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Millet in Banfora

CASCADES, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 32% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

237–351

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

187–356

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 237 and 351 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 187 and 356 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Banfora: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 32% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 10% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 237 and 351 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 187 and 356 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 256–304 270 243–346 409 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 245–329 272 218–380 410 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 237–351 271 178–400 409 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 206–352 271 120–493 391 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 187–356 269 92–499 377 –
Price history (408 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026295
Aug 2026269
Jul 2026272
Jun 2026279
May 2026300
Apr 2026275
Mar 2026276
Feb 2026278
Jan 2026288
Dec 2025280
Nov 2025304
Oct 2025365
Sept 2025329
Aug 2025381
Jul 2025411
Jun 2025416
May 2025456
Apr 2025443
Mar 2025429
Feb 2025413
Jan 2025365
Dec 2024439
Nov 2024501
Oct 2024457
Sept 2024440
Aug 2024439
Jul 2024382
Jun 2024349
May 2024349
Apr 2024369
Mar 2024352
Feb 2024322
Jan 2024322
Dec 2023322
Nov 2023322
Oct 2023323
Sept 2023322
Jul 2023425
Jun 2023461
May 2023437
Apr 2023439
Mar 2023370
Feb 2023368
Jan 2023363
Dec 2022426
Nov 2022468
Oct 2022430
Sept 2022457
Aug 2022443
Jul 2022427
Jun 2022429
May 2022438
Apr 2022430
Mar 2022395
Feb 2022325
Jan 2022286
Dec 2021298
Nov 2021284
Oct 2021249
Sept 2021256
Aug 2021249
Jul 2021270
Jun 2021249
May 2021263
Apr 2021260
Mar 2021241
Feb 2021225
Jan 2021236
Dec 2020236
Nov 2020261
Oct 2020264
Sept 2020264
Aug 2020258
Jul 2020220
Jun 2020210
May 2020197
Apr 2020197
Mar 2020197
Feb 2020197
Jan 2020196
Dec 2019191
Nov 2019181
Oct 2019192
Sept 2019197
Aug 2019190
Jul 2019201
Jun 2019202
May 2019211
Apr 2019208
Mar 2019222
Feb 2019222
Jan 2019242
Dec 2018242
Nov 2018229
Oct 2018247
Sept 2018292
Aug 2018278
Jul 2018270
Jun 2018275
May 2018275
Apr 2018275
Mar 2018256
Feb 2018250
Jan 2018250
Dec 2017245
Nov 2017268
Oct 2017291
Sept 2017272
Aug 2017259
Jul 2017257
Jun 2017259
May 2017245
Apr 2017231
Mar 2017224
Feb 2017208
Jan 2017208
Dec 2016221
Nov 2016245
Oct 2016230
Sept 2016208
Aug 2016208
Jul 2016211
Jun 2016214
May 2016209
Apr 2016209
Mar 2016206
Feb 2016181
Jan 2016196
Dec 2015208
Nov 2015211
Oct 2015212
Sept 2015219
Aug 2015207
Jul 2015207
Jun 2015224
May 2015224
Apr 2015206
Mar 2015211
Feb 2015213
Jan 2015209
Dec 2014233
Nov 2014224
Oct 2014228
Sept 2014221
Jul 2014213
Jun 2014212
May 2014219
Apr 2014251
Mar 2014208
Feb 2014214
Dec 2013213
Nov 2013234
Oct 2013241
Sept 2013247
Aug 2013242
Jul 2013257
Jun 2013250
May 2013247
Mar 2013250
