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Food basket in Konni

Tahoua, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,852–2,801

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,773–2,920

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,700 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,852 and 2,801 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,773 and 2,920 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Konni: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,700 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,852 and 2,801 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,773 and 2,920 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,204–2,809 2,423 1,977–2,905
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,845–2,664 2,158 1,655–2,750
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,852–2,801 2,179 1,609–2,888
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,833–2,869 2,178 1,629–3,410
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,773–2,920 2,216 1,450–3,403
Cost history (173 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,388
Aug 20262,700
Jul 20262,868
Jun 20262,832
May 20262,616
Apr 20262,376
Mar 20262,316
Feb 20262,184
Dec 20252,352
Nov 20252,292
Oct 20252,280
Sept 20252,580
Aug 20252,988
Jul 20253,096
Jun 20253,084
May 20253,120
Apr 20253,204
Mar 20253,264
Jan 20253,240
Dec 20243,048
Nov 20243,060
Oct 20242,952
Sept 20243,660
Aug 20244,452
Jul 20244,788
Jun 20244,224
May 20243,816
Apr 20243,732
Mar 20243,372
Feb 20243,312
Jan 20243,168
Dec 20233,072
Nov 20233,084
Oct 20233,084
Sept 20233,984
Aug 20234,044
Jul 20233,732
Jun 20233,204
May 20233,084
Apr 20233,084
Mar 20233,084
Feb 20233,024
Dec 20222,820
Nov 20223,072
Oct 20222,856
Sept 20223,324
Aug 20223,708
Jul 20223,588
Jun 20223,588
May 20223,576
Apr 20223,564
Mar 20223,552
Feb 20223,552
Dec 20213,060
Nov 20213,072
Oct 20212,928
Sept 20213,312
Aug 20213,600
Jul 20213,348
Jun 20213,156
May 20213,120
Apr 20213,120
Mar 20213,108
Oct 20202,400
May 20202,628
Mar 20202,448
Feb 20202,400
Jan 20202,208
Dec 20192,112
Nov 20192,124
Oct 20191,956
Sept 20192,160
Aug 20192,004
Jun 20191,704
Apr 20192,172
Mar 20192,172
Feb 20192,196
Jan 20192,184
Dec 20182,172
Nov 20182,160
Oct 20181,920
Sept 20182,388
Aug 20183,132
Jul 20183,132
Jun 20183,132
May 20182,976
Apr 20182,868
Mar 20182,868
Jan 20182,640
Dec 20172,628
Nov 20172,412
Oct 20172,412
Sept 20173,144
Aug 20173,600
Jul 20173,600
Jun 20173,600
May 20173,600
Apr 20173,468
Mar 20172,868
Nov 20162,160
Oct 20162,172
Sept 20162,520
Aug 20162,652
Jul 20162,664
Jun 20162,712
May 20162,424
Mar 20162,136
Dec 20151,944
Jul 20152,124
Jun 20152,160
May 20152,160
Apr 20151,920
Mar 20151,968
Jan 20151,920
Nov 20141,988
Oct 20141,804
Sept 20142,235
Aug 20142,574
Jul 20143,065
Jun 20142,880
May 20142,880
Apr 20143,040
Mar 20142,886
Jan 20142,869
Dec 20132,809
Nov 20133,144
Oct 20132,596
Sept 20133,240
Aug 20133,600
Jul 20133,600
Jun 20133,280
May 20133,000
Apr 20133,420
Mar 20133,000
Dec 20122,517
Nov 20122,386
Oct 20122,386
Sept 20123,034
Aug 20123,360
Jul 20123,240
May 20123,084
Apr 20123,096
Dec 20112,628
Nov 20112,449
Oct 20112,148
Sept 20111,920
Jul 20112,160
Jun 20112,160
May 20112,160
Apr 20112,080
Mar 20112,040
Dec 20101,806
Nov 20101,637
Oct 20101,680
Sept 20101,970
Aug 20102,736
Jul 20102,640
May 20102,391
Apr 20102,383
Mar 20102,376
Feb 20102,376
Dec 20092,083
Nov 20092,166
Oct 20092,214
Sept 20092,391
Aug 20092,612
Jul 20092,434
Jun 20092,148
May 20092,154
Apr 20092,160
Mar 20092,164
Feb 20092,160
Jan 20092,040

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186