262,880
Jan 20262,688
Dec 20252,640
Nov 20252,520
Oct 20252,880
Sept 20252,880
Aug 20252,880
Jul 20253,120
Jun 20253,360
Apr 20253,540
Mar 20253,336
Feb 20253,396
Jan 20253,468
Dec 20243,168
Nov 20242,928
Oct 20243,612
Sept 20244,968
Aug 20245,880
Jul 20245,244
Jun 20245,160
May 20244,548
Mar 20243,528
Feb 20243,420
Jan 20243,492
Dec 20233,552
Nov 20233,816
Oct 20233,780
Sept 20235,040
Aug 20234,632
Jul 20233,756
Jun 20233,516
Apr 20233,516
Mar 20233,024
Feb 20232,520
Jan 20233,024
Dec 20223,024
Nov 20222,400
Oct 20222,628
Sept 20223,348
Aug 20223,348
Jul 20223,420
Jun 20223,372
May 20223,528
Apr 20223,348
Mar 20222,688
Feb 20222,484
Jan 20222,484
Dec 20212,268
Nov 20211,980
Oct 20212,256
Sept 20213,600
Aug 20213,600
Jul 20213,600
Jun 20213,264
Apr 20213,300
Mar 20212,520
Feb 20212,352
Jan 20212,304
Dec 20202,544
Nov 20202,268
Oct 20203,000
Sept 20203,444
Aug 20203,566
Jul 20202,844
Jun 20202,544
May 20203,000
Apr 20203,048
Mar 20203,024
Feb 20202,964
Jan 20202,808
Dec 20192,484
Nov 20192,184
Oct 20192,244
Sept 20192,112
Aug 20192,652
Jul 20192,712
Jun 20192,832
Apr 20192,436
Mar 20192,448
Feb 20192,148
Jan 20192,184
Dec 20182,004
Nov 20182,580
Oct 20182,580
Sept 20182,484
Aug 20183,312
Jul 20182,976
Apr 20182,784
Mar 20182,664
Feb 20183,024
Jan 20182,760
Dec 20172,640
Nov 20172,604
Oct 20172,496
Sept 20173,024
Aug 20173,480
Jul 20173,276
Jun 20173,456
May 20173,420
Apr 20173,252
Mar 20173,024
Feb 20172,484
Jan 20172,280
Nov 20161,956
Oct 20162,052
Sept 20162,532
Aug 20163,168
Jul 20162,460
Jun 20162,664
Apr 20162,136
Mar 20162,472
Feb 20162,100
Jan 20162,208
Dec 20152,268
Oct 20152,124
Sept 20152,280
Aug 20152,376
Jul 20152,736
Jun 20152,832
Apr 20152,640
Mar 20152,620
Feb 20152,602
Jan 20152,611
Nov 20142,830
Oct 20142,871
Sept 20143,303
Aug 20143,677
Jul 20143,571
Jun 20143,571
May 20143,334
Apr 20142,988
Mar 20143,232
Feb 20143,282
Jan 20143,163
Dec 20133,360
Nov 20133,096
Oct 20133,571
Sept 20133,943
Aug 20133,998
Jul 20133,576
Jun 20133,772
Apr 20133,617
Mar 20133,204
Feb 20132,854
Jan 20132,770
Dec 20122,511
Nov 20122,674
Oct 20122,417
Sept 20123,951
Aug 20123,886
Jul 20123,751
Apr 20123,195
Mar 20123,083
Feb 20122,884
Jan 20122,946
Dec 20112,993
Nov 20112,574
Oct 20112,336
Sept 20112,256
Jul 20112,100
Jun 20112,271
May 20112,356
Apr 20111,944
Mar 20111,920
Jan 20112,076
Dec 20101,968
Nov 20101,732
Oct 20102,477
Sept 20102,711
Aug 20103,167
Jul 20102,979
Jun 20103,074
May 20102,674
Apr 20102,531
Mar 20102,403
Feb 20102,370
Jan 20102,472
Dec 20092,322
Nov 20092,232
Oct 20092,360
Sept 20092,562
