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Maize (white) in Diebougou

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 34% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

127–190

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

119–203

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 127 and 190 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 119 and 203 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Diebougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 34% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 127 and 190 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 119 and 203 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 152–185 169 141–194 275 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 141–191 168 133–197 268 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 127–190 164 88.6–222 239 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 120–198 166 75.8–233 244 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 119–203 167 64.7–226 255 –
Price history (282 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026176
Aug 2026168
Jul 2026176
Jun 2026184
May 2026175
Apr 2026173
Mar 2026170
Feb 2026172
Jan 2026174
Dec 2025168
Nov 2025167
Oct 2025195
Sept 2025210
Aug 2025198
Jul 2025251
Jun 2025267
May 2025284
Apr 2025284
Mar 2025284
Feb 2025256
Jan 2025259
Dec 2024272
Nov 2024266
Oct 2024310
Sept 2024307
Aug 2024309
Jul 2024286
May 2024263
Apr 2024249
Mar 2024227
Feb 2024227
Jan 2024227
Dec 2023199
Nov 2023199
Oct 2023224
Sept 2023227
Aug 2023227
Jul 2023227
Jun 2023213
May 2023241
Apr 2023256
Mar 2023256
Feb 2023255
Jan 2023253
Dec 2022253
Nov 2022235
Oct 2022269
Sept 2022284
Aug 2022278
Jul 2022281
Jun 2022291
May 2022301
Apr 2022283
Mar 2022220
Feb 2022207
Jan 2022207
Dec 2021203
Nov 2021189
Oct 2021211
Sept 2021216
Aug 2021186
Jul 2021189
Jun 2021189
May 2021191
Apr 2021167
Mar 2021165
Feb 2021146
Jan 2021137
Dec 2020128
Nov 2020135
Oct 2020155
Sept 2020153
Aug 2020139
Jul 2020137
Jun 2020137
May 2020134
Apr 2020134
Mar 2020130
Feb 2020128
Jan 2020123
Dec 2019110
Nov 2019101
Oct 201995
Sept 201996
Aug 2019108
Jul 2019111
Jun 2019126
May 2019131
Apr 2019134
Mar 2019138
Feb 2019136
Jan 2019130
Dec 2018130
Nov 2018136
Oct 2018168
Sept 2018171
Aug 2018171
Jul 2018171
Jun 2018161
May 2018163
Apr 2018163
Mar 2018155
Feb 2018149
Jan 2018147
Dec 2017135
Nov 2017131
Oct 2017140
Sept 2017143
Aug 2017141
Jul 2017145
Jun 2017141
May 2017136
Apr 2017136
Mar 2017135
Feb 2017130
Jan 2017124
Dec 2016117
Nov 2016117
Oct 2016129
Sept 2016139
Aug 2016145
Jul 2016149
Jun 2016147
May 2016148
Apr 2016137
Mar 2016137
Feb 2016130
Jan 2016111
Dec 2015116
Nov 2015114
Oct 2015128
Sept 2015137
Aug 2015152
Jul 2015166
Jun 2015147
May 2015130
Apr 2015121
Mar 2015110
Feb 2015106
Jan 2015136
Dec 2014106
Nov 2014106
Oct 2014115
Sept 2014118
Jul 2014120
Jun 2014120
May 2014120
Apr 2014136
Mar 2014122
Feb 2014122
Dec 2013126
Nov 2013119
Oct 2013126
Sept 2013128
Aug 2013125
Jul 2013130
Jun 2013133
May 2013143
Apr 2013136
Mar 2013139
Feb 2013135
Jan 2013135
Dec 2012134
Nov 2012131
Oct 2012148
Sept 2012209
Aug 2012199
Jul 2012197
Jun 2012191
May 2012180
Apr 2012171
Mar 2012160
Feb 2012158
Jan 2012168
Dec 2011168
Nov 2011148
Oct 2011137
Sept 2011160
Aug 2011160
Jul 2011152
Jun 2011141
May 2011138
Apr 2011137
Mar 2011137
Feb 2011122
Jan 2011119
Dec 2010118
Nov 2010101
Oct 2010102
Sept 2010118
Aug 2010124
Jul 2010124
Jun 2010128
May 2010123
Apr 2010118
Mar 2010120
Feb 2010130
Jan 2010137
Dec 2009122
Nov 2009107
Oct 2009104
Sept 2009123
Aug 2009165
Jul 2009165
Jun 2009140
May 2009137
Apr 2009133
Mar 2009140
Feb 2009136
Jan 2009138
Dec 200896.7
Nov 200887.8
Oct 200898.8
Sept 2008153
Aug 2008171
Jul 2008164
Jun 2008157
May 2008152
Apr 2008116
Mar 2008112
Feb 2008107
Jan 200881.8
Dec 2007104
Nov 2007121
Oct 200791.3
Sept 200787.4
Aug 200783.2
Jul 200780.9
Jun 200780.2
May 200776
Apr 200777.7
Mar 200781
Feb 200774.1
Jan 200768.8
Dec 200664.8
Nov 200666.8
Oct 200670
Sept 200686.9
Aug 200699
Jul 2006114
Jun 2006128
May 2006137
Apr 2006134
Mar 2006119
Feb 2006114
Jan 2006120
Dec 2005116
Nov 2005109
Oct 2005108
Sept 2005136
Aug 2005254
Jul 2005257
Jun 2005242
May 2005181
Apr 2005179
Mar 2005133
Feb 2005114
Jan 2005107
Dec 200499
Nov 2004105
Oct 200493.6
Sept 200493.7
Aug 200490
Jul 200480.7
Jun 200485
May 200484.5
Apr 200477.3
Mar 200472.9
Feb 200461
Jan 200456.6
Dec 200364.8
Nov 200368
Oct 200374
Sept 200378.1
Aug 200382.5
Jul 2003109
Jun 2003114
May 2003121
Apr 2003116
Mar 2003111
Feb 2003112
Jan 200394.8

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-131-67-retail-kg.