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Millet in Diebougou

SUD-OUEST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

227–364

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

214–383

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 364 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 214 and 383 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Diebougou: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 227 and 364 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 214 and 383 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 582); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 257–319 274 246–371 410 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 241–351 275 229–469 424 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 227–364 275 205–488 412 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 218–379 274 182–582 406 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 214–383 276 169–541 402 –
Price history (414 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026292
Aug 2026274
Jul 2026278
Jun 2026278
May 2026298
Apr 2026303
Mar 2026331
Feb 2026341
Jan 2026302
Dec 2025348
Nov 2025333
Oct 2025355
Sept 2025355
Aug 2025339
Jul 2025341
Jun 2025358
May 2025384
Apr 2025370
Mar 2025399
Feb 2025384
Jan 2025373
Dec 2024408
Nov 2024408
Oct 2024420
Sept 2024431
Aug 2024428
Jul 2024334
Jun 2024334
May 2024306
Apr 2024334
Mar 2024334
Feb 2024285
Jan 2024341
Dec 2023384
Nov 2023360
Oct 2023334
Sept 2023334
Aug 2023334
Jul 2023311
Jun 2023334
May 2023355
Apr 2023417
Mar 2023417
Feb 2023418
Jan 2023405
Dec 2022405
Nov 2022479
Oct 2022482
Sept 2022460
Aug 2022433
Jul 2022425
Jun 2022402
May 2022379
Apr 2022408
Mar 2022318
Feb 2022274
Jan 2022321
Dec 2021267
Nov 2021294
Oct 2021294
Sept 2021294
Aug 2021261
Jul 2021241
Jun 2021267
May 2021276
Apr 2021265
Mar 2021271
Feb 2021267
Jan 2021267
Dec 2020257
Nov 2020251
Oct 2020261
Sept 2020241
Aug 2020234
Jul 2020234
Jun 2020217
May 2020229
Apr 2020229
Mar 2020201
Feb 2020186
Jan 2020160
Dec 2019166
Nov 2019148
Oct 2019134
Sept 2019138
Aug 2019154
Jul 2019166
Jun 2019201
May 2019211
Apr 2019216
Mar 2019201
Feb 2019198
Jan 2019233
Dec 2018233
Nov 2018249
Oct 2018303
Sept 2018260
Aug 2018278
Jul 2018290
Jun 2018267
May 2018281
Apr 2018275
Mar 2018266
Feb 2018266
Jan 2018265
Dec 2017239
Nov 2017271
Oct 2017283
Sept 2017242
Aug 2017236
Jul 2017234
Jun 2017208
May 2017206
Apr 2017195
Mar 2017188
Feb 2017183
Jan 2017182
Dec 2016186
Nov 2016178
Oct 2016191
Sept 2016201
Aug 2016168
Jul 2016204
Jun 2016216
May 2016212
Apr 2016212
Mar 2016199
Feb 2016188
Jan 2016155
Dec 2015165
Nov 2015173
Oct 2015186
Sept 2015207
Aug 2015203
Jul 2015214
Jun 2015207
May 2015194
Apr 2015183
Mar 2015174
Feb 2015165
Jan 2015182
Dec 2014172
Nov 2014175
Oct 2014191
Sept 2014207
Jul 2014201
Jun 2014191
May 2014193
Apr 2014225
Mar 2014178
Feb 2014173
Dec 2013166
Nov 2013155
Oct 2013146
Sept 2013161
Aug 2013158
Jul 2013194
Jun 2013207
May 2013181
Mar 2013222
Feb 2013216
Jan 2013231
Dec 2012222
Nov 2012241
Oct 2012250
Sept 2012260
Aug 2012253
