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Food basket in Tillaberi Commune

Tillaberi, Niger · XOF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Millet.

Not included: pulses, cooking oil (WFP has no long enough price series for it here).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,393–3,758

XOF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,360–3,987

XOF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,648 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,393 and 3,758 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,360 and 3,987 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Tillaberi Commune: XOF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Millet) cost about 3,648 XOF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 2,393 and 3,758 XOF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,360 and 3,987 XOF (8 in 10 chance). Not included: pulses, cooking oil; WFP's price series for them here are missing or too short for a forecast. This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

XOF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month.

Forecast table (XOF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,037–3,868 3,497 2,738–4,033
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,560–3,726 3,036 2,428–3,841
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,393–3,758 2,959 2,138–3,950
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,391–3,841 2,971 2,096–4,443
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,360–3,987 3,009 1,937–4,686
Cost history (382 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (XOF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 20263,444
Aug 20263,648
Jul 20263,852
Jun 20263,816
May 20263,288
Apr 20263,372
Mar 20263,432
Feb 20263,264
Jan 20263,432
Dec 20253,432
Nov 20253,432
Oct 20253,432
Sept 20253,432
Aug 20253,852
Jul 20254,176
Jun 20254,284
May 20253,960
Apr 20254,284
Mar 20254,080
Feb 20254,008
Jan 20254,044
Dec 20243,792
Nov 20244,128
Oct 20244,080
Sept 20245,160
Aug 20245,940
Jul 20245,604
Jun 20245,232
May 20244,704
Apr 20244,632
Mar 20244,224
Feb 20244,416
Jan 20243,960
Dec 20233,852
Nov 20233,888
Oct 20233,888
Sept 20234,728
Aug 20234,848
Jul 20234,284
Jun 20234,284
May 20234,272
Apr 20233,972
Mar 20233,924
Feb 20233,648
Jan 20233,432
Dec 20223,324
Nov 20222,796
Oct 20223,540
Sept 20224,284
Aug 20224,824
Jul 20224,104
Jun 20223,708
May 20224,416
Apr 20224,416
Mar 20224,248
Feb 20224,164
Jan 20224,428
Dec 20213,804
Nov 20213,660
Oct 20213,288
Sept 20213,852
Aug 20213,912
Jul 20213,516
Jun 20213,432
May 20213,432
Apr 20213,456
Mar 20213,000
Feb 20213,000
Jan 20212,868
Dec 20202,808
Nov 20202,952
Oct 20203,288
Sept 20204,200
Aug 20204,146
Jul 20203,666
Jun 20202,916
May 20203,000
Apr 20203,174
Mar 20203,084
Feb 20203,048
Jan 20202,568
Dec 20192,688
Nov 20192,592
Oct 20192,784
Sept 20193,108
Jul 20192,676
Jun 20193,072
May 20193,084
Apr 20192,940
Mar 20193,084
Feb 20193,048
Jan 20193,048
Dec 20183,048
Nov 20183,000
Oct 20182,664
Sept 20183,480
Aug 20183,852
Jul 20183,912
May 20183,888
Mar 20183,420
Feb 20182,952
Jan 20182,916
Dec 20172,496
Nov 20172,580
Oct 20172,868
Sept 20173,528
Aug 20173,108
Jul 20173,780
Jun 20173,480
May 20173,348
Apr 20173,228
Mar 20173,096
Feb 20173,000
Jan 20172,568
Nov 20162,496
Oct 20162,568
Sept 20163,444
Aug 20163,612
Jul 20163,336
Jun 20163,024
May 20163,096
Apr 20162,568
Mar 20162,652
Feb 20162,652
Jan 20162,652
Dec 20152,568
Oct 20152,568
Sept 20152,568
Aug 20152,472
Jul 20152,508
Jun 20153,000
May 20152,532
Apr 20152,460
Mar 20152,652
Feb 20153,088
Jan 20152,825
Nov 20142,571
Oct 20142,840
Sept 20143,105
Aug 20143,123
Jul 20143,117
Jun 20143,066
