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Food basket in Maradi Commune

Maradi, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,804–2,798

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,644–2,919

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,616 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,804 and 2,798 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,644 and 2,919 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Maradi Commune: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,616 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,804 and 2,798 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,644 and 2,919 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,070–2,661 2,261 1,768–2,774
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,787–2,632 2,057 1,590–2,769
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,804–2,798 2,091 1,520–3,129
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,738–2,845 2,083 1,409–3,467
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,644–2,919 2,159 1,161–3,329
Cost history (439 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,232
Aug 20262,616
Jul 20262,772
Jun 20262,784
May 20262,544
Apr 20262,340
Mar 20262,292
Feb 20262,184
Jan 20262,124
Dec 20252,028
Nov 20252,172
Oct 20252,064
Sept 20252,532
Aug 20252,808
Jul 20253,324
Jun 20253,276
May 20253,180
Apr 20253,264
Mar 20253,312
Feb 20253,588
Jan 20253,576
Dec 20243,216
Nov 20243,216
Oct 20243,132
Sept 20243,384
Aug 20245,076
Jul 20245,280
Jun 20244,500
May 20243,924
Apr 20243,840
Mar 20243,444
Feb 20243,288
Jan 20243,048
Dec 20232,868
Nov 20233,036
Oct 20232,976
Sept 20233,492
Aug 20233,600
Jul 20233,600
Jun 20233,228
May 20233,108
Apr 20233,096
Mar 20233,060
Feb 20232,808
Jan 20232,784
Dec 20222,748
Nov 20223,468
Oct 20222,736
Sept 20222,892
Aug 20223,276
Jul 20223,756
Jun 20223,468
May 20223,492
Apr 20223,408
Mar 20223,408
Feb 20223,384
Jan 20223,288
Dec 20212,892
Nov 20212,964
Oct 20212,616
Sept 20213,252
Aug 20213,552
Jul 20213,492
Jun 20213,444
May 20213,312
Apr 20213,060
Mar 20212,976
Feb 20213,060
Jan 20212,880
Dec 20202,664
Nov 20202,376
Oct 20202,292
Sept 20202,676
Aug 20203,492
Jul 20203,384
Jun 20202,832
May 20202,616
Apr 20202,616
Mar 20202,508
Feb 20202,472
Jan 20202,232
Dec 20192,148
Nov 20192,124
Oct 20192,040
Sept 20191,920
Aug 20192,076
Jul 20191,992
Jun 20192,052
May 20192,256
Apr 20192,400
Mar 20192,184
Feb 20192,184
Jan 20192,112
Dec 20182,292
Nov 20182,040
Oct 20182,148
Sept 20182,316
Aug 20182,940
Jul 20183,060
Jun 20182,832
May 20183,060
Apr 20182,784
Mar 20182,616
Feb 20182,616
Jan 20182,376
Dec 20172,412
Nov 20172,568
Oct 20172,160
Sept 20172,484
Aug 20173,492
Jul 20173,420
Jun 20173,492
May 20173,444
Apr 20173,276
Mar 20172,820
Feb 20172,568
Jan 20172,256
Nov 20161,980
Oct 20161,716
Sept 20162,640
Aug 20162,784
Jul 20162,556
Jun 20162,184
May 20162,400
Apr 20162,076
Mar 20161,932
Feb 20161,968
Jan 20161,728
Dec 20151,728
Oct 20151,896
Sept 20151,932
Aug 20151,812
Jul 20151,920
Jun 20152,124
May 20152,112
Apr 20151,884
Mar 20151,733
Feb 20151,701
Jan 20151,635
Dec 20141,752
Nov 20142,000
Oct 20141,875
Sept 20142,116
Aug 20142,403
Jul 20142,555
Jun 20142,637
May 20142,542
Apr 20142,691
Mar 20142,599
Feb 20142,599
Jan 20142,400
Dec 20132,429
Nov 20132,568
Oct 20132,551
Sept 20132,870
Aug 20133,185
Jul 20133,600
Jun 20133,382
May 20133,069
Apr 20133,223
Mar 20133,168
Feb 20132,909
Jan 20132,864
Dec 20122,788
Nov 20122,712
Oct 20122,250
Sept 20123,000
Aug 20123,488
Jul 20123,276
Jun 20123,175
May 20123,074
Apr 20122,970
Mar 20122,665
Feb 20122,640
Jan 20122,580
