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Food basket in Dungass

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,765–2,976

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,681–3,157

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,544 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,765 and 2,976 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,681 and 3,157 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Dungass: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,544 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,765 and 2,976 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,681 and 3,157 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,094–2,834 2,383 1,852–3,232
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,900–2,892 2,313 1,663–3,178
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,765–2,976 2,237 1,460–3,296
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,726–2,990 2,229 1,434–3,536
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,681–3,157 2,258 1,363–4,122
Cost history (315 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,496
Aug 20262,544
May 20262,844
Apr 20262,364
Mar 20262,400
Feb 20262,256
Jan 20262,076
Dec 20252,016
Nov 20252,160
Aug 20252,676
Jun 20253,540
May 20253,348
Apr 20253,252
Mar 20253,216
Feb 20253,576
Jan 20253,288
Dec 20243,480
Nov 20243,696
Sept 20244,092
Aug 20244,980
Jul 20244,848
Jun 20244,740
May 20244,308
Apr 20243,840
Mar 20243,648
Feb 20243,216
Jan 20243,348
Dec 20233,396
Nov 20233,300
Oct 20232,892
Aug 20233,960
May 20232,964
Apr 20232,916
Feb 20232,640
Jan 20232,604
Dec 20222,856
Nov 20222,544
Oct 20222,856
Sept 20222,940
Aug 20222,940
Jul 20223,060
Jun 20223,060
May 20223,252
Mar 20223,168
Feb 20223,168
Jan 20223,108
Dec 20213,000
Nov 20212,892
Oct 20212,916
Sept 20213,000
Jun 20212,952
May 20212,892
Apr 20212,940
Mar 20212,892
Feb 20212,892
Jan 20212,832
Dec 20202,316
Nov 20202,616
Oct 20202,832
Aug 20202,724
Jul 20202,619
Jun 20202,340
May 20202,184
Apr 20202,340
Mar 20202,160
Feb 20202,196
Jan 20202,184
Dec 20192,112
Nov 20192,076
Oct 20192,052
Aug 20191,944
Jun 20192,244
May 20192,184
Apr 20192,220
Mar 20192,160
Feb 20192,076
Jan 20192,172
Dec 20182,052
Nov 20182,268
Sept 20182,412
Jun 20182,256
May 20182,316
Apr 20182,160
Mar 20182,292
Feb 20182,256
Jan 20182,412
Dec 20172,196
Nov 20172,508
Sept 20173,240
Jul 20173,732
Jun 20173,216
Apr 20172,412
Mar 20172,304
Feb 20172,328
Jan 20171,740
Nov 20161,524
Aug 20162,424
Jun 20161,872
May 20161,728
Apr 20161,668
Feb 20161,536
Jan 20161,440
Dec 20151,560
Jul 20151,908
Jun 20151,992
May 20151,980
Apr 20151,860
Mar 20151,889
Feb 20152,034
Jan 20151,875
Nov 20142,056
Jul 20142,994
Jun 20142,985
May 20143,008
Apr 20142,876
Mar 20142,904
Feb 20142,925
Jan 20142,867
Dec 20132,889
Nov 20132,856
Oct 20132,820
Jul 20132,833
Jun 20132,667
May 20132,673
Apr 20132,799
Mar 20132,702
Feb 20132,460
Jan 20132,355
Dec 20122,333
Nov 20122,362
Oct 20122,120
Sept 20122,300
Aug 20122,679
May 20122,270
Apr 20122,200
Mar 20122,088
Feb 20122,088
Jan 20122,116
Dec 20112,045
Nov 20111,953
Sept 20111,848
Jul 20112,004
Jun 20112,112
May 20112,139
Apr 20112,124
Mar 20112,124
Feb 20112,038
Jan 20112,185
Dec 20102,015
Nov 20102,056
Aug 20102,264
Jul 20102,264
Jun 20102,205
May 20102,151
Apr 20102,016
Mar 20102,004
Feb 20102,028
Jan 20101,896
Dec 20091,896
Nov 20091,673
Oct 20091,552
Sept 20091,537
Jul 20092,037
Jun 20091,959
May 20092,058
Apr 20092,044
Mar 20092,048
Feb 20092,032
Jan 20091,931
Dec 20081,611
Nov 20081,600
Aug 20082,292
Jul 20081,884
Jun 20082,208
May 20081,932
Apr 20081,800
Feb 20081,788
Jan 20081,584
Dec 20071,585
Nov 20071,576
Oct 20071,524
Aug 20071,513
Jun 20071,449
May 20071,479
Apr 20071,540
Mar 20071,528
Feb 20071,585
Jan 20071,623
Dec 20061,509
Nov 20061,319
Jul 20061,876
Jun 20061,684
May 20061,757
Apr 20061,731
Mar 20061,596
Feb 20061,517
Jan 20061,917
Dec 20051,685
Oct 20051,205
Sept 20051,864
Aug 20053,078
Jul 20053,035
Jun 20052,510
May 20051,687
Apr 20052,113
Mar 20051,783
Feb 20052,000
Jan 20051,607
Dec 20041,720
Nov 20041,627
Oct 20041,353
Aug 20041,605
Jun 20041,420
May 20041,428
Apr 20041,613
Mar 20041,649
Feb 20041,497
Jan 20041,224
Dec 20031,058
Sept 2003759
Jul 20031,212
Jun 20031,256
May 20031,474
Apr 20031,536
Mar 20031,447
Feb 20031,833
Jan 20031,478
Dec 20021,068
Oct 20021,092
Sept 20021,392
Jul 20022,988
Jun 20022,988
May 20022,988
Apr 20022,988
Mar 20021,908
Feb 20022,040
Jan 20021,556
Dec 20011,092
Nov 20011,146
Sept 20011,218
Jun 20011,872
May 20011,788
Apr 20011,836
Mar 20011,844
Feb 20011,818
Jan 20011,131
Dec 20001,038
Oct 20001,086
Aug 20001,002
Jul 20001,140
Jun 20001,248
May 20001,104
Apr 20001,056
Mar 20001,014
Feb 2000876
Jan 2000800
Dec 1999780
Nov 1999780
Oct 1999828
Aug 1999660
Jul 1999780
Jun 1999828
May 1999828
Apr 1999864
Mar 1999864
Feb 1999648
Jan 1999780
Dec 1998696
Nov 1998924
Oct 1998840
Sept 19981,800
Aug 19982,160
Jun 19982,472
May 19982,100
Apr 19982,112
Mar 19981,584
Feb 19981,212
Jan 19981,272
Dec 19971,272
Sept 19971,272
Aug 19971,764
Jun 19971,692
May 19971,536
Apr 19971,572
Mar 19971,464
Feb 19971,116
Jan 19971,104
Dec 19961,068
Aug 19961,572
Jun 19961,296
May 19961,188
Apr 19961,152
Mar 1996996
Feb 1996792
Jan 1996768
Dec 1995804
Nov 1995732
Aug 1995876
Jul 1995924
Jun 1995936
May 1995888
Apr 1995780
Mar 1995672
Feb 1995612
Jan 1995540
Dec 1994456
Nov 1994408
Aug 1994636
Jul 1994612
Jun 1994660
May 1994624
Apr 1994552
Mar 1994540
Feb 1994564
Jan 1994468

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186