May 20143,012
Apr 20143,002
Mar 20143,111
Feb 20143,127
Jan 20142,729
Dec 20132,609
Nov 20132,571
Oct 20132,446
Sept 20133,024
Aug 20133,552
Jul 20133,530
Jun 20133,504
May 20133,223
Apr 20133,576
Mar 20133,132
Feb 20133,134
Jan 20132,687
Dec 20122,687
Nov 20122,687
Oct 20122,687
Sept 20124,412
Aug 20123,822
Jul 20124,476
May 20123,806
Apr 20123,127
Mar 20123,529
Feb 20122,970
Jan 20123,384
Dec 20112,996
Nov 20112,822
Oct 20112,460
Sept 20112,460
Jul 20112,460
Jun 20112,460
May 20112,496
Apr 20112,490
Mar 20112,484
Jan 20111,913
Dec 20101,668
Nov 20101,968
Oct 20101,748
Sept 20102,595
Aug 20103,012
Jul 20103,000
Jun 20103,000
May 20103,091
Apr 20102,931
Mar 20103,000
Feb 20102,712
Jan 20102,568
Dec 20092,568
Nov 20092,568
Oct 20092,416
Sept 20092,784
Aug 20093,429
Jul 20093,181
Jun 20093,000
May 20092,985
Apr 20092,532
Mar 20092,559
Feb 20092,571
Jan 20092,521
Dec 20082,550
Nov 20082,205
Oct 20082,352
Sept 20082,952
Aug 20082,988
Jul 20083,000
Jun 20082,652
May 20082,568
Apr 20082,544
Mar 20082,508
Feb 20082,148
Jan 20082,112
Dec 20071,857
Nov 20071,714
Oct 20071,929
Sept 20072,143
Aug 20072,112
Jul 20072,159
Jun 20072,159
May 20072,147
Apr 20072,117
Mar 20072,084
Feb 20072,143
Jan 20072,143
Dec 20062,150
Nov 20062,093
Oct 20062,094
Sept 20062,207
Aug 20062,174
Jul 20062,222
Jun 20062,301
May 20062,139
Apr 20062,313
Mar 20062,138
Feb 20062,143
Jan 20061,890
Dec 20051,682
Nov 20051,695
Oct 20051,802
Sept 20052,890
Aug 20053,627
Jul 20053,674
Jun 20053,268
May 20053,019
Apr 20052,576
Mar 20052,622
Feb 20052,648
Jan 20052,158
Dec 20042,206
Nov 20042,206
Oct 20042,136
Sept 20041,911
Aug 20042,133
Jul 20042,040
Jun 20041,733
May 20041,758
Apr 20041,745
Mar 20041,740
Feb 20041,725
Jan 20041,667
Dec 20031,633
Nov 20031,450
Oct 20031,392
Sept 20031,679
Aug 20031,720
Jul 20032,052
Jun 20032,143
May 20032,148
Apr 20032,148
Mar 20032,052
Feb 20032,208
Jan 20032,110
Dec 20022,028
Nov 20022,208
Oct 20021,956
Sept 20022,574
Aug 20023,019
Jul 20022,805
Jun 20022,496
May 20022,496
Apr 20022,460
Mar 20022,478
Feb 20022,232
Jan 20022,004
Dec 20011,716
Nov 20011,740
Oct 20011,800
Sept 20012,404
Aug 20012,850
Jul 20012,748
Jun 20012,703
May 20012,577
Apr 20012,724
Mar 20012,354
Feb 20011,900
Jan 20011,857
Dec 20001,644
Nov 20001,518
Oct 20001,596
Sept 20001,632
Aug 20001,668
Jul 20001,662
Jun 20001,800
May 20001,632
Apr 20001,602
Mar 20001,623
Feb 20001,692
Jan 20001,536
Dec 19991,560
Nov 19991,476
Oct 19991,248
Sept 19991,644
Aug 19991,884
Jul 19991,848
Jun 19991,848
May 19991,716
Apr 19991,716
Mar 19991,284
Feb 19991,284
Jan 19991,284
Dec 1998852
Nov 19981,284
Oct 19981,620
Sept 19982,544
Aug 19982,916
Jul 19982,724
Jun 19982,904
May 19983,060
Apr 19982,928
Mar 19982,664
Feb 19981,968
Jan 19981,980
Dec 19971,980
Nov 19972,208
Oct 19971,848
Sept 19971,944
Aug 19972,232
Jul 19972,280
Jun 19972,220
May 19972,160
Apr 19972,208
Feb 19971,452
Dec 1996876
Nov 19961,320
Oct 19961,752
Sept 19961,752
Aug 19962,208
Jul 19962,040
Jun 19961,716
May 19961,716
Apr 19962,304
Mar 19961,152
Feb 19961,188
Jan 19961,176
Dec 19951,176
Nov 19951,152
Oct 19951,128
Sept 19951,392
Aug 19951,296
Jul 19951,248
Jun 19951,248
May 1995996
Apr 19951,020
Mar 19951,080
Feb 19951,044
Jan 19951,092
Dec 19941,104
Nov 19941,164
Oct 19941,164
Sept 19941,164
Aug 19941,176
Jul 19941,272
Jun 19941,188
May 19941,224
Apr 19941,236
Mar 19941,164
Feb 19941,104
Jan 1994840

Track record of the basket forecasts in Niger

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Niger
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 84% 97% 5% 2,204
Estimate (this month) 80% 96% 7% 2,199
Next month 78% 95% 10% 2,193
In 2 months 73% 95% 12% 2,188
In 3 months 69% 94% 15% 2,186