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Maize (white) in Banfora

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

108–171

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

101–181

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 108 and 171 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 101 and 181 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Banfora: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 108 and 171 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 101 and 181 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 142–173 157 129–174 251 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 130–176 155 99.8–179 241 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 108–171 145 63.2–203 208 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 103–177 147 54.8–217 213 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 101–181 149 52.6–214 217 –
Price history (283 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026166
Aug 2026156
Jul 2026146
Jun 2026163
May 2026172
Apr 2026171
Mar 2026166
Feb 2026156
Jan 2026145
Dec 2025137
Nov 2025138
Oct 2025171
Sept 2025195
Aug 2025219
Jul 2025260
Jun 2025273
May 2025282
Apr 2025258
Mar 2025250
Feb 2025250
Jan 2025225
Dec 2024219
Nov 2024246
Oct 2024308
Sept 2024305
Aug 2024272
Jul 2024259
Jun 2024218
May 2024218
Apr 2024197
Mar 2024191
Feb 2024191
Jan 2024191
Dec 2023191
Nov 2023191
Oct 2023218
Sept 2023218
Aug 2023213
Jul 2023207
Jun 2023208
May 2023210
Apr 2023215
Mar 2023219
Feb 2023219
Jan 2023218
Dec 2022224
Nov 2022177
Oct 2022246
Sept 2022254
Aug 2022254
Jul 2022270
Jun 2022282
May 2022273
Apr 2022275
Mar 2022239
Feb 2022225
Jan 2022197
Dec 2021194
Nov 2021187
Oct 2021220
Sept 2021215
Aug 2021203
Jul 2021197
Jun 2021201
May 2021197
Apr 2021176
Mar 2021167
Feb 2021156
Jan 2021139
Dec 2020128
Nov 2020124
Oct 2020132
Sept 2020131
Aug 2020126
Jul 2020118
Jun 2020125
May 2020124
Apr 2020124
Mar 2020105
Feb 2020105
Jan 2020105
Dec 2019105
Nov 2019105
Oct 2019105
Sept 2019105
Aug 2019116
Jul 2019126
Jun 2019141
May 2019141
Apr 2019141
Mar 2019132
Feb 2019127
Jan 2019116
Dec 2018116
Nov 2018113
Oct 2018132
Sept 2018165
Aug 2018171
Jul 2018171
Jun 2018164
May 2018158
Apr 2018158
Mar 2018151
Feb 2018135
Jan 2018132
Dec 2017130
Nov 2017121
Oct 2017135
Sept 2017135
Aug 2017135
Jul 2017139
Jun 2017139
May 2017147
Apr 2017141
Mar 2017125
Feb 2017121
Jan 2017121
Dec 2016122
Nov 2016122
Oct 2016137
Sept 2016142
Aug 2016142
Jul 2016145
Jun 2016155
May 2016157
Apr 2016153
Mar 2016136
Feb 2016122
Jan 2016120
Dec 2015122
Nov 2015125
Oct 2015136
Sept 2015137
Aug 2015135
Jul 2015134
Jun 2015132
May 2015137
Apr 2015124
Mar 2015106
Feb 2015106
Jan 2015126
Dec 2014102
Nov 2014104
Oct 2014119
Sept 2014123
Jul 2014123
Jun 2014123
May 2014123
Apr 2014141
Mar 2014113
Feb 2014114
Dec 2013121
Nov 2013119
Oct 2013128
Sept 2013134
Aug 2013137
Jul 2013141
Jun 2013133
May 2013133
Apr 2013141
Mar 2013135
Feb 2013141
Jan 2013133
Dec 2012121
Nov 2012120
Oct 2012154
Sept 2012189
Aug 2012198
Jul 2012200
Jun 2012191
May 2012185
Apr 2012182
Mar 2012161
Feb 2012154
Jan 2012146
Dec 2011153
Nov 2011134
Oct 2011139
Sept 2011166
Aug 2011154
Jul 2011148
Jun 2011134
May 2011133
Apr 2011123
Mar 2011120
Feb 2011120
Jan 2011119
Dec 2010114
Nov 201090
Oct 201095
Sept 2010106
Aug 2010126
Jul 2010126
Jun 2010119
May 2010121
Apr 2010122
Mar 2010113
Feb 2010122
Jan 2010120
Dec 2009114
Nov 200997.3
Oct 2009104
Sept 2009132
Aug 2009142
Jul 2009153
Jun 2009139
May 2009132
Apr 2009124
Mar 2009130
Feb 2009135
Jan 2009125
Dec 2008105
Nov 200886.5
Oct 2008105
Sept 2008163
Aug 2008162
Jul 2008146
Jun 2008140
May 2008142
Apr 2008117
Mar 2008107
Feb 200895
Jan 200889.8
Dec 200781.4
Nov 200792.9
Oct 200784.2
Sept 200782.1
Aug 200781.1
Jul 200782.8
Jun 200770.1
May 200771.5
Apr 200778.7
Mar 200773.7
Feb 200765.6
Jan 200767.5
Dec 200667.7
Nov 200663.4
Oct 200659.1
Sept 200680.2
Aug 200684
Jul 200682.2
Jun 2006101
May 2006105
Apr 2006117
Mar 2006106
Feb 200692.6
Jan 200695.2
Dec 2005101
Nov 200597.4
Oct 200593.7
Sept 2005150
Aug 2005198
Jul 2005186
Jun 2005200
May 2005159
Apr 2005149
Mar 2005141
Feb 2005114
Jan 200586.7
Dec 200486.5
Nov 200489
Oct 200492.6
Sept 200488
Aug 200475.2
Jul 200473.9
Jun 200462.4
May 200462.8
Apr 200459.2
Mar 200451.7
Feb 200448.1
Jan 200450.3
Dec 200350.3
Nov 200352.2
Oct 200353.2
Sept 200371.2
Aug 200376.6
Jul 200382.3
Jun 2003102
May 2003104
Apr 2003103
Mar 2003102
Feb 2003103
Jan 2003106

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-129-67-retail-kg.