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Food basket in Dosso Commune

Dosso, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,986–3,182

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,929–3,276

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,120 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,986 and 3,182 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,929 and 3,276 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dosso Commune: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,120 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,986 and 3,182 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,929 and 3,276 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,547–3,258 2,841 2,302–3,396
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,171–3,172 2,504 1,863–3,329
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,986–3,182 2,415 1,742–3,253
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,959–3,218 2,407 1,696–3,642
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,929–3,276 2,466 1,559–3,858
Cost history (432 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,120
Aug 20263,120
Jul 20263,300
Jun 20263,120
May 20262,880
Apr 20262,736
Mar 20262,640
Feb 20262,400
Jan 20262,400
Dec 20252,580
Nov 20252,640
Oct 20252,568
Sept 20252,892
Aug 20253,468
Jul 20253,612
Jun 20253,612
May 20253,612
Apr 20253,600
Mar 20253,600
Feb 20253,480
Jan 20253,408
Dec 20243,240
Nov 20243,360
Oct 20243,600
Sept 20244,236
Aug 20245,784
Jul 20245,688
Jun 20245,112
May 20244,476
Apr 20244,188
Mar 20243,816
Feb 20243,444
Jan 20243,300
Dec 20233,324
Nov 20233,372
Oct 20233,360
Sept 20233,960
Aug 20234,080
Jul 20233,840
Jun 20233,360
May 20233,360
Apr 20233,360
Mar 20233,120
Feb 20233,120
Jan 20233,120
Dec 20223,072
Nov 20222,352
Oct 20223,360
Sept 20223,936
Aug 20224,008
Jul 20223,840
Jun 20223,840
May 20223,840
Apr 20223,852
Mar 20223,612
Feb 20223,612
Jan 20223,156
Dec 20213,180
Nov 20213,240
Oct 20213,288
Sept 20213,660
Aug 20213,924
Jul 20213,804
Jun 20213,432
May 20213,396
Apr 20213,312
Mar 20213,240
Feb 20213,156
Jan 20212,928
Dec 20202,088
Nov 20202,640
Oct 20202,940
Sept 20203,888
Aug 20204,056
Jul 20203,624
Jun 20203,024
May 20202,904
Mar 20202,844
Feb 20202,592
Jan 20202,412
Dec 20192,412
Nov 20192,412
Oct 20192,412
Sept 20192,412
Aug 20192,424
Jul 20192,424
Jun 20192,400
May 20192,880
Apr 20192,892
Mar 20192,508
Feb 20192,412
Jan 20192,412
Dec 20182,400
Nov 20182,412
Oct 20182,340
Sept 20183,384
Aug 20183,384
Jul 20183,384
Jun 20183,540
May 20183,600
Apr 20183,264
Mar 20183,132
Feb 20182,880
Jan 20182,880
Dec 20172,880
Nov 20172,736
Oct 20172,640
Sept 20173,120
Aug 20173,384
Jul 20172,820
Jun 20173,480
May 20173,384
Apr 20173,180
Mar 20172,652
Feb 20172,640
Jan 20172,400
Dec 20162,400
Nov 20162,400
Oct 20162,400
Sept 20163,144
Aug 20163,144
Jul 20162,904
Jun 20162,880
May 20162,652
Apr 20162,664
Mar 20162,400
Feb 20162,400
Jan 20162,400
Dec 20152,400
Oct 20152,400
Sept 20152,640
Aug 20152,640
Jul 20152,640
Jun 20152,652
May 20152,604
Apr 20152,400
Mar 20152,362
Feb 20152,375
Jan 20152,400
Dec 20142,400
Nov 20142,400
Oct 20142,432
Sept 20142,609
Aug 20142,880
Jul 20142,836
Jun 20142,769
May 20142,843
Apr 20142,889
Mar 20142,852
Feb 20142,880
Jan 20142,859
Dec 20132,905
Nov 20132,880
Oct 20132,883
Sept 20133,012
Aug 20133,625
Jul 20133,627
Jun 20133,387
May 20133,374
Apr 20133,440
Mar 20133,193
Feb 20132,895
Jan 20132,903
Dec 20122,892
Sept 20123,614
Aug 20123,773
Jul 20123,710
May 20123,085
Apr 20122,892
Mar 20122,703
Feb 20122,652
Jan 20122,520
Dec 20112,415
