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Food basket in Galmi

Tahoua, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,551–2,572

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,634–2,788

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,544 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,551 and 2,572 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,634 and 2,788 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Galmi: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,544 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,551 and 2,572 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,634 and 2,788 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,005–2,630 2,212 1,713–2,727
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,632–2,496 1,906 1,451–2,715
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,551–2,572 1,884 1,375–2,887
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,666–2,664 2,016 1,444–3,269
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,634–2,788 2,085 1,313–3,814
Cost history (197 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,220
Aug 20262,544
Jul 20262,664
Jun 20262,604
May 20262,412
Apr 20262,160
Mar 20262,160
Feb 20262,256
Jan 20262,016
Dec 20251,980
Nov 20252,136
Oct 20252,088
Sept 20252,340
Aug 20252,724
Jul 20253,000
Jun 20253,036
May 20252,904
Apr 20252,916
Mar 20253,096
Feb 20253,240
Jan 20253,312
Dec 20243,048
Nov 20242,820
Oct 20243,000
Sept 20243,288
Aug 20244,428
Jul 20244,992
Jun 20244,272
May 20243,936
Apr 20243,504
Mar 20243,516
Feb 20243,156
Jan 20243,108
Dec 20233,120
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20233,252
Sept 20234,200
Aug 20234,440
Jul 20233,936
Jun 20233,324
May 20232,568
Apr 20232,868
Mar 20232,916
Feb 20233,012
Jan 20233,060
Dec 20222,940
Nov 20222,232
Oct 20222,424
Sept 20223,060
Aug 20223,396
Jul 20223,540
Jun 20223,492
May 20223,396
Apr 20223,636
Mar 20223,732
Jan 20223,156
Dec 20212,916
Nov 20212,640
Oct 20212,640
Sept 20213,528
Aug 20213,792
Jul 20213,780
Jun 20213,336
May 20212,904
Apr 20212,832
Mar 20213,060
Feb 20213,024
Jan 20212,724
Dec 20202,568
Nov 20202,004
Oct 20201,980
Sept 20202,664
Aug 20203,792
Jul 20203,552
Jun 20202,964
May 20203,204
Mar 20202,592
Feb 20202,424
Jan 20202,256
Dec 20192,016
Nov 20191,944
Oct 20191,608
Sept 20192,064
Aug 20192,256
Jun 20192,052
May 20192,472
Apr 20192,160
Mar 20192,160
Feb 20192,088
Jan 20192,184
Dec 20182,112
Nov 20182,112
Oct 20181,932
Sept 20182,256
Aug 20183,120
Jul 20183,180
Jun 20183,252
May 20183,216
Apr 20182,748
Mar 20182,784
Feb 20182,808
Jan 20182,640
Dec 20172,640
Nov 20172,640
Oct 20172,904
Sept 20173,324
Aug 20173,840
Jul 20173,756
Jun 20173,756
May 20173,552
Apr 20173,552
Mar 20172,916
Feb 20172,940
Jan 20172,748
Nov 20161,920
Oct 20161,812
Sept 20162,304
Aug 20162,976
Jul 20162,268
Jun 20162,208
May 20162,172
Feb 20161,848
Jan 20161,656
Dec 20152,712
Oct 20152,712
Sept 20152,712
Aug 20152,712
Jul 20152,712
Jun 20152,712
May 20152,712
Apr 20152,712
Mar 20152,712
Feb 20152,712
Jan 20152,712
Nov 20142,712
Oct 20142,712
Sept 20142,712
Aug 20142,712
Jul 20142,712
Jun 20142,712
May 20142,712
Apr 20142,712
Mar 20142,712
Feb 20142,712
Jan 20142,712
Dec 20132,712
Nov 20132,712
Oct 20132,760
Sept 20133,240
Aug 20133,554
Jul 20133,588
Jun 20133,204
May 20132,880
Apr 20133,000
Mar 20132,902
Jan 20132,542
Dec 20122,001
Nov 20121,680
Oct 20121,861
Sept 20123,026
Aug 20123,600
Jul 20123,572
May 20123,000
Apr 20122,676
Dec 20112,384
Nov 20111,927
Oct 20111,896
Sept 20111,656
Jul 20112,220
Jun 20112,184
May 20112,244
Apr 20111,972
Mar 20111,920
Jan 20111,752
Dec 20101,822
Nov 20101,560
Oct 20101,667
Sept 20101,973
Aug 20102,640
Jul 20102,640
Jun 20102,588
May 20102,640
Mar 20102,280
Feb 20102,296
Jan 20102,280
Dec 20091,920
Nov 20091,920
Oct 20091,992
Sept 20092,160
Aug 20092,640
Jul 20092,567
Jun 20092,186
May 20092,160
Apr 20092,172
Mar 20092,160
Feb 20092,160
Jan 20092,135

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186