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Food basket in Harobanda

Niamey, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,374–3,547

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,344–3,673

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,480 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,374 and 3,547 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,344 and 3,673 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Harobanda: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,480 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,374 and 3,547 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,344 and 3,673 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,919–3,586 3,238 2,603–3,689
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,472–3,457 2,867 2,047–3,551
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,374–3,547 2,829 1,988–3,550
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,319–3,608 2,822 1,988–4,209
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,344–3,673 2,846 2,035–4,290
Cost history (359 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,312
Aug 20263,480
Jul 20263,420
Jun 20263,288
May 20263,000
Apr 20263,072
Mar 20262,880
Feb 20262,796
Jan 20262,796
Dec 20252,832
Nov 20252,796
Oct 20252,880
Sept 20253,312
Aug 20253,492
Jul 20253,792
Jun 20253,768
May 20253,696
Apr 20253,960
Mar 20254,044
Feb 20253,996
Jan 20253,756
Dec 20244,080
Nov 20243,876
Oct 20244,020
Sept 20244,752
Aug 20245,832
May 20244,572
Apr 20244,080
Mar 20244,104
Feb 20243,744
Jan 20243,672
Dec 20233,612
Nov 20233,672
Oct 20233,840
Sept 20234,536
Aug 20234,320
Jul 20234,116
May 20233,492
Apr 20233,108
Mar 20233,432
Feb 20233,492
Jan 20233,516
Dec 20223,528
Nov 20222,820
Oct 20222,268
Sept 20224,116
Aug 20224,392
Jul 20224,284
May 20224,032
Apr 20223,984
Mar 20223,744
Feb 20223,648
Jan 20223,624
Dec 20213,528
Nov 20213,600
Oct 20213,420
Sept 20213,624
Aug 20213,480
Jul 20213,528
May 20213,504
Apr 20213,276
Mar 20213,252
Feb 20213,180
Jan 20212,928
Dec 20202,136
Nov 20202,748
Oct 20202,952
Sept 20203,504
Aug 20203,734
Jul 20203,198
May 20202,988
Apr 20202,940
Mar 20202,760
Feb 20202,748
Jan 20202,568
Dec 20192,580
Nov 20192,652
Oct 20192,544
Sept 20192,760
Aug 20192,604
Jun 20192,796
May 20192,772
Apr 20192,736
Mar 20192,736
Feb 20192,748
Jan 20192,808
Dec 20182,808
Nov 20182,772
Oct 20182,772
Sept 20183,300
Aug 20183,324
Jul 20183,528
Jun 20183,492
May 20183,192
Apr 20183,084
Mar 20183,060
Feb 20183,036
Jan 20183,036
Dec 20173,036
Nov 20173,300
Oct 20173,252
Sept 20173,780
Aug 20173,420
Jul 20173,360
May 20173,504
Apr 20173,240
Mar 20172,772
Feb 20172,820
Jan 20172,664
Nov 20162,604
Oct 20162,712
Sept 20163,084
Aug 20163,000
Jul 20162,820
Jun 20162,772
May 20162,604
Apr 20162,592
Mar 20162,556
Feb 20162,556
Jan 20162,520
Dec 20152,520
Oct 20152,532
Sept 20152,664
Aug 20152,748
Jul 20152,736
Jun 20152,712
May 20152,772
Apr 20152,700
Mar 20152,588
Feb 20152,596
Jan 20152,616
Nov 20142,846
Oct 20142,850
Sept 20142,857
Aug 20143,042
Jul 20143,001
Jun 20143,059
May 20143,108
Apr 20143,120
Mar 20143,333
Feb 20143,324
