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Food basket in Magaria

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,650–2,570

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,525–2,655

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,376 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,650 and 2,570 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,525 and 2,655 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Magaria: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,376 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,650 and 2,570 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,525 and 2,655 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,872–2,477 2,087 1,647–2,579
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,516–2,381 1,810 1,457–2,495
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,650–2,570 1,916 1,487–2,728
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,608–2,599 1,902 1,456–3,020
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,525–2,655 1,954 1,223–2,680
Cost history (203 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,244
Aug 20262,376
Jul 20262,640
Jun 20262,580
May 20262,460
Apr 20262,136
Mar 20262,100
Feb 20261,932
Jan 20261,836
Dec 20251,956
Nov 20252,160
Oct 20251,920
Sept 20252,280
Aug 20252,880
Jul 20253,060
Jun 20253,000
May 20252,892
Apr 20253,120
Mar 20253,108
Feb 20253,276
Jan 20253,516
Dec 20243,036
Nov 20243,120
Oct 20242,916
Sept 20243,276
Aug 20244,284
Jul 20244,452
Jun 20244,200
May 20243,804
Apr 20243,732
Mar 20243,408
Feb 20243,192
Jan 20243,084
Dec 20233,084
Nov 20233,300
Oct 20232,892
Sept 20233,216
Aug 20234,080
Jul 20233,552
Jun 20233,108
May 20233,000
Apr 20232,844
Mar 20232,832
Feb 20232,736
Jan 20232,748
Dec 20222,508
Nov 20223,480
Oct 20222,256
Sept 20222,820
Aug 20222,676
Jul 20223,144
Jun 20222,988
May 20222,868
Apr 20222,964
Mar 20222,964
Feb 20222,976
Jan 20222,976
Dec 20212,556
Nov 20212,292
Oct 20212,244
Sept 20213,288
Aug 20213,372
Jul 20213,240
Jun 20213,084
May 20212,988
Apr 20212,856
Mar 20213,060
Feb 20212,880
Jan 20212,736
Dec 20202,724
Nov 20202,148
Oct 20202,088
Sept 20202,616
Aug 20203,090
Jul 20202,712
Jun 20202,316
May 20202,304
Apr 20202,469
Mar 20202,196
Feb 20202,004
Jan 20201,824
Dec 20191,728
Nov 20191,704
Oct 20191,536
Sept 20191,620
Aug 20192,100
Jul 20192,016
Jun 20191,908
May 20192,268
Apr 20192,256
Mar 20192,232
Feb 20192,028
Jan 20192,076
Dec 20182,016
Nov 20181,980
Oct 20181,764
Sept 20182,220
Aug 20182,448
Jul 20182,388
Jun 20182,664
May 20182,532
Apr 20182,388
Mar 20182,196
Feb 20182,316
Jan 20182,244
Dec 20172,244
Nov 20172,280
Oct 20172,064
Sept 20172,172
Aug 20173,240
Jul 20173,168
Jun 20173,336
May 20172,928
Apr 20172,928
Mar 20172,508
Feb 20172,424
Jan 20172,208
Nov 20161,980
Oct 20161,764
Sept 20162,496
Aug 20162,904
Jul 20162,412
Jun 20161,944
May 20162,052
Apr 20161,836
Mar 20161,704
Feb 20161,572
Jan 20161,512
Dec 20151,428
Oct 20151,488
Sept 20151,860
Aug 20151,812
Jul 20151,860
Jun 20151,812
May 20152,076
Apr 20151,908
Mar 20151,767
Feb 20151,794
Jan 20151,569
Nov 20141,760
Oct 20141,809
Sept 20142,258
Aug 20142,286
Jul 20142,444
Jun 20142,325
May 20142,484
Apr 20142,537
Mar 20142,604
Feb 20142,596
Jan 20142,516
Dec 20132,356
Nov 20132,556
Oct 20132,537
Sept 20132,779
Aug 20133,450
Jul 20133,445
Jun 20133,125
May 20132,954
Apr 20133,180
Mar 20132,859
Jan 20132,581
Dec 20122,295
Nov 20122,286
Oct 20122,049
Sept 20122,155
Aug 20122,894
Jul 20123,240
May 20122,553
Apr 20122,700
Dec 20111,996
Nov 20111,753
Oct 20111,644
Sept 20111,700
Jul 20112,100
Jun 20112,082
May 20112,340
Apr 20112,256
Mar 20112,076
Feb 20112,000
Jan 20112,050
Dec 20102,024
Nov 20101,810
Oct 20101,659
Sept 20101,857
Aug 20102,836
Jul 20102,630
Jun 20102,544
May 20102,312
Apr 20102,255
Mar 20102,072
Feb 20102,040
Jan 20101,964
Dec 20091,966
Nov 20091,716
Oct 20091,575
Sept 20091,548
Jul 20092,205
Jun 20091,944
May 20091,739
Apr 20091,926
Mar 20091,990
Feb 20092,148
Jan 20092,148

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186