Nov 20112,496
Oct 20112,496
Sept 20112,388
Aug 20112,604
Jul 20112,579
Jun 20112,831
May 20112,880
Apr 20112,448
Mar 20112,332
Feb 20112,148
Jan 20112,147
Dec 20102,160
Nov 20102,105
Oct 20102,262
Sept 20102,495
Aug 20102,892
Jul 20102,882
Jun 20102,778
May 20102,640
Apr 20102,601
Mar 20102,472
Feb 20102,436
Jan 20102,454
Dec 20092,440
Nov 20092,415
Oct 20092,382
Sept 20092,927
Aug 20093,095
Jul 20092,756
Jun 20092,629
May 20092,651
Apr 20092,664
Mar 20092,656
Feb 20092,630
Jan 20092,616
Dec 20082,376
Nov 20082,408
Oct 20082,616
Sept 20082,820
Aug 20082,856
Jul 20082,772
Jun 20082,496
May 20082,424
Apr 20082,436
Mar 20082,424
Feb 20082,172
Jan 20081,932
Dec 20071,935
Nov 20071,893
Oct 20071,784
Sept 20071,934
Aug 20071,931
Jul 20071,915
Jun 20071,933
May 20071,928
Apr 20071,867
Mar 20071,791
Feb 20071,807
Jan 20071,763
Dec 20061,694
Nov 20061,667
Oct 20061,895
Sept 20062,289
Aug 20062,283
Jul 20062,248
Jun 20062,447
May 20062,452
Apr 20062,459
Mar 20062,429
Feb 20062,550
Jan 20062,395
Dec 20052,379
Nov 20052,299
Oct 20052,547
Sept 20052,852
Aug 20053,947
Jul 20053,592
Jun 20053,369
May 20052,634
Apr 20052,594
Mar 20052,542
Feb 20052,206
Jan 20051,819
Dec 20041,736
Nov 20041,826
Oct 20041,741
Sept 20041,825
Aug 20041,920
Jul 20041,898
Jun 20041,834
May 20041,846
Apr 20041,767
Mar 20041,657
Feb 20041,667
Jan 20041,469
Dec 20031,494
Nov 20031,500
Oct 20031,552
Sept 20031,721
Aug 20031,736
Jul 20031,800
Jun 20031,832
May 20031,979
Apr 20032,040
Mar 20032,094
Feb 20031,968
Jan 20031,886
Dec 20022,106
Nov 20022,154
Oct 20022,064
Sept 20022,178
Aug 20022,916
Jul 20022,856
Jun 20022,730
May 20022,610
Apr 20022,556
Mar 20022,586
Feb 20022,460
Jan 20021,632
Dec 20011,632
Nov 20011,716
Oct 20011,764
Sept 20012,268
Aug 20012,756
Jul 20012,688
Jun 20012,640
May 20012,952
Apr 20012,952
Mar 20012,463
Feb 20011,942
Jan 20011,741
Dec 20001,572
Nov 20001,536
Oct 20001,464
Sept 20001,860
Aug 20001,752
Jul 20001,776
Jun 20001,812
May 20001,812
Apr 20001,548
Mar 20001,500
Feb 20001,320
Jan 20001,284
Dec 19991,260
Nov 19991,260
Oct 19991,308
Sept 19991,692
Aug 19991,560
May 19991,512
Apr 19991,512
Mar 19991,620
Feb 19991,644
Jan 19991,404
Dec 19981,380
Nov 19981,332
Oct 19981,764
Sept 19982,256
Aug 19982,748
Jul 19982,940
Jun 19982,988
May 19983,036
Apr 19982,520
Mar 19982,256
Feb 19982,208
Jan 19982,088
Dec 19972,016
Nov 19972,016
Oct 19972,028
Sept 19972,028
Aug 19972,280
Jul 19972,292
Jun 19972,160
May 19972,088
Apr 19971,980
Mar 19971,824
Dec 19961,260
Nov 19961,044
Oct 19961,500
Sept 19961,584
Aug 19961,704
Jul 19961,560
Jun 19961,572
May 19961,560
Apr 19961,560
Mar 1996996
Feb 1996984
Jan 1996900
Dec 1995804
Nov 1995924
Oct 19951,032
Sept 19951,092
Aug 19951,200
Jul 19951,200
Jun 1995996
May 1995984
Apr 1995900
Mar 1995912
Feb 1995924
Jan 1995912
Dec 1994858
Nov 1994804
Oct 1994900
Sept 19941,050
Aug 19941,200
Jul 19941,164
Jun 19941,152
May 1994912
Apr 1994960
Mar 1994984
Feb 1994936
Jan 1994696
Dec 1993744
Nov 1993768
Oct 1993756
Sept 1993828
Aug 1993888
Jul 1993996
Jun 1993900
May 1993852
Apr 1993852
Mar 1993840
Feb 1993852
Jan 1993864
Dec 1992816
Nov 1992768
Oct 1992828
Sept 19921,032
Aug 19921,272
Jul 19921,188
Jun 1992924
May 1992912
Apr 1992900
Mar 1992888
Feb 1992816
Jan 1992816
Dec 1991732
Nov 1991732
Oct 1991696
Sept 1991696
Aug 1991984
Jul 19911,272
Jun 19911,128
May 19911,068
Apr 19911,008
Mar 19911,068
Feb 19911,032
Jan 1991816
Dec 1990876
Nov 1990876
Oct 1990888
Sept 1990900
Aug 1990876
Jul 1990876
Jun 1990876
May 1990876
Apr 1990876
Mar 1990876
Feb 1990876
Jan 1990876

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186