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Food basket in Guidan Roumdji

Maradi, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,540–2,489

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,475–2,622

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,280 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,540 and 2,489 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,475 and 2,622 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Guidan Roumdji: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,280 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,540 and 2,489 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,475 and 2,622 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,744–2,386 1,993 1,542–2,527
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,567–2,375 1,877 1,427–2,603
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,540–2,489 1,878 1,402–2,498
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,537–2,580 1,907 1,309–2,843
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,475–2,622 1,937 1,210–2,921
Cost history (200 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,172
Aug 20262,280
Jul 20262,676
Jun 20262,688
May 20262,616
Apr 20262,448
Mar 20262,376
Feb 20262,076
Jan 20261,860
Dec 20251,944
Nov 20252,148
Oct 20252,064
Sept 20252,184
Aug 20252,880
Jul 20253,288
Jun 20253,360
May 20253,336
Apr 20253,336
Mar 20253,396
Feb 20253,420
Jan 20253,552
Dec 20243,348
Nov 20243,024
Oct 20242,904
Sept 20243,000
Aug 20245,256
Jul 20245,196
Jun 20244,152
May 20243,828
Apr 20243,600
Mar 20243,336
Feb 20243,108
Jan 20242,820
Dec 20232,772
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20232,772
Sept 20233,408
Aug 20233,480
Jul 20233,336
Jun 20233,000
May 20233,000
Apr 20232,844
Mar 20232,772
Feb 20232,772
Jan 20232,664
Dec 20222,664
Nov 20222,604
Oct 20223,864
Sept 20223,156
Aug 20223,732
Jul 20223,780
Jun 20223,552
May 20223,336
Apr 20223,108
Mar 20223,108
Jan 20223,060
Dec 20212,832
Nov 20212,760
Oct 20212,700
Sept 20213,192
Aug 20213,612
Jul 20213,384
Jun 20213,288
May 20213,360
Apr 20213,240
Mar 20212,892
Feb 20212,964
Jan 20212,904
Dec 20202,604
Nov 20201,992
Oct 20202,196
Sept 20202,640
Aug 20203,288
Jul 20203,330
Jun 20202,832
May 20202,412
Apr 20202,568
Mar 20202,400
Feb 20202,400
Jan 20202,400
Dec 20191,968
Nov 20191,896
Oct 20191,644
Sept 20191,692
Aug 20191,788
Jul 20192,004
Jun 20191,992
May 20192,040
Apr 20192,328
Mar 20192,220
Feb 20191,932
Jan 20192,040
Dec 20181,932
Nov 20182,004
Oct 20181,728
Sept 20182,304
Aug 20182,568
Jul 20183,000
May 20182,688
Apr 20182,772
Mar 20182,520
Feb 20182,448
Jan 20182,448
Dec 20172,640
Nov 20172,352
Oct 20172,352
Sept 20171,824
Aug 20173,312
Jul 20173,456
Jun 20173,216
May 20173,000
Apr 20173,108
Mar 20172,664
Feb 20172,280
Jan 20171,968
Nov 20161,920
Oct 20161,848
Sept 20162,400
Aug 20162,472
Jul 20162,280
Jun 20161,896
May 20162,004
Mar 20161,776
Feb 20161,776
Jan 20161,728
Dec 20151,728
Oct 20151,596
Sept 20151,860
Aug 20151,644
Jul 20151,944
Jun 20151,776
May 20151,908
Apr 20151,788
Mar 20151,500
Feb 20151,547
Jan 20151,696
Nov 20141,714
Oct 20141,684
Sept 20141,962
Aug 20142,222
Jul 20142,476
Jun 20142,407
May 20142,519
Apr 20142,671
Mar 20142,500
Feb 20142,444
Jan 20142,510
Dec 20132,640
Nov 20132,597
Oct 20132,457
Sept 20132,491
Aug 20133,428
Jul 20133,556
Jun 20133,333
May 20133,092
Apr 20133,109
Mar 20133,041
Jan 20132,726
Dec 20123,273
Nov 20123,000
Oct 20122,089
Sept 20122,086
Aug 20123,278
Jul 20123,397
May 20123,273
Apr 20123,000
Dec 20113,000
Nov 20112,112
Oct 20111,772
Sept 20111,644
Jul 20111,828
Jun 20111,860
May 20112,072
Apr 20111,848
Mar 20111,848
Jan 20111,634
Dec 20101,718
Nov 20101,560
Oct 20101,440
Sept 20101,614
Aug 20102,844
Jul 20102,878
Jun 20102,660
May 20102,406
Apr 20102,196
Mar 20102,166
Feb 20102,104
Jan 20102,088
Dec 20091,936
Nov 20091,812
Oct 20091,854
Sept 20091,650
Aug 20092,098
Jul 20092,640
Jun 20092,100
May 20091,855
Apr 20091,932
Mar 20091,926
Feb 20091,938
Jan 20091,884

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186