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Millet in Bousse

PLATEAU-CENTRAL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

188–299

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

161–307

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 188 and 299 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 307 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Bousse: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 188 and 299 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 161 and 307 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 208–261 225 202–308 346 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 201–286 226 188–350 351 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 188–299 224 173–367 346 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 181–307 225 163–415 337 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 161–307 225 92.3–408 327 –
Price history (261 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026248
Aug 2026224
Jul 2026224
Jun 2026226
May 2026241
Apr 2026244
Mar 2026267
Feb 2026274
Jan 2026259
Dec 2025276
Nov 2025283
Oct 2025282
Sept 2025289
Aug 2025283
Jul 2025301
Jun 2025313
May 2025315
Apr 2025363
Mar 2025375
Feb 2025364
Jan 2025352
Dec 2024427
Nov 2024427
Oct 2024429
Sept 2024462
Aug 2024435
Jul 2024324
Jun 2024312
May 2024306
Apr 2024303
Mar 2024306
Dec 2023294
Nov 2023299
Oct 2023297
Sept 2023283
Aug 2023285
Jul 2023276
Jun 2023293
May 2023313
Apr 2023324
Mar 2023335
Feb 2023329
Jan 2023314
Dec 2022359
Nov 2022422
Oct 2022436
Sept 2022414
Aug 2022354
Jul 2022347
Jun 2022346
May 2022341
Apr 2022339
Mar 2022301
Feb 2022281
Jan 2022269
Dec 2021266
Nov 2021232
Oct 2021214
Sept 2021232
Aug 2021232
Jul 2021223
Jun 2021239
May 2021250
Apr 2021250
Mar 2021202
Feb 2021179
Jan 2021179
Dec 2020186
Nov 2020189
Oct 2020208
Sept 2020179
Aug 2020179
Jul 2020268
Jun 2020201
May 2020161
Apr 2020161
Mar 2020179
Feb 2020163
Jan 2020161
Dec 2019147
Nov 2019156
Oct 2019161
Sept 2019161
Aug 2019161
Jul 2019167
Jun 2019161
May 2019161
Apr 2019161
Mar 2019214
Feb 2019220
Jan 2019250
Dec 2018250
Nov 2018232
Oct 2018232
Sept 2018264
Aug 2018268
Jul 2018284
Jun 2018280
May 2018259
Apr 2018248
Mar 2018251
Feb 2018242
Jan 2018240
Dec 2017225
Nov 2017248
Oct 2017286
Sept 2017254
Aug 2017234
Jul 2017205
Jun 2017218
May 2017219
Apr 2017217
Mar 2017215
Feb 2017196
Jan 2017185
Dec 2016179
Nov 2016201
Oct 2016185
Sept 2016171
Aug 2016171
Jul 2016164
Jun 2016169
May 2016165
Apr 2016177
Mar 2016178
Feb 2016166
Jan 2016166
Dec 2015198
Nov 2015220
Oct 2015215
Sept 2015207
Aug 2015208
Jul 2015197
Jun 2015189
May 2015183
Apr 2015179
Mar 2015172
Feb 2015160
Jan 2015161
Dec 2014170
Nov 2014141
Oct 2014163
Sept 2014169
Jul 2014164
Jun 2014155
May 2014154
Apr 2014184
Mar 2014158
Feb 2014170
Dec 2013147
Nov 2013169
Oct 2013154
Sept 2013169
Aug 2013169
Jul 2013182
Jun 2013164
May 2013181
Mar 2013182
Feb 2013171
Jan 2013184
Dec 2012166
Nov 2012231
Oct 2012278
Sept 2012261
Aug 2012244
Jul 2012237
Jun 2012238
May 2012245
Apr 2012249
Mar 2012240
Feb 2012200
Dec 2011187
Nov 2011161
Oct 2011177
Sept 2011158
Aug 2011170
Jul 2011137
Jun 2011136
May 2011135
Apr 2011153
Mar 2011152
Feb 2011144
Jan 2011146
Dec 2010129
Nov 2010162
Oct 2010168
Sept 2010172
Aug 2010169
Jul 2010163
Jun 2010180
May 2010166
Apr 2010167
Mar 2010167
Feb 2010143
Jan 2010171
Dec 2009122
Nov 2009142
Oct 2009132
Sept 2009130
Aug 2009156
Jul 2009157
Jun 2009134
May 2009127
Apr 2009143
Mar 2009151
Feb 2009139
Jan 2009129
Dec 2008105
Nov 2008136
Oct 2008158
Sept 2008173
Aug 2008175
Jul 2008164
Jun 2008165
May 2008149
Apr 2008130
Mar 2008136
Feb 2008128
Jan 2008129
Dec 2007111
Nov 2007124
Oct 2007127
Sept 2007124
Aug 2007111
Jul 200795.6
Jun 200788.4
May 200790.1
Apr 200791.3
Mar 200788.4
Feb 200785.5
Jan 200780.7
Dec 200675
Nov 200670.1
Oct 200673.6
Sept 200695.7
Aug 2006103
Jul 2006108
Jun 200695.4
May 2006112
Apr 2006114
Mar 2006120
Feb 2006127
Jan 2006102
Dec 200592.9
Nov 2005109
Oct 2005235
Sept 2005259
Aug 2005280
Jul 2005241
Jun 2005229
May 2005184
Apr 2005185
Mar 2005173
Feb 2005146
Jan 2005146
Dec 2004122
Nov 2004123
Oct 2004135
Sept 2004114
Aug 2004113
Jul 2004101

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-130-73-retail-kg.