Feb 2013253
Jan 2013244
Dec 2012287
Nov 2012341
Oct 2012341
Sept 2012316
Aug 2012291
Jul 2012294
Jun 2012294
May 2012291
Apr 2012283
Mar 2012238
Feb 2012204
Jan 2012206
Dec 2011238
Nov 2011134
Oct 2011204
Sept 2011206
Aug 2011205
Jul 2011199
Jun 2011190
May 2011193
Apr 2011180
Mar 2011179
Feb 2011175
Jan 2011170
Dec 2010175
Nov 2010171
Oct 2010174
Sept 2010182
Aug 2010184
Jul 2010180
Jun 2010171
May 2010173
Apr 2010173
Mar 2010174
Feb 2010177
Jan 2010181
Dec 2009193
Nov 2009217
Oct 2009187
Sept 2009186
Aug 2009185
Jul 2009181
Jun 2009172
May 2009162
Apr 2009160
Mar 2009159
Feb 2009161
Jan 2009157
Dec 2008153
Nov 2008193
Oct 2008192
Sept 2008178
Aug 2008177
Jul 2008163
Jun 2008154
May 2008151
Apr 2008138
Mar 2008137
Feb 2008131
Jan 2008136
Dec 2007139
Nov 2007145
Oct 2007144
Sept 2007152
Aug 2007155
Jul 2007129
Jun 2007124
May 2007126
Apr 2007127
Mar 2007118
Feb 2007108
Jan 2007109
Dec 2006112
Oct 2006138
Sept 2006158
Aug 2006153
Jul 2006146
Jun 2006156
May 2006157
Apr 2006156
Mar 2006153
Feb 2006145
Jan 2006140
Dec 2005157
Nov 2005219
Oct 2005263
Sept 2005267
Aug 2005247
Jul 2005237
Jun 2005205
May 2005184
Apr 2005188
Mar 2005153
Feb 2005129
Jan 2005126
Dec 2004159
Nov 2004160
Oct 2004139
Sept 2004129
Aug 2004118
Jul 2004121
Jun 2004113
May 2004113
Apr 2004114
Mar 2004103
Feb 2004108
Jan 2004109
Dec 2003120
Nov 2003139
Oct 2003147
Sept 2003148
Aug 2003148
Jul 2003144
Jun 2003147
May 2003144
Apr 2003143
Mar 2003142
Feb 2003134
Jan 2003140
Dec 2002138
Nov 2002190
Oct 2002210
Sept 2002205
Aug 2002185
Jul 2002172
Jun 2002171
May 2002169
Apr 2002151
Mar 2002149
Feb 2002136
Jan 2002126
Dec 2001122
Nov 2001192
Oct 2001187
Sept 2001183
Aug 2001174
Jul 2001170
Jun 2001152
May 2001144
Apr 2001154
Mar 2001130
Feb 2001108
Jan 200190.2
Dec 2000100
Nov 2000111
Oct 2000100
Sept 2000102
Aug 2000100
Jul 2000102
Jun 2000104
May 2000105
Apr 2000102
Mar 2000102
Feb 200092.2
Jan 200093.5
Dec 1999135
Nov 1999147
Oct 1999132
Sept 1999132
Aug 1999142
Jul 1999150
Jun 1999154
May 1999154
Apr 1999155
Mar 1999158
Feb 1999155
Jan 1999156
Dec 1998162
Nov 1998186
Oct 1998184
Sept 1998184
Aug 1998180
Jul 1998176
Jun 1998149
May 1998156
Apr 1998140
Mar 1998124
Feb 1998124
Jan 1998126
Dec 1997124
Nov 1997137
Oct 1997139
Sept 1997142
Aug 1997145
Jul 1997139
Jun 1997147
May 1997152
Apr 1997135
Mar 1997136
Feb 1997136
Jan 1997138
Dec 1996146
Nov 1996154
Oct 1996162
Sept 1996151
Aug 1996156
Jul 1996142
Jun 1996134
May 1996117
Dec 1995123
Nov 1995130
Oct 1995110
Sept 1995115
Aug 1995106
Jul 1995108
Jun 199590.5
May 199587.5
Apr 199584
Mar 199582.2
Feb 199580.5
Jan 199574
Dec 199474.7
Nov 199473
Oct 199473.5
Sept 199473.5
Aug 199474.5
Jul 199475.2
Jun 199466.5
May 199464.5
Apr 199463.8
Mar 199467
Feb 199457.8
Jan 199450.7
Dec 199370.3
Nov 199373
Oct 199373.8
Sept 199379.8
Aug 199378
Jul 199379
Jun 199367.5
May 199359
Apr 199362
Mar 199362.3
Feb 199363
Jan 199366.2
Dec 199270.2
Nov 199281
Oct 199284
Sept 199287
Aug 199286
Jul 199283
Jun 199282.5
May 199282.7
Apr 199282.5
Mar 199282.3
Feb 199278
Jan 199282

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-129-73-retail-kg.