Staple Signals Français

Home › Niger

Food basket in Gaya

Dosso, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,077–3,406

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,012–3,533

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,264 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,077 and 3,406 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,012 and 3,533 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Gaya: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,264 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,077 and 3,406 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,012 and 3,533 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,344–3,214 2,679 2,088–3,389
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,883–3,182 2,346 1,676–3,278
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,077–3,406 2,521 1,875–3,566
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,038–3,444 2,514 1,766–4,056
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,012–3,533 2,551 1,718–4,103
Cost history (372 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,108
Aug 20263,264
Jul 20263,384
Jun 20263,288
May 20262,664
Apr 20262,664
Mar 20262,748
Feb 20262,640
Jan 20262,388
Dec 20252,784
Nov 20252,820
Oct 20252,352
Sept 20252,376
Aug 20253,432
Jul 20254,128
Jun 20253,732
May 20253,540
Apr 20253,756
Mar 20253,756
Jan 20253,648
Dec 20243,516
Nov 20243,492
Oct 20243,192
Sept 20244,152
Aug 20244,920
Jul 20245,304
Jun 20245,004
May 20244,596
Apr 20244,296
Mar 20243,732
Jan 20243,960
Dec 20233,972
Nov 20233,312
Oct 20233,492
Sept 20233,624
Aug 20234,776
Jul 20234,536
Jun 20233,888
May 20233,576
Apr 20233,708
Mar 20233,612
Feb 20233,612
Jan 20233,612
Dec 20223,528
Nov 20223,972
Oct 20222,268
Sept 20223,144
Aug 20224,260
Jul 20224,344
Jun 20223,948
May 20223,948
Apr 20223,792
Mar 20223,792
Jan 20223,408
Dec 20213,336
Nov 20213,216
Oct 20212,760
Sept 20213,792
Aug 20214,068
Jul 20213,672
Jun 20213,444
May 20213,408
Apr 20213,408
Mar 20213,396
Jan 20212,736
Dec 20202,124
Nov 20202,820
Oct 20202,568
Sept 20203,684
Aug 20204,044
Jul 20203,342
Jun 20202,880
May 20202,856
Apr 20202,892
Mar 20202,892
Jan 20202,568
Dec 20192,496
Nov 20192,472
Oct 20191,932
Sept 20192,196
Aug 20192,460
Jul 20192,388
Jun 20192,568
May 20192,664
Apr 20192,760
Mar 20192,412
Feb 20192,412
Jan 20192,424
Dec 20182,424
Nov 20182,244
Oct 20182,196
Sept 20182,496
Aug 20183,000
Jul 20183,756
May 20183,000
Apr 20183,000
Mar 20182,928
Dec 20172,856
Nov 20172,892
Oct 20172,628
Sept 20172,808
Aug 20174,128
Jul 20173,756
Jun 20173,756
May 20173,000
Apr 20173,000
Mar 20173,000
Feb 20172,628
Jan 20172,220
Nov 20162,256
Oct 20162,196
Sept 20163,000
Aug 20162,820
Jul 20162,856
Jun 20162,760
May 20162,592
Apr 20162,148
Jan 20162,004
Dec 20152,172
Oct 20151,812
Sept 20152,172
Aug 20152,328
Jul 20152,544
Jun 20152,520
May 20152,364
Apr 20152,196
Mar 20152,250
Feb 20152,241
Jan 20152,202
Nov 20142,169
Oct 20142,034
Sept 20142,195
Aug 20142,280
Jul 20142,679
Jun 20142,486
May 20142,728
Apr 20142,963
Mar 20142,664
Jan 20142,794
Dec 20132,744
Nov 20132,857
Oct 20132,510
Sept 20132,410
Aug 20132,829
Jul 20133,556
Jun 20133,373
May 20133,567
