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Food basket in Dogondoutchi

Dosso, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,714–2,796

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,688–2,972

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,580 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,714 and 2,796 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,688 and 2,972 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dogondoutchi: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,580 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,714 and 2,796 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,688 and 2,972 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,096–2,757 2,346 1,910–2,909
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,659–2,648 2,006 1,552–2,730
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,714–2,796 2,110 1,551–2,807
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,718–2,851 2,130 1,535–3,334
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,688–2,972 2,198 1,423–3,737
Cost history (373 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,412
Aug 20262,580
Jul 20263,036
Jun 20263,108
May 20262,892
Apr 20262,892
Mar 20262,772
Feb 20262,424
Jan 20262,064
Dec 20252,184
Nov 20252,184
Oct 20252,244
Sept 20252,520
Aug 20252,928
Jul 20253,108
Jun 20253,108
May 20253,108
Apr 20253,276
Mar 20253,336
Feb 20253,324
Jan 20253,312
Dec 20243,288
Nov 20243,180
Oct 20243,120
Sept 20243,996
Aug 20244,884
Jul 20245,244
Jun 20245,160
May 20244,440
Apr 20244,092
Mar 20243,552
Feb 20243,324
Jan 20243,288
Dec 20232,892
Nov 20232,880
Oct 20232,640
Sept 20233,288
Aug 20233,780
Jul 20233,720
Jun 20233,336
May 20233,108
Apr 20232,832
Mar 20232,832
Feb 20232,832
Jan 20232,688
Dec 20222,592
Nov 20222,448
Oct 20222,328
Sept 20223,108
Aug 20223,384
Jul 20223,552
Jun 20223,552
May 20223,552
Apr 20223,588
Mar 20223,276
Feb 20224,476
Jan 20223,276
Dec 20213,108
Nov 20213,060
Oct 20212,400
Sept 20213,552
Aug 20213,552
Jul 20213,504
Jun 20213,108
May 20213,108
Apr 20212,964
Mar 20212,892
Feb 20212,772
Jan 20212,568
Dec 20202,136
Nov 20202,184
Oct 20202,184
Sept 20202,904
Aug 20203,487
Jul 20203,168
Jun 20202,940
May 20202,712
Mar 20202,328
Feb 20202,340
Jan 20201,980
Dec 20191,740
Nov 20191,740
Oct 20191,740
Sept 20191,980
Aug 20192,220
Jul 20192,220
Jun 20192,232
May 20192,664
Apr 20192,664
Mar 20192,220
Feb 20191,968
Jan 20192,184
Dec 20181,968
Nov 20181,740
Oct 20182,184
Sept 20182,448
Aug 20182,712
Jul 20182,940
Jun 20182,940
Apr 20182,664
Mar 20182,664
Feb 20182,436
Jan 20182,556
Dec 20172,664
Nov 20172,460
Oct 20171,740
Sept 20172,616
Aug 20173,336
Jul 20173,108
Jun 20173,108
May 20173,108
Apr 20173,084
Mar 20172,400
Feb 20172,616
Jan 20172,184
Nov 20162,184
Oct 20161,740
Sept 20162,028
Aug 20162,772
Jul 20162,664
Jun 20162,664
May 20162,508
Apr 20161,968
Mar 20161,968
Feb 20161,968
Jan 20161,968
Dec 20151,740
Oct 20152,076
Sept 20152,220
Aug 20152,220
Jul 20152,220
Jun 20152,436
May 20152,220
Apr 20151,920
Mar 20151,527
Feb 20151,745
Jan 20151,536
Nov 20142,184
Oct 20142,231
Sept 20142,264
Aug 20142,222
Jul 20142,667
Jun 20142,667
May 20142,667
Apr 20142,667
Mar 20142,667
