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Food basket in Matameye

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,632–2,685

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,589–2,797

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,424 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,632 and 2,685 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,589 and 2,797 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Matameye: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 2,424 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,632 and 2,685 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,589 and 2,797 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,931–2,638 2,170 1,712–2,876
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,593–2,528 1,919 1,416–2,880
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,632–2,685 1,998 1,412–2,922
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,633–2,745 2,020 1,391–2,819
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,589–2,797 2,059 1,330–2,998
Cost history (315 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20262,280
Aug 20262,424
Jul 20262,820
Jun 20262,724
Apr 20262,484
Mar 20262,448
Feb 20262,244
Jan 20262,016
Dec 20252,076
Nov 20252,112
Oct 20251,932
Sept 20252,280
Aug 20252,940
Jul 20253,420
Jun 20253,624
May 20253,528
Apr 20253,552
Mar 20253,636
Feb 20253,636
Jan 20253,120
Dec 20243,228
Nov 20242,904
Oct 20242,688
Sept 20243,048
Aug 20244,656
Jul 20245,088
Jun 20244,752
Apr 20244,248
Mar 20243,648
Feb 20243,192
Jan 20243,420
Dec 20233,264
Nov 20233,264
Oct 20232,760
Sept 20233,276
Aug 20233,960
Jul 20234,188
Jun 20233,648
Apr 20233,204
Mar 20233,204
Feb 20233,156
Jan 20232,796
Dec 20222,700
Nov 20223,264
Oct 20222,652
Sept 20223,204
Aug 20223,504
Jul 20223,552
Jun 20223,456
Apr 20223,252
Feb 20223,432
Jan 20223,156
Dec 20212,796
Nov 20212,748
Oct 20212,652
Sept 20213,672
Aug 20213,948
Jul 20213,492
Jun 20213,432
Jan 20212,892
Dec 20202,640
Nov 20202,388
Oct 20202,196
Sept 20202,724
Aug 20203,492
Jul 20203,342
Jun 20202,856
Apr 20202,556
Feb 20202,292
Jan 20202,184
Dec 20192,088
Nov 20192,172
Oct 20191,644
Sept 20191,872
Aug 20192,016
Jul 20192,064
Jun 20192,292
Apr 20192,292
Jan 20191,836
Dec 20181,836
Nov 20181,800
Oct 20181,656
Sept 20182,424
Aug 20182,640
Jul 20182,688
Jun 20182,844
May 20182,796
Apr 20182,688
Jan 20182,292
Dec 20172,292
Nov 20171,944
Oct 20171,788
Sept 20172,244
Aug 20173,204
Jul 20173,576
Jun 20173,924
Feb 20172,736
Jan 20172,280
Oct 20162,748
Sept 20162,784
Aug 20163,168
Jul 20162,472
Jun 20162,316
Mar 20161,908
Jan 20161,620
Dec 20151,608
Oct 20151,872
Sept 20151,896
Aug 20152,028
Jul 20152,172
Jun 20152,184
May 20152,196
Apr 20151,944
Mar 20151,718
Feb 20151,678
Jan 20151,740
Nov 20141,756
Oct 20141,635
Sept 20142,202
Aug 20142,470
Jul 20142,798
Jun 20142,857
May 20142,770
Apr 20142,935
Jan 20142,796
Dec 20132,691
Nov 20132,418
Oct 20132,487
Sept 20133,172
Aug 20133,611
Jul 20134,042
Jun 20133,646
Mar 20133,306
Feb 20133,049
Jan 20132,679
Dec 20122,619
Nov 20122,226
Oct 20122,053
Sept 20123,206
Aug 20123,026
Jul 20123,512
May 20123,128
Apr 20123,144
Mar 20122,712
Jan 20122,424
Dec 20112,300
Nov 20112,085
Oct 20111,608
Sept 20111,836
Jul 20111,980
Jun 20112,012
May 20112,376
Apr 20112,143
Jan 20111,833
Dec 20101,833
Nov 20101,618
Oct 20101,445
Sept 20101,974
Aug 20102,700
Jul 20102,640
Jun 20102,774
Mar 20102,364
Jan 20102,320
Dec 20092,186
Nov 20091,769
Oct 20091,807
Sept 20092,214
Aug 20092,365
Jul 20092,379
May 20091,990
Mar 20091,935
Feb 20091,929
Jan 20091,930
Dec 20081,797
Nov 20081,580
Oct 20081,620
Sept 20081,980
Aug 20082,268
Jul 20082,184
May 20081,836
Apr 20081,836
Feb 20081,764
Jan 20081,572
Dec 20071,386
Nov 20071,389
Oct 20071,325
Sept 20071,426
Aug 20071,519
Jul 20071,546
Jun 20071,549
May 20071,528
Jan 20071,418
Dec 20061,379
Nov 20061,399
Oct 20061,176
Sept 20061,657
Aug 20061,732
Jul 20062,044
Jun 20061,871
May 20061,805
Apr 20061,798
Jan 20061,627
Dec 20051,489
Nov 20051,442
Oct 20051,385
Sept 20052,156
Aug 20053,761
Jul 20053,172
Jun 20052,675
May 20052,400
Apr 20052,353
Mar 20052,068
Feb 20051,889
Jan 20051,692
Dec 20041,489
Nov 20041,440
Oct 20041,345
Sept 20041,518
Aug 20041,768
Jul 20041,716
Jun 20041,466
Apr 20041,562
Feb 20041,282
Jan 20041,221
Dec 20031,031
Nov 20031,128
Oct 20031,005
Sept 2003938
Aug 20031,172
Jul 20031,336
Jun 20031,445
Apr 20031,584
Feb 20031,548
Jan 20031,522
Dec 20021,350
Nov 20021,296
Oct 20021,350
Sept 20022,076
Aug 20022,624
Jul 20022,490
Jun 20022,454
Apr 20022,364
Feb 20022,052
Nov 20011,344
Sept 20011,008
Aug 20012,064
Jul 20012,004
Jun 20011,980
Feb 20011,680
Jan 20011,506
Dec 20001,512
Nov 20001,428
Oct 20001,374
Aug 20001,260
Jul 20001,380
Apr 20001,308
Feb 2000924
Jan 2000936
Dec 1999948
Nov 1999948
Oct 1999924
Sept 1999924
Aug 19991,032
Jul 19991,116
Jun 19991,140
Apr 19991,056
Mar 19991,008
Feb 19991,032
Jan 1999768
Dec 1998840
Nov 19981,008
Oct 19981,008
Sept 19981,680
Aug 19982,448
Jul 19982,604
Feb 19981,692
Jan 19981,560
Dec 19971,404
Nov 19971,536
Oct 19971,596
Sept 19971,248
Aug 19971,788
Jul 19971,812
May 19971,548
Mar 19971,428
Feb 19971,200
Jan 19971,188
Dec 19961,008
Nov 19961,008
Oct 1996888
Sept 19961,140
Aug 19961,512
Jul 19961,392
May 19961,320
Feb 1996840
Jan 1996792
Dec 1995756
Nov 1995792
Oct 1995684
Sept 1995756
Aug 1995780
Jul 1995852
Apr 1995720
Feb 1995684
Jan 1995624
Dec 1994564
Nov 1994564
Oct 1994576
Sept 1994492
Aug 1994756
Jul 1994828
Apr 1994720
Mar 1994660
Feb 1994672
Jan 1994516

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186