Apr 20133,704
Mar 20133,336
Feb 20132,963
Jan 20132,927
Dec 20122,892
Nov 20122,696
Oct 20122,357
Sept 20122,561
Aug 20123,073
Jul 20123,474
May 20122,847
Apr 20123,186
Mar 20122,697
Jan 20122,640
Dec 20112,711
Nov 20112,532
Oct 20112,196
Sept 20112,096
Jul 20112,664
Jun 20112,529
May 20113,000
Apr 20112,410
Mar 20112,264
Jan 20112,169
Dec 20102,040
Nov 20102,022
Oct 20101,905
Sept 20101,892
Aug 20102,988
Jul 20102,963
Jun 20102,625
May 20102,727
Apr 20102,556
Mar 20102,516
Jan 20102,154
Dec 20092,169
Nov 20092,117
Oct 20091,992
Sept 20092,436
Aug 20093,750
Jul 20093,039
Jun 20092,716
May 20092,927
Apr 20092,910
Mar 20092,622
Feb 20092,520
Jan 20092,693
Dec 20082,572
Nov 20082,377
Oct 20082,196
Sept 20082,196
Aug 20082,688
Jul 20083,108
Jun 20082,724
May 20082,532
Apr 20082,472
Mar 20082,520
Feb 20082,040
Jan 20081,836
Dec 20071,786
Nov 20071,770
Oct 20071,522
Sept 20071,352
Aug 20071,528
Jul 20071,663
Jun 20071,550
May 20071,732
Apr 20071,782
Mar 20071,785
Feb 20071,796
Jan 20071,543
Dec 20061,412
Nov 20061,406
Oct 20061,324
Sept 20061,350
Aug 20062,078
Jul 20061,994
Jun 20061,951
May 20062,135
Apr 20062,098
Mar 20062,050
Feb 20062,143
Jan 20061,821
Dec 20051,786
Nov 20051,661
Oct 20051,556
Sept 20051,651
Aug 20053,293
Jul 20053,781
Jun 20053,102
May 20052,706
Apr 20052,480
Mar 20052,501
Feb 20052,259
Jan 20051,724
Dec 20041,724
Nov 20041,823
Oct 20041,540
Sept 20041,233
Aug 20041,939
Jul 20041,985
Jun 20041,822
May 20041,702
Apr 20041,772
Mar 20041,786
Feb 20041,646
Jan 20041,330
Dec 20031,290
Nov 20031,368
Oct 20031,333
Sept 20031,229
Aug 20031,403
Jul 20031,386
Jun 20031,579
May 20031,761
Apr 20031,758
Mar 20031,863
Feb 20031,740
Jan 20031,731
Dec 20021,590
Nov 20021,788
Oct 20021,548
Sept 20022,238
Aug 20022,988
Jul 20022,892
Jun 20022,280
May 20022,334
Apr 20022,388
Mar 20022,796
Feb 20022,418
Jan 20021,928
Dec 20011,662
Nov 20011,620
Oct 20011,812
Sept 20011,812
Aug 20012,328
Jul 20012,184
Jun 20012,124
May 20012,064
Apr 20012,328
Mar 20011,766
Jan 20011,379
Dec 20001,356
Nov 20001,176
Oct 20001,284
Sept 20001,392
Aug 20001,380
Jul 20001,368
Jun 20001,356
May 20001,368
Apr 20001,332
Mar 20001,200
Feb 20001,068
Jan 2000888
Dec 1999996
Nov 1999972
Oct 1999864
Sept 19991,092
Aug 19991,428
Jul 19991,392
Jun 19991,380
May 19991,368
Apr 19991,464
Mar 19991,500
Feb 19991,356
Jan 19991,272
Dec 19981,356
Nov 19981,416
Oct 19981,392
Sept 19981,476
Aug 19982,736
Jul 19982,772
Jun 19982,760
May 19982,736
Apr 19982,700
Mar 19982,340
Feb 19982,496
Jan 19982,352
Dec 19972,052
Nov 19971,968
Oct 19971,872
Sept 19971,608
Aug 19971,968
Jul 19972,460
Jun 19972,160
May 19972,220
Apr 19972,388
Mar 19972,028
Jan 19971,572
Dec 19961,260
Nov 19961,188
Oct 19961,128
Sept 19961,116
Aug 19961,860
Jul 19961,716
Jun 19961,452
May 19961,368
Apr 19961,272
Mar 19961,200
Feb 1996984
Jan 1996876
Dec 1995864
Nov 1995900
Oct 1995744
Sept 1995876
Aug 19951,140
Jul 19951,176
Jun 19951,068
May 19951,056
Apr 19951,116
Mar 1995888
Feb 1995816
Jan 1995804
Dec 1994684
Nov 1994684
Oct 1994708
Sept 1994768
Aug 1994828
Jul 1994840
Jun 1994804
May 1994828
Apr 1994768
Mar 1994840
Feb 1994780
Jan 1994540

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186