Feb 20142,433
Jan 20142,531
Dec 20132,455
Nov 20132,616
Oct 20132,573
Sept 20132,887
Aug 20133,170
Jul 20133,396
Jun 20133,245
May 20132,889
Apr 20132,889
Mar 20132,509
Feb 20132,546
Jan 20132,214
Dec 20122,100
Sept 20123,614
Aug 20123,333
Jul 20123,259
May 20122,667
Apr 20122,664
Mar 20122,448
Feb 20122,448
Jan 20122,448
Dec 20112,220
Nov 20112,220
Oct 20112,244
Sept 20112,280
Jul 20112,015
Jun 20111,974
May 20112,028
Apr 20111,812
Mar 20111,812
Jan 20111,545
Dec 20101,524
Nov 20101,522
Oct 20101,511
Sept 20101,827
Aug 20102,687
Jul 20102,677
Jun 20102,677
May 20102,528
Apr 20102,418
Mar 20102,268
Feb 20102,268
Jan 20101,956
Dec 20091,800
Nov 20091,760
Oct 20091,623
Sept 20092,340
Jul 20092,396
Jun 20092,038
May 20092,192
Apr 20092,040
Mar 20091,992
Feb 20091,942
Jan 20091,943
Dec 20081,728
Nov 20081,714
Oct 20081,764
Sept 20082,124
Aug 20082,712
Jul 20082,520
Jun 20082,184
May 20082,004
Apr 20082,028
Mar 20081,800
Feb 20081,572
Jan 20081,572
Dec 20071,587
Nov 20071,634
Oct 20071,557
Sept 20071,491
Aug 20071,582
Jul 20071,673
Jun 20071,641
May 20071,557
Apr 20071,622
Mar 20071,494
Feb 20071,668
Jan 20071,656
Dec 20061,474
Nov 20061,414
Oct 20061,332
Sept 20061,837
Aug 20062,047
Jul 20062,102
Jun 20062,159
May 20062,286
Apr 20062,028
Mar 20061,875
Feb 20061,951
Jan 20061,894
Dec 20051,644
Nov 20051,622
Oct 20051,573
Sept 20051,824
Aug 20053,243
Jul 20052,831
Jun 20052,412
May 20052,236
Apr 20052,176
Mar 20051,955
Feb 20051,683
Jan 20051,420
Dec 20041,423
Nov 20041,423
Oct 20041,247
Sept 20041,533
Aug 20041,832
Jul 20041,887
Jun 20041,578
May 20041,618
Apr 20041,648
Mar 20041,483
Feb 20041,544
Jan 20041,444
Dec 20031,230
Nov 20031,306
Oct 20031,211
Sept 20031,333
Aug 20031,567
Jul 20031,563
Jun 20031,791
May 20031,708
Apr 20031,776
Mar 20031,731
Feb 20031,716
Jan 20031,524
Dec 20021,356
Nov 20021,368
Oct 20021,272
Sept 20021,524
Aug 20022,658
Jul 20022,412
Jun 20022,256
May 20021,932
Apr 20021,902
Mar 20021,914
Feb 20021,818
Jan 20021,488
Dec 20011,272
Nov 20011,272
Oct 20011,272
Sept 20011,464
Aug 20012,148
Jul 20012,136
Jun 20012,124
Mar 20011,908
Feb 20011,560
Aug 20001,416
Jul 20001,344
Jun 20001,344
May 20001,356
Apr 20001,248
Mar 20001,212
Feb 20001,080
Jan 2000972
Dec 19991,008
Nov 1999840
Oct 1999792
Sept 1999948
Aug 19991,272
Jul 19991,296
Jun 19991,128
May 19991,128
Apr 19991,236
Mar 19991,236
Feb 19991,176
Jan 19991,068
Dec 19981,092
Nov 19981,092
Oct 19981,128
Sept 19981,416
Aug 19982,484
Jul 19982,688
Jun 19982,580
May 19982,580
Apr 19982,520
Mar 19982,124
Feb 19982,124
Jan 19981,932
Dec 19971,704
Nov 19971,728
Oct 19971,728
Sept 19971,368
Aug 19971,668
Jul 19971,956
Jun 19971,764
May 19971,704
Apr 19971,644
Mar 19971,512
Feb 19971,392
Dec 19961,008
Nov 19961,104
Sept 19961,176
Aug 19961,608
Jul 19961,368
Jun 19961,308
May 19961,368
Apr 19961,200
Mar 1996912
Feb 1996900
Jan 1996780
Dec 1995792
Nov 1995792
Oct 1995756
Sept 1995708
Aug 1995756
Jul 1995792
Jun 1995744
May 1995684
Apr 1995684
Mar 1995684
Feb 1995684
Jan 1995576
Dec 1994612
Nov 1994636
Oct 1994780
Sept 1994732
Aug 1994840
Jul 1994924
Jun 1994888
May 1994816
Apr 1994804
Mar 1994792
Feb 1994720
Jan 1994672

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186