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Food basket in Tanout

Zinder, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,768–3,076

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,879–3,273

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,000 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,768 and 3,076 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,879 and 3,273 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Tanout: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,000 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 1,768 and 3,076 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,879 and 3,273 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,416–3,262 2,803 2,258–3,477
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,048–3,087 2,398 1,719–3,142
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,768–3,076 2,219 1,518–3,214
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,885–3,186 2,351 1,598–3,757
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,879–3,273 2,421 1,539–3,953
Cost history (198 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,120
Aug 20263,000
Jul 20263,324
Jun 20263,156
May 20262,952
Apr 20262,652
Mar 20262,592
Feb 20262,472
Jan 20262,292
Dec 20252,328
Nov 20252,640
Oct 20252,712
Sept 20253,024
Aug 20253,396
Jul 20253,588
Jun 20253,804
May 20253,828
Apr 20253,720
Mar 20253,624
Feb 20253,636
Jan 20253,576
Dec 20243,144
Nov 20243,144
Oct 20243,840
Sept 20244,908
Aug 20245,328
Jul 20245,196
Jun 20244,572
May 20244,176
Apr 20243,756
Mar 20243,504
Feb 20243,396
Jan 20243,204
Dec 20233,144
Nov 20232,940
Oct 20232,892
Sept 20233,348
Aug 20233,324
Jul 20232,724
Jun 20232,784
May 20232,724
Apr 20232,940
Mar 20232,628
Feb 20232,712
Jan 20232,580
Dec 20222,760
Nov 20222,592
Oct 20222,640
Sept 20223,432
Aug 20223,696
Jul 20223,732
Jun 20223,696
Apr 20223,648
Mar 20223,600
Feb 20223,468
Jan 20222,952
Dec 20213,168
Nov 20212,316
Oct 20212,976
Sept 20213,300
Aug 20213,396
Jul 20212,904
Jun 20212,904
May 20212,916
Apr 20212,964
Mar 20213,636
Feb 20213,072
Jan 20213,516
Dec 20202,040
Nov 20201,968
Oct 20202,520
Sept 20203,312
Aug 20203,298
Jul 20203,284
Jun 20202,820
May 20202,616
Apr 20202,415
Mar 20202,472
Feb 20202,340
Jan 20202,184
Dec 20192,004
Nov 20191,944
Oct 20191,992
Sept 20191,812
Aug 20192,496
Jul 20191,548
Jun 20191,560
May 20191,920
Apr 20191,992
Mar 20191,632
Feb 20191,560
Jan 20191,776
Dec 20181,860
Nov 20181,464
Oct 20181,908
Sept 20182,604
Aug 20182,724
Jul 20182,724
Jun 20182,820
May 20182,604
Apr 20182,604
Mar 20182,388
Feb 20182,364
Jan 20182,364
Dec 20172,400
Sept 20173,684
Aug 20173,588
Jul 20173,456
Jun 20173,600
May 20173,348
Apr 20173,324
Mar 20172,904
Feb 20172,928
Jan 20172,196
Nov 20161,992
Oct 20161,884
Sept 20162,712
Aug 20162,916
Jul 20162,412
Jun 20162,532
May 20162,220
Apr 20162,112
Feb 20161,776
Jan 20161,692
Dec 20151,800
Oct 20151,884
Sept 20152,016
Aug 20151,812
Jul 20152,124
Jun 20152,232
May 20152,328
Apr 20152,004
Mar 20151,872
Feb 20151,952
Jan 20151,908
Nov 20141,811
Oct 20142,253
Sept 20142,508
Aug 20142,709
Jul 20143,030
Jun 20142,736
May 20142,818
Apr 20142,849
Mar 20142,845
Feb 20142,669
Jan 20142,704
Dec 20132,989
Nov 20133,036
Oct 20132,813
Sept 20133,094
Aug 20133,064
Jul 20133,287
Jun 20133,007
May 20133,129
Apr 20133,219
Mar 20132,871
Jan 20132,552
Dec 20122,535
Sept 20123,203
Aug 20123,306
Jul 20123,648
May 20123,050
Apr 20122,760
Dec 20112,300
Nov 20112,200
Oct 20111,746
Sept 20111,494
Jul 20111,740
Jun 20111,636
May 20111,748
Apr 20111,764
Mar 20111,488
Feb 20111,484
Jan 20111,642
Dec 20101,644
Nov 20101,453
Oct 20101,389
Sept 20102,301
Aug 20102,840
Jul 20102,797
Jun 20102,833
May 20102,653
Apr 20102,320
Mar 20102,316
Feb 20102,276
Jan 20102,232
Dec 20092,260
Nov 20092,388
Oct 20092,189
Sept 20092,367
Aug 20092,760
Jul 20092,564
Jun 20092,113
May 20092,060
Apr 20091,908
Mar 20092,052
Feb 20092,038
Jan 20092,076

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186