Dec 20112,580
Nov 20112,255
Oct 20111,740
Sept 20111,778
Aug 20111,819
Jul 20111,860
Jun 20111,980
May 20112,088
Apr 20111,920
Mar 20111,900
Feb 20111,812
Jan 20111,730
Dec 20101,801
Nov 20101,500
Oct 20101,527
Sept 20101,683
Aug 20102,544
Jul 20102,529
Jun 20102,482
May 20102,332
Apr 20102,283
Mar 20102,115
Feb 20102,184
Jan 20102,040
Dec 20091,970
Nov 20091,908
Oct 20091,752
Sept 20091,875
Aug 20092,400
Jul 20092,426
Jun 20092,004
May 20091,855
Apr 20091,950
Mar 20091,932
Feb 20091,940
Jan 20091,948
Dec 20081,894
Nov 20081,765
Oct 20081,548
Sept 20081,716
Aug 20082,172
Jul 20082,184
Jun 20081,932
May 20081,752
Apr 20081,752
Mar 20081,776
Feb 20081,680
Jan 20081,416
Dec 20071,193
Nov 20071,345
Oct 20071,184
Sept 20071,269
Aug 20071,367
Jul 20071,495
Jun 20071,402
May 20071,442
Apr 20071,569
Mar 20071,512
Feb 20071,511
Jan 20071,455
Dec 20061,408
Nov 20061,442
Oct 20061,258
Sept 20061,503
Aug 20061,654
Jul 20061,845
Jun 20061,711
May 20061,786
Apr 20061,768
Mar 20061,678
Feb 20061,688
Jan 20061,634
Dec 20051,629
Nov 20051,503
Oct 20051,462
Sept 20051,888
Aug 20053,133
Jul 20053,000
Jun 20052,647
May 20052,269
Apr 20052,337
Mar 20052,059
Feb 20051,836
Jan 20051,846
Dec 20041,632
Nov 20041,757
Oct 20041,633
Sept 20041,558
Aug 20041,725
Jul 20041,669
Jun 20041,493
May 20041,547
Apr 20041,585
Mar 20041,357
Feb 20041,190
Jan 20041,185
Dec 20031,104
Nov 20031,068
Oct 20031,035
Sept 20031,076
Aug 20031,187
Jul 20031,240
Jun 20031,435
May 20031,501
Apr 20031,542
Mar 20031,557
Feb 20031,599
Jan 20031,569
Dec 20021,470
Nov 20021,512
Oct 20021,386
Sept 20021,608
Aug 20022,360
Jul 20022,382
Jun 20022,232
May 20022,166
Apr 20022,100
Mar 20021,872
Feb 20021,746
Jan 20021,724
Dec 20011,404
Nov 20011,392
Oct 20011,242
Sept 20011,524
Aug 20012,116
Jul 20012,280
Jun 20012,124
May 20012,014
Apr 20011,968
Mar 20011,937
Feb 20011,559
Jan 20011,191
Dec 20001,344
Nov 20001,308
Oct 20001,152
Sept 20001,224
Aug 20001,200
Jul 20001,332
Jun 20001,296
May 20001,272
Apr 20001,272
Mar 20001,128
Feb 20001,164
Jan 20001,056
Dec 19991,044
Nov 1999996
Oct 1999972
Sept 1999984
Aug 19991,032
Jul 19991,116
Jun 19991,080
May 19991,008
Apr 19991,008
Mar 1999960
Feb 1999972
Jan 1999960
Dec 1998972
Nov 1998972
Oct 1998984
Sept 19981,452
Aug 19982,388
Jul 19982,544
Jun 19982,172
May 19982,220
Apr 19982,160
Mar 19981,824
Feb 19981,704
Jan 19981,656
Dec 19971,524
Nov 19971,524
Oct 19971,476
Sept 19971,284
Aug 19971,824
Jul 19971,908
Jun 19971,764
May 19971,728
Apr 19971,656
Mar 19971,344
Feb 19971,272
Jan 19971,128
Dec 19961,056
Nov 19961,128
Oct 1996960
Sept 19961,032
Aug 19961,128
Jul 19961,224
Jun 19961,092
May 19961,200
Apr 19961,116
Mar 1996852
Feb 1996828
Jan 1996744
Dec 1995708
Nov 1995768
Oct 1995672
Sept 1995624
Aug 1995636
Jul 1995780
Jun 1995648
May 1995588
Apr 1995588
Mar 1995552
Feb 1995552
Jan 1995552
Dec 1994504
Nov 1994480
Oct 1994504
Sept 1994636
Aug 1994768
Jul 1994780
Jun 1994816
May 1994720
Apr 1994672
Mar 1994648
Feb 1994660
Jan 1994576
Dec 1993468
Nov 1993468
Oct 1993480
Sept 1993552
Aug 1993600
Jul 1993672
Jun 1993612
May 1993624
Apr 1993528
Mar 1993612
Feb 1993672
Jan 1993660
Dec 1992624
Nov 1992600
Oct 1992624
Sept 1992636
Aug 1992852
Jul 1992552
Jun 1992828
May 1992768
Apr 1992678
Mar 1992588
Feb 1992612
Jan 1992624
Dec 1991612
Nov 1991624
Oct 1991564
Sept 1991588
Aug 1991684
Jul 1991540
Jun 1991816
May 1991744
Apr 1991744
Mar 1991732
Feb 1991756
Jan 1991732
Dec 1990528
Nov 1990588
Oct 1990540
Sept 1990636
Aug 1990684
Jul 1990756
Jun 1990672
May 1990648
Apr 1990660
Mar 1990588
Feb 1990588
Jan 1990552

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186