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Food basket in Kazoe

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,911–3,254

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,895–3,425

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,312 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,911 and 3,254 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,895 and 3,425 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Kazoe: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,312 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,911 and 3,254 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,895 and 3,425 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,668–3,501 3,076 2,409–3,589
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,224–3,432 2,695 1,758–3,526
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,911–3,254 2,360 1,844–3,644
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,888–3,319 2,355 1,799–4,445
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,895–3,425 2,420 1,730–4,383
Cost history (197 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,084
Aug 20263,312
Jul 20263,468
Jun 20262,976
May 20262,856
Apr 20262,640
Mar 20262,532
Feb 20262,208
Jan 20262,256
Dec 20252,184
Nov 20252,184
Oct 20252,616
Sept 20253,108
Aug 20253,420
Jul 20253,660
Jun 20253,492
May 20253,588
Apr 20253,504
Mar 20253,480
Feb 20253,492
Jan 20253,828
Dec 20243,000
Nov 20243,012
Oct 20243,144
Sept 20244,428
Aug 20245,856
Jul 20245,616
Jun 20244,308
May 20243,888
Apr 20243,648
Mar 20243,384
Feb 20243,348
Jan 20243,204
Dec 20233,168
Nov 20233,240
Oct 20233,852
Sept 20233,684
Aug 20233,600
Jul 20233,132
Jun 20233,156
May 20233,192
Apr 20233,096
Mar 20232,808
Feb 20232,688
Jan 20232,556
Dec 20222,880
Nov 20223,756
Oct 20223,876
Sept 20223,864
Aug 20223,852
Jul 20223,828
Jun 20223,792
May 20223,780
Apr 20223,624
Mar 20223,516
Feb 20223,420
Jan 20222,940
Dec 20212,616
Nov 20212,724
Oct 20212,964
Sept 20213,324
Aug 20213,300
Jul 20213,264
Jun 20213,180
May 20213,036
Apr 20212,880
Mar 20212,856
Feb 20212,292
Jan 20212,280
Dec 20202,868
Nov 20201,968
Oct 20203,588
Sept 20203,444
Aug 20203,300
Jul 20202,850
Jun 20202,400
May 20202,400
Apr 20202,400
Mar 20202,376
Feb 20202,760
Jan 20202,496
Dec 20191,884
Nov 20191,872
Oct 20192,328
Sept 20192,436
Aug 20192,052
Jul 20192,076
Jun 20192,340
May 20192,364
Apr 20192,376
Mar 20192,376
Feb 20192,364
Jan 20192,352
Dec 20182,364
Nov 20182,460
Oct 20182,448
Sept 20183,024
Aug 20183,048
Jul 20183,060
Jun 20182,940
May 20182,856
Apr 20182,772
Mar 20182,712
Feb 20182,676
Jan 20182,892
Dec 20173,084
Nov 20173,168
Oct 20173,636
Sept 20173,696
Aug 20173,696
Jul 20173,696
Jun 20173,420
May 20173,300
Apr 20173,072
Mar 20172,832
Feb 20172,376
Jan 20172,376
Nov 20162,256
Oct 20162,700
Sept 20162,880
Aug 20162,616
Jul 20162,592
Jun 20162,292
May 20162,196
Feb 20161,944
Jan 20161,932
Dec 20151,932
Oct 20152,508
Sept 20152,952
Aug 20153,096
Jul 20153,144
Jun 20153,096
May 20152,892
Apr 20152,676
Mar 20152,597
Feb 20152,633
Jan 20152,736
Nov 20142,527
Oct 20142,716
Sept 20143,000
Aug 20143,422
Jul 20143,291
Jun 20143,077
May 20143,069
Apr 20143,066
Mar 20143,491
Feb 20143,494
Jan 20143,517
Dec 20133,542
Nov 20133,066
Oct 20133,257
Sept 20133,543
Aug 20133,709
Jul 20133,622
Jun 20133,194
May 20133,243
Apr 20133,231
Mar 20133,422
Jan 20133,170
Dec 20123,360
Nov 20122,549
Oct 20123,170
Sept 20123,878
Aug 20123,331
Jul 20123,192
May 20123,051
Apr 20123,000
Dec 20112,340
Nov 20111,980
Oct 20112,136
Sept 20112,376
Jul 20112,208
Jun 20112,220
May 20112,298
Apr 20112,020
Mar 20111,944
Jan 20112,000
Dec 20101,702
Nov 20101,752
Oct 20102,588
Sept 20102,710
Aug 20102,939
Jul 20102,826
Jun 20102,868
May 20102,635
Apr 20102,508
Feb 20102,463
Jan 20102,484
Nov 20092,316
Oct 20092,226
Sept 20092,796
Aug 20092,796
Jul 20092,412
Jun 20092,299
May 20092,290
Apr 20092,304
Mar 20092,280

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186