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Sorghum (white) in Bousse

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 36% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

130–173

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

121–181

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 173 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 121 and 181 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Bousse: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 36% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 130 and 173 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 121 and 181 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 140–169 153 137–175 258 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 135–173 152 134–176 252 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 130–173 151 116–196 233 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 122–177 149 101–204 223 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 121–181 151 91.6–205 227 –
Price history (261 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026174
Aug 2026153
Jul 2026157
Jun 2026160
May 2026166
Apr 2026169
Mar 2026177
Feb 2026190
Jan 2026180
Dec 2025180
Nov 2025195
Oct 2025228
Sept 2025228
Aug 2025241
Jul 2025245
Jun 2025241
May 2025248
Apr 2025253
Mar 2025260
Feb 2025264
Jan 2025243
Dec 2024251
Nov 2024242
Oct 2024277
Sept 2024291
Aug 2024297
Jul 2024243
Jun 2024236
May 2024224
Apr 2024218
Mar 2024218
Dec 2023179
Nov 2023210
Oct 2023261
Sept 2023247
Aug 2023229
Jul 2023225
Jun 2023239
May 2023244
Apr 2023244
Mar 2023244
Feb 2023240
Jan 2023227
Dec 2022251
Nov 2022244
Oct 2022263
Sept 2022287
Aug 2022283
Jul 2022276
Jun 2022282
May 2022268
Apr 2022278
Mar 2022246
Feb 2022216
Jan 2022203
Dec 2021185
Nov 2021205
Oct 2021196
Sept 2021196
Aug 2021196
Jul 2021187
Jun 2021180
May 2021179
Apr 2021179
Mar 2021179
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021179
Dec 2020179
Nov 2020179
Oct 2020179
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020167
Jul 2020147
Jun 2020145
May 2020143
Apr 2020143
Mar 2020143
Feb 2020146
Jan 2020143
Dec 2019143
Nov 2019143
Oct 2019147
Sept 2019161
Aug 2019146
Jul 2019150
Jun 2019156
May 2019161
Apr 2019161
Mar 2019170
Feb 2019179
Jan 2019167
Dec 2018167
Nov 2018179
Oct 2018182
Sept 2018196
Aug 2018202
Jul 2018205
Jun 2018196
May 2018195
Apr 2018166
Mar 2018175
Feb 2018184
Jan 2018175
Dec 2017167
Nov 2017167
Oct 2017196
Sept 2017190
Aug 2017183
Jul 2017179
Jun 2017170
May 2017179
Apr 2017180
Mar 2017179
Feb 2017164
Jan 2017160
Dec 2016151
Nov 2016163
Oct 2016169
Sept 2016172
Aug 2016163
Jul 2016149
Jun 2016156
May 2016163
Apr 2016179
Mar 2016175
Feb 2016173
Jan 2016172
Dec 2015140
Nov 2015147
Oct 2015143
Sept 2015151
Aug 2015158
Jul 2015141
Jun 2015140
May 2015144
Apr 2015141
Mar 2015163
Feb 2015158
Jan 2015142
Dec 2014146
Nov 2014134
Oct 2014127
Sept 2014148
Jul 2014143
Jun 2014141
May 2014150
Apr 2014170
Mar 2014142
Feb 2014151
Dec 2013135
Nov 2013134
Oct 2013138
Sept 2013150
Aug 2013158
Jul 2013158
Jun 2013157
May 2013163
Apr 2013170
Mar 2013170
Feb 2013160
Jan 2013160
Dec 2012149
Nov 2012160
Oct 2012170
Sept 2012192
Aug 2012213
Jul 2012186
Jun 2012200
May 2012198
Apr 2012206
Mar 2012193
Feb 2012193
Dec 2011179
Nov 2011158
Oct 2011176
Sept 2011151
Aug 2011156
Jul 2011144
Jun 2011129
May 2011129
Apr 2011141
Mar 2011136
Feb 2011145
Jan 2011133
Dec 2010120
Nov 2010123
Oct 2010122
Sept 2010151
Aug 2010151
Jul 2010138
Jun 2010136
May 2010141
Apr 2010149
Mar 2010152
Feb 2010144
Jan 2010140
Dec 2009114
Nov 2009112
Oct 2009135
Sept 2009125
Aug 2009147
Jul 2009160
Jun 2009149
May 2009123
Apr 2009146
Mar 2009155
Feb 2009140
Jan 2009129
Dec 2008106
Nov 2008114
Oct 2008128
Sept 2008127
Aug 2008150
Jul 2008153
Jun 2008150
May 2008148
Mar 2008124
Feb 2008127
Jan 200896
Dec 2007111
Nov 2007110
Oct 2007102
Sept 200799.3
Aug 200798
Jul 200789.6
Jun 200782.7
May 200785.4
Apr 200792.2
Mar 200787.6
Feb 200784.6
Jan 200790.1
Dec 200672
Nov 200667
Oct 200675.1
Sept 200679.6
Aug 200692.8
Jul 200699.2
Jun 2006114
May 200698.2
Apr 2006103
Mar 2006111
Feb 200698.8
Jan 200695.8
Dec 200593.2
Nov 2005100
Oct 2005168
Sept 2005215
Aug 2005231
Jul 2005221
Jun 2005240
May 2005177
Apr 2005167
Mar 2005158
Feb 2005121
Jan 2005113
Dec 2004132
Nov 2004105
Oct 2004113
Sept 2004102
Aug 2004105
Jul 200489.7

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-130-135-retail-kg.