Jul 2012248
Jun 2012241
May 2012241
Apr 2012229
Mar 2012200
Feb 2012178
Jan 2012191
Dec 2011185
Nov 2011191
Oct 2011187
Sept 2011189
Aug 2011184
Jul 2011187
Jun 2011191
May 2011192
Apr 2011192
Mar 2011174
Feb 2011167
Jan 2011159
Dec 2010160
Nov 2010156
Oct 2010152
Sept 2010171
Aug 2010174
Jul 2010150
Jun 2010147
May 2010144
Apr 2010142
Mar 2010145
Feb 2010156
Jan 2010154
Dec 2009138
Nov 2009149
Oct 2009158
Sept 2009164
Aug 2009183
Jul 2009186
Jun 2009154
May 2009147
Apr 2009143
Mar 2009153
Feb 2009139
Jan 2009141
Dec 2008120
Nov 2008143
Oct 2008155
Sept 2008183
Aug 2008180
Jul 2008171
Jun 2008181
May 2008160
Apr 2008129
Mar 2008121
Feb 2008110
Jan 2008107
Dec 2007106
Nov 2007122
Oct 2007111
Sept 2007114
Aug 2007115
Jul 2007113
Jun 2007109
May 2007111
Apr 2007111
Mar 2007112
Feb 200789.3
Jan 200790.7
Dec 200699
Nov 2006118
Oct 2006129
Sept 2006132
Aug 2006132
Jul 2006152
Jun 2006154
May 2006149
Apr 2006152
Mar 2006136
Feb 2006138
Jan 2006136
Dec 2005122
Nov 2005163
Oct 2005239
Sept 2005256
Aug 2005265
Jul 2005262
Jun 2005236
May 2005198
Apr 2005199
Mar 2005160
Feb 2005136
Jan 2005124
Dec 2004120
Nov 2004133
Oct 2004117
Sept 2004104
Aug 2004103
Jul 200499.7
Jun 200493.1
May 200491.7
Apr 200486
Mar 200482.9
Feb 200471.9
Jan 200467.6
Dec 200380.8
Nov 2003102
Oct 2003104
Sept 2003110
Aug 2003108
Jul 2003127
Jun 2003123
May 2003136
Apr 2003129
Mar 2003128
Feb 2003127
Jan 2003126
Dec 2002131
Nov 2002150
Oct 2002175
Sept 2002175
Aug 2002167
Jul 2002175
Jun 2002173
May 2002161
Apr 2002161
Mar 2002148
Feb 2002141
Jan 2002139
Dec 2001140
Nov 2001139
Oct 2001142
Sept 2001158
Aug 2001162
Jul 2001154
Jun 2001153
May 2001149
Apr 2001141
Mar 2001133
Feb 2001105
Jan 2001104
Dec 200099.7
Nov 200087.2
Oct 200084.1
Sept 200084.9
Aug 200091.3
Jul 200097.1
Jun 200092.6
May 2000104
Apr 2000104
Mar 2000109
Feb 2000112
Jan 2000112
Dec 1999109
Nov 1999116
Oct 1999127
Sept 1999134
Aug 1999148
Jul 1999145
Jun 1999144
May 1999147
Apr 1999152
Mar 1999145
Feb 1999145
Jan 1999135
Dec 1998146
Nov 1998159
Oct 1998200
Sept 1998207
Aug 1998212
Jul 1998189
Jun 1998171
May 1998162
Apr 1998152
Mar 1998150
Feb 1998146
Jan 1998143
Dec 1997114
Nov 1997118
Oct 1997124
Sept 1997141
Aug 1997136
Jul 1997139
Jun 1997138
May 1997140
Apr 1997115
Mar 199789.4
Feb 1997144
Jan 1997137
Dec 1996115
Nov 1996120
Oct 1996149
Sept 1996156
Aug 1996156
Jul 1996162
Jun 1996130
May 1996111
Apr 1996106
Mar 1996101
Feb 199696.3
Jan 199687
Dec 199589.5
Nov 199592
Oct 199590.2
Sept 1995101
Aug 199590.2
Jul 199579
Jun 199585
May 199581
Apr 199579
Mar 199575.8
Feb 199556.3
Jan 199550.1
Dec 199446.8
Nov 199455
Oct 199458.8
Sept 199462.7
Aug 199467
Jul 199467
Jun 199462
May 199459
Apr 199457
Mar 199457
Feb 199436
Jan 199457
Dec 199360
Nov 199363
Oct 199362.5
Sept 199381.7
Aug 199383.5
Jul 199382
Jun 199371.8
May 199371
Apr 199371.7
Mar 199370
Feb 199369.8
Jan 199373
Dec 199265
Nov 199272.5
Oct 199280.5
Sept 199288
Aug 199289.7
Jul 199281
Jun 199282.2
May 199282
Apr 199279.7
Mar 199278
Feb 199271
Jan 199264

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-131-73-retail-kg.