Jan 20143,200
Dec 20133,124
Nov 20133,240
Oct 20133,143
Sept 20133,294
Aug 20133,314
Jul 20133,525
May 20133,391
Apr 20133,387
Mar 20133,142
Feb 20133,086
Jan 20133,095
Dec 20123,145
Nov 20123,027
Oct 20123,061
Sept 20123,871
Aug 20123,852
May 20123,600
Apr 20123,300
Mar 20123,115
Feb 20123,105
Jan 20123,120
Dec 20113,083
Nov 20112,668
Oct 20112,400
Sept 20112,424
Jun 20112,640
May 20112,640
Apr 20112,455
Mar 20112,424
Feb 20112,372
Jan 20112,376
Dec 20102,328
Nov 20102,160
Oct 20102,400
Sept 20102,701
Aug 20102,903
Jul 20102,915
Jun 20102,903
May 20102,857
Apr 20102,664
Mar 20102,646
Feb 20102,592
Jan 20102,620
Dec 20092,630
Nov 20092,640
Oct 20092,478
Sept 20092,857
Aug 20093,120
May 20092,833
Apr 20092,778
Mar 20092,805
Feb 20092,619
Jan 20092,662
Dec 20082,556
Nov 20082,464
Oct 20082,376
Sept 20082,580
Aug 20082,784
Jul 20082,820
May 20082,484
Apr 20082,412
Mar 20082,136
Feb 20082,148
Dec 20071,921
Nov 20071,908
Oct 20071,901
Sept 20071,936
Aug 20071,948
Jul 20071,934
Jun 20071,922
May 20071,959
Apr 20071,897
Mar 20071,903
Feb 20071,959
Jan 20071,901
Dec 20061,897
Nov 20061,755
Oct 20061,974
Sept 20062,039
Aug 20062,154
Jun 20062,205
May 20062,272
Apr 20062,347
Mar 20062,167
Feb 20062,175
Jan 20062,148
Dec 20052,118
Nov 20052,118
Oct 20052,346
Sept 20052,817
Aug 20053,585
Jun 20053,081
May 20052,655
Apr 20052,362
Mar 20052,394
Feb 20052,135
Jan 20051,899
Dec 20041,815
Nov 20041,967
Oct 20041,986
Sept 20041,653
Aug 20041,701
Jun 20041,612
May 20041,630
Apr 20041,583
Mar 20041,518
Feb 20041,426
Jan 20041,451
Dec 20031,464
Nov 20031,473
Oct 20031,434
Sept 20031,631
Aug 20031,769
Jun 20032,260
May 20032,252
Apr 20032,220
Mar 20032,191
Feb 20032,403
Jan 20032,048
Dec 20021,968
Nov 20022,112
Oct 20021,956
Sept 20022,442
Aug 20022,828
Jun 20022,436
May 20022,436
Apr 20022,436
Mar 20022,436
Feb 20022,304
Jan 20021,780
Dec 20011,716
Nov 20011,716
Oct 20011,776
Sept 20012,056
Aug 20012,532
Jun 20012,466
May 20012,568
Apr 20012,826
Mar 20012,303
Feb 20011,790
Jan 20011,795
Dec 20001,596
Nov 20001,536
Oct 20001,536
Sept 20001,536
Jun 20001,536
Apr 20001,404
Mar 20001,344
Feb 20001,266
Jan 20001,176
Dec 19991,176
Nov 19991,164
Oct 19991,272
Sept 19991,344
Jul 19991,428
Jun 19991,404
May 19991,404
Apr 19991,404
Mar 19991,392
Feb 19991,416
Jan 19991,380
Dec 19981,404
Nov 19981,440
Oct 19981,524
Sept 19982,244
Aug 19982,904
Jul 19982,592
Jun 19982,688
May 19982,700
Apr 19982,316
Mar 19982,172
Feb 19982,016
Jan 19982,016
Dec 19972,016
Nov 19972,016
Oct 19972,004
Sept 19972,148
Jul 19972,316
Jun 19972,040
May 19972,004
Apr 19972,040
Mar 19971,764
Feb 19971,668
Jan 19971,524
Dec 19961,368
Nov 19961,344
Oct 19961,512
Sept 19961,728
Aug 19961,968
Jun 19961,620
May 19961,632
Apr 19961,440
Mar 19961,248
Feb 19961,200
Jan 19961,116
Dec 19951,116
Nov 19951,080
Oct 1995960
Sept 1995984
Jun 19951,032
May 1995996
Apr 19951,032
Mar 19951,020
Feb 1995996
Jan 19951,044
Dec 19941,032
Nov 19941,032
Oct 19941,104
Sept 19941,164
Aug 19941,224
Jul 19941,272
Jun 19941,140
May 19941,068
Apr 1994984
Mar 19941,032
Feb 19941,044
Jan 1994996

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186