Aug 20092,880
Jul 20092,799
Jun 20092,284
May 20092,238
Apr 20092,120
Mar 20092,202
Feb 20092,252
Jan 20092,555
Dec 20082,623
Nov 20082,625
Sept 20083,048
Aug 20082,796
Jul 20082,892
Jun 20082,580
May 20082,388
Apr 20082,340
Mar 20082,388
Feb 20082,172
Jan 20081,968
Dec 20071,705
Nov 20071,702
Oct 20071,795
Sept 20071,935
Aug 20071,917
Jul 20071,900
Jun 20071,885
May 20071,860
Apr 20071,908
Mar 20072,034
Feb 20071,938
Jan 20071,962
Dec 20061,962
Nov 20061,914
Oct 20062,045
Sept 20062,219
Aug 20062,452
Jul 20062,249
Jun 20062,007
May 20062,039
Apr 20062,033
Mar 20061,990
Feb 20062,064
Jan 20062,082
Dec 20052,098
Nov 20051,935
Oct 20052,119
Sept 20053,018
Aug 20053,931
Jul 20053,652
Jun 20053,073
May 20052,799
Apr 20053,030
Mar 20052,656
Feb 20052,695
Jan 20052,113
Dec 20041,941
Nov 20042,066
Oct 20042,060
Sept 20042,030
Aug 20042,085
Jul 20042,083
Jun 20041,900
May 20042,086
Apr 20041,909
Mar 20041,630
Feb 20041,515
Jan 20041,424
Dec 20031,281
Nov 20031,332
Oct 20031,368
Sept 20031,515
Aug 20031,553
Jul 20031,748
Jun 20031,716
May 20031,820
Apr 20032,004
Mar 20032,001
Feb 20032,016
Jan 20032,064
Dec 20022,064
Nov 20022,028
Oct 20022,178
Sept 20022,664
Aug 20023,132
Jul 20023,078
May 20022,592
Apr 20022,628
Mar 20022,580
Feb 20022,118
Jan 20022,096
Dec 20011,812
Nov 20011,764
Oct 20011,824
Sept 20012,268
Aug 20012,868
Jul 20012,460
Jun 20012,232
Apr 20012,616
Mar 20012,052
Feb 20011,920
Jan 20011,920
Dec 20001,872
Nov 20001,644
Oct 20001,704
Sept 20001,692
Aug 20001,704
Jul 20001,704
Jun 20001,656
May 20001,596
Apr 20001,524
Mar 20001,416
Feb 20001,416
Jan 20001,416
Dec 19991,272
Nov 19991,284
Oct 19991,332
Sept 19991,164
Aug 19991,188
Jul 19991,332
Jun 19991,236
May 19991,284
Apr 19991,212
Mar 19991,140
Feb 19991,236
Jan 19991,128
Dec 19981,020
Nov 1998960
Oct 19981,308
Sept 19982,508
Aug 19982,976
Jul 19982,748
May 19982,892
Apr 19982,868
Mar 19982,280
Feb 19982,220
Jan 19982,208
Dec 19972,172
Nov 19972,052
Oct 19971,872
Sept 19972,388
Aug 19972,640
Jul 19972,376
Jun 19972,148
May 19971,980
Apr 19972,100
Mar 19971,848
Feb 19971,224
Jan 19971,668
Dec 19961,560
Nov 19961,296
Oct 19961,344
Sept 19961,680
Aug 19961,908
Jul 19961,584
May 19961,524
Apr 19961,464
Mar 19961,356
Feb 19961,164
Jan 19961,188
Dec 19951,152
Nov 19951,128
Oct 19951,176
Sept 19951,284
Aug 19951,212
Jul 19951,044
May 1995996
Apr 1995936
Mar 1995924
Feb 1995996
Jan 19951,056
Aug 19941,116
Jul 19941,044
May 1994948
Apr 1994936
Mar 1994900
Feb 19941,020
Jan 1994732

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186