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Food basket in Goure

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,103–3,394

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,070–3,593

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,300 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,103 and 3,394 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,070 and 3,593 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Goure: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,300 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,103 and 3,394 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,070 and 3,593 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,655–3,436 2,949 2,321–3,654
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,241–3,282 2,638 1,982–3,613
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,103–3,394 2,558 1,779–3,632
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,088–3,463 2,575 1,718–3,629
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,070–3,593 2,668 1,666–3,754
Cost history (375 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,132
Aug 20263,300
Jul 20263,648
Jun 20263,648
May 20263,156
Apr 20262,916
Mar 20262,808
Feb 20262,556
Jan 20262,520
Dec 20252,580
Nov 20252,580
Oct 20252,628
Sept 20252,520
Aug 20253,336
Jul 20253,912
Jun 20253,912
May 20253,912
Apr 20253,852
Mar 20253,996
Feb 20253,960
Jan 20253,660
Dec 20243,588
Nov 20243,492
Oct 20243,588
Sept 20244,500
Aug 20246,000
Jul 20245,580
Jun 20245,328
May 20244,992
Apr 20244,560
Mar 20244,092
Feb 20243,996
Jan 20243,756
Dec 20233,864
Nov 20233,864
Oct 20233,912
Sept 20234,692
Aug 20235,172
Jul 20234,320
Jun 20234,320
May 20234,188
Apr 20234,116
Mar 20233,540
Feb 20233,684
Jan 20233,816
Dec 20223,636
Nov 20223,348
Oct 20223,396
Sept 20224,272
Aug 20224,524
Jul 20224,596
Jun 20224,248
May 20224,056
Apr 20224,176
Mar 20224,176
Feb 20224,284
Jan 20223,768
Dec 20213,552
Nov 20213,600
Oct 20213,552
Sept 20214,188
Aug 20214,320
Jul 20214,212
Jun 20213,828
May 20213,528
Apr 20213,912
Mar 20213,684
Feb 20213,660
Jan 20213,408
Dec 20202,340
Nov 20202,724
Oct 20203,192
Sept 20203,948
Aug 20204,224
Jul 20204,002
Jun 20203,384
May 20203,276
Apr 20203,393
Mar 20203,432
Feb 20202,952
Jan 20203,000
Dec 20192,796
Nov 20192,796
Oct 20192,820
Sept 20192,940
Aug 20193,048
Jul 20192,184
Jun 20193,240
May 20193,384
Apr 20193,480
Mar 20193,168
Feb 20192,820
Jan 20192,964
Dec 20183,108
Nov 20182,820
Oct 20182,964
Sept 20183,600
Aug 20183,684
Jul 20183,168
Jun 20183,168
May 20183,216
Apr 20183,036
Mar 20182,796
Feb 20182,796
Jan 20182,844
Dec 20172,844
Nov 20172,880
Oct 20172,544
Sept 20173,228
Aug 20173,552
Jul 20173,552
Jun 20173,528
May 20173,528
Apr 20173,456
Mar 20173,228
Feb 20173,204
Jan 20172,748
Nov 20162,112
Oct 20162,112
Sept 20162,700
Aug 20163,456
Jul 20163,060
Jun 20162,772
May 20162,820
Apr 20162,340
Mar 20162,340
Feb 20162,352
Jan 20161,908
Dec 20151,692
Oct 20152,208
Sept 20152,772
Aug 20152,304
Jul 20152,652
Jun 20152,760
May 20152,664
Apr 20152,568
Mar 20152,308
Feb 20152,297
Jan 20152,304
Nov 20142,333
Oct 20142,667
Sept 20142,667
Aug 20143,111
Jul 20143,159
Jun 20143,231
May 20143,231
Apr 20143,216
Mar 20143,170
