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Food basket in Mokko

Dosso, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,853–3,274

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,913–3,419

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,372 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,853 and 3,274 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,913 and 3,419 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Mokko: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,372 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,853 and 3,274 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,913 and 3,419 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,571); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,616–3,429 3,033 2,261–3,568
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,946–3,191 2,464 1,563–3,407
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,853–3,274 2,428 1,487–3,622
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,919–3,361 2,489 1,450–4,436
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,913–3,419 2,545 1,506–4,571
Cost history (200 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,060
Aug 20263,372
Jul 20263,324
Jun 20262,952
May 20262,436
Apr 20262,436
Mar 20262,532
Feb 20262,460
Jan 20262,400
Dec 20252,400
Nov 20252,400
Oct 20252,448
Sept 20252,616
Aug 20253,072
Jul 20253,432
Jun 20253,432
May 20253,420
Apr 20253,420
Mar 20253,240
Feb 20253,300
Jan 20253,264
Dec 20243,216
Nov 20243,120
Oct 20243,240
Sept 20244,068
Aug 20245,088
Jul 20245,292
Jun 20244,680
May 20244,308
Apr 20243,972
Mar 20243,720
Feb 20243,420
Jan 20243,120
Dec 20232,940
Nov 20232,880
Oct 20233,504
Sept 20233,588
Aug 20233,612
Jul 20233,432
Jun 20232,892
May 20232,880
Apr 20232,880
Mar 20232,640
Feb 20232,880
Jan 20232,640
Dec 20222,736
Nov 20223,000
Oct 20222,796
Sept 20225,388
Aug 20224,452
Jul 20223,720
Jun 20223,624
May 20223,612
Apr 20223,612
Mar 20223,612
Feb 20222,904
Jan 20222,820
Dec 20212,664
Nov 20212,400
Oct 20212,472
Sept 20213,348
Aug 20213,660
Jul 20213,468
Jun 20213,156
May 20213,036
Apr 20212,940
Mar 20213,660
Feb 20212,940
Jan 20212,544
Dec 20202,892
Nov 20202,400
Oct 20202,232
Sept 20202,880
Aug 20203,360
Jul 20203,090
Jun 20202,880
May 20202,244
Mar 20202,544
Feb 20202,160
Jan 20202,160
Dec 20192,160
Nov 20191,680
Oct 20191,956
Sept 20192,040
Aug 20192,160
Jul 20192,268
Jun 20192,364
May 20192,400
Apr 20192,424
Mar 20192,400
Feb 20191,920
Jan 20192,160
Dec 20182,160
Nov 20182,208
Oct 20182,208
Sept 20182,640
Aug 20182,904
Jul 20182,904
Jun 20182,880
May 20182,676
Apr 20182,688
Mar 20182,412
Feb 20182,412
Jan 20182,424
Dec 20172,412
Nov 20172,400
Oct 20172,184
Sept 20172,484
Aug 20172,916
Jul 20172,916
Jun 20172,940
May 20172,940
Apr 20172,784
Mar 20172,424
Feb 20172,448
Jan 20171,956
Nov 20161,944
Oct 20161,692
Sept 20163,060
Aug 20162,712
Jul 20162,556
Jun 20162,556
May 20162,472
Apr 20162,208
Mar 20162,292
Feb 20162,040
Jan 20161,920
Dec 20151,920
Oct 20151,944
Sept 20152,424
Aug 20152,520
Jul 20152,400
Jun 20152,400
May 20152,280
Apr 20152,040
Mar 20151,920
Feb 20151,930
Jan 20151,956
Nov 20141,837
Oct 20141,704
Sept 20142,202
Aug 20142,487
Jul 20142,521
Jun 20142,719
May 20142,808
Apr 20142,716
Mar 20142,562
Feb 20142,572
Jan 20142,519
Dec 20132,192
Nov 20132,383
Oct 20132,562
Sept 20133,362
Aug 20133,362
Jul 20133,348
Jun 20133,234
May 20133,064
Apr 20133,064
Mar 20132,870
Jan 20132,580
Dec 20122,553
Nov 20122,283
Oct 20122,517
Sept 20123,662
Aug 20124,076
Jul 20123,339
May 20122,915
Apr 20122,676
Dec 20112,488
Nov 20112,496
Oct 20112,604
Sept 20112,448
Jul 20112,448
Jun 20112,448
May 20112,322
Apr 20112,190
Mar 20112,077
Feb 20112,152
Jan 20112,148
Dec 20101,918
Nov 20101,953
Oct 20101,603
Sept 20102,132
Aug 20102,510
Jul 20102,506
Jun 20102,729
May 20102,429
Apr 20102,449
Feb 20102,454
Jan 20102,372
Dec 20092,340
Nov 20092,128
Oct 20092,004
Sept 20093,336
Aug 20093,371
Jul 20092,868
Jun 20092,623
May 20092,775
Apr 20092,814
Mar 20092,772

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186