Feb 20143,155
Jan 20143,201
Dec 20133,243
Nov 20133,268
Oct 20133,316
Sept 20133,412
Aug 20133,795
Jul 20133,795
Jun 20133,715
May 20133,579
Apr 20133,275
Mar 20132,968
Feb 20132,592
Jan 20132,590
Dec 20122,592
Nov 20122,581
Oct 20122,607
Sept 20123,345
Aug 20123,669
Jul 20123,237
May 20122,808
Apr 20122,808
Mar 20122,376
Feb 20122,592
Jan 20122,424
Dec 20112,266
Nov 20111,942
Oct 20111,944
Sept 20111,932
Jul 20112,196
Jun 20112,160
May 20112,160
Apr 20112,160
Mar 20111,836
Jan 20111,778
Dec 20101,720
Nov 20101,638
Oct 20101,735
Sept 20102,114
Aug 20102,720
Jul 20102,590
Jun 20102,590
May 20102,590
Apr 20102,376
Mar 20102,280
Feb 20102,296
Jan 20102,156
Dec 20092,158
Nov 20092,160
Oct 20092,008
Sept 20092,280
Aug 20092,590
Jul 20092,482
Jun 20092,148
May 20092,148
Apr 20092,152
Mar 20092,162
Feb 20092,378
Jan 20092,264
Dec 20082,139
Nov 20082,158
Oct 20081,884
Sept 20082,592
Aug 20082,448
Jul 20082,364
Jun 20082,256
May 20082,160
Apr 20082,196
Feb 20081,884
Jan 20081,800
Dec 20071,730
Nov 20071,728
Oct 20071,458
Sept 20071,507
Aug 20071,624
Jul 20071,724
Jun 20071,727
May 20071,720
Apr 20071,716
Mar 20071,723
Feb 20071,727
Jan 20071,649
Dec 20061,505
Nov 20061,328
Oct 20061,412
Sept 20061,722
Aug 20062,069
Jul 20061,992
Jun 20061,727
May 20061,723
Apr 20061,724
Mar 20061,724
Feb 20061,744
Jan 20061,677
Dec 20051,570
Nov 20051,426
Oct 20051,550
Sept 20052,503
Aug 20053,830
Jul 20053,476
Jun 20052,994
May 20052,599
Apr 20052,688
Mar 20052,311
Feb 20052,203
Jan 20051,922
Dec 20041,873
Nov 20041,730
Oct 20041,667
Sept 20041,615
Aug 20041,724
Jul 20041,638
Jun 20041,484
May 20041,619
Apr 20041,619
Mar 20041,373
Feb 20041,349
Jan 20041,186
Dec 20031,077
Nov 20031,133
Oct 20031,135
Sept 20031,081
Aug 20031,200
Jul 20031,247
Jun 20031,418
May 20031,759
Apr 20031,728
Mar 20031,764
Feb 20031,743
Jan 20031,615
Dec 20021,542
Nov 20021,560
Oct 20021,674
Sept 20022,202
Aug 20022,724
Jul 20022,352
Jun 20022,280
May 20022,130
Apr 20022,136
Mar 20022,364
Feb 20022,220
Dec 20011,656
Nov 20011,596
Oct 20011,656
Sept 20012,136
Aug 20012,536
Jul 20012,424
Jun 20012,364
Mar 20012,106
Feb 20011,686
Jan 20011,545
Nov 20001,482
Oct 20001,434
Sept 20001,584
Aug 20001,572
Jul 20001,560
Jun 20001,644
May 20001,512
Apr 20001,662
Mar 20001,356
Feb 20001,212
Jan 20001,128
Nov 19991,116
Oct 19991,128
Sept 19991,032
Aug 19991,020
Jul 19991,044
Jun 1999936
May 19991,116
Apr 19991,056
Mar 1999900
Feb 1999900
Jan 1999936
Dec 1998888
Nov 1998996
Oct 19981,092
Sept 19981,980
Aug 19982,808
Jul 19982,664
Jun 19982,412
May 19982,412
Apr 19982,220
Mar 19981,932
Feb 19981,836
Jan 19981,812
Dec 19971,692
Nov 19971,452
Oct 19971,452
Sept 19971,800
Aug 19972,052
Jul 19971,980
Jun 19971,788
May 19971,704
Apr 19971,704
Mar 19971,428
Feb 19971,416
Jan 19971,416
Dec 19961,152
Nov 1996972
Oct 19961,056
Sept 19961,308
Aug 19961,416
Jul 19961,740
Jun 19961,200
Apr 19961,080
Mar 1996972
Feb 1996804
Jan 1996804
Dec 1995804
Oct 19951,008
Aug 19951,008
Jul 1995912
Jun 1995828
May 1995876
Apr 1995900
Mar 1995804
Feb 1995804
Jan 1995744
Nov 1994684
Sept 1994780
Aug 1994888
Jul 1994936
Jun 1994852
Apr 1994852
Mar 1994756
Feb 1994696
Jan 1994672

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186