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Sorghum (white) in Djibo

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 38% below the usual level for that time of year.

Irregular reports. This market published a price in 7 of the last 12 months. Prices here can change more, for example through insecurity or road closures; the forecast range is wider accordingly. In past tests, the 80 % range for next month held in 81% of cases in markets that report irregularly, against 77% in markets that report regularly.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

256–370

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

252–426

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 38% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 256 and 370 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 252 and 426 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Sorghum (white), Djibo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 38% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For sorghum, across 59 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 256 and 370 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 252 and 426 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 288–345 313 258–383 568 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 264–367 312 224–418 583 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 256–370 308 220–416 534 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 220–395 308 108–527 568 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 252–426 313 222–536 592 –
Price history (261 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026337
Aug 2026316
Jul 2026316
Jun 2026316
May 2026319
Apr 2026337
Mar 2026349
Feb 2026365
Aug 2025454
Jul 2025458
May 2025524
Apr 2025471
Mar 2025467
Feb 2025447
Jan 2025421
Dec 2024426
Jun 2024424
May 2024423
Apr 2024423
Feb 2024466
Jan 2024423
Dec 2023426
Nov 2023446
Oct 2023439
Sept 2023436
Aug 2023436
Jul 2023563
Jun 2023759
May 2023429
Apr 2023470
Mar 2023493
Jan 20231,323
Dec 20221,245
Nov 2022616
Oct 2022847
Sept 2022541
Aug 2022472
Jul 2022439
Jun 2022433
Apr 2022434
Mar 2022312
Feb 2022236
Jan 2022246
Dec 2021232
Nov 2021227
Oct 2021204
Sept 2021200
Aug 2021198
Jul 2021197
Jun 2021197
May 2021196
Apr 2021198
Mar 2021197
Feb 2021184
Jan 2021185
Dec 2020169
Nov 2020173
Oct 2020206
Sept 2020209
Aug 2020214
Jul 2020193
Jun 2020206
May 2020164
Apr 2020164
Mar 2020157
Feb 2020157
Jan 2020157
Dec 2019150
Nov 2019153
Oct 2019158
Sept 2019155
Aug 2019163
Jul 2019163
Jun 2019167
May 2019169
Apr 2019172
Mar 2019165
Feb 2019170
Jan 2019175
Dec 2018175
Nov 2018175
Oct 2018200
Sept 2018222
Aug 2018222
Jul 2018218
Jun 2018214
May 2018212
Apr 2018212
Mar 2018219
Feb 2018215
Jan 2018193
Dec 2017175
Nov 2017188
Oct 2017208
Sept 2017235
Aug 2017229
Jul 2017195
Jun 2017195
May 2017192
Apr 2017186
Mar 2017185
Feb 2017177
Jan 2017168
Dec 2016161
Nov 2016168
Oct 2016180
Sept 2016188
Aug 2016191
Jul 2016193
Jun 2016184
May 2016184
Apr 2016184
Mar 2016169
Feb 2016166
Jan 2016165
Dec 2015160
Nov 2015157
Oct 2015173
Sept 2015185
Aug 2015173
Jul 2015183
Jun 2015176
May 2015168
Apr 2015156
Mar 2015156
Feb 2015154
Jan 2015158
Dec 2014163
Nov 2014171
Oct 2014183
Sept 2014191
Jul 2014193
Jun 2014179
May 2014181
Apr 2014167
Mar 2014172
Feb 2014183
Dec 2013146
Nov 2013174
Oct 2013168
Sept 2013178
Aug 2013192
Jul 2013176
Jun 2013162
May 2013164
Apr 2013167
Mar 2013177
Feb 2013168
Jan 2013164
Dec 2012141
Nov 2012149
Oct 2012179
Sept 2012228
Jul 2012257
Jun 2012244
May 2012242
Apr 2012242
Mar 2012222
Feb 2012202
Jan 2012186
Dec 2011190
Nov 2011158
Oct 2011127
Sept 2011119
Aug 2011132
Jul 2011117
Jun 2011122
May 2011126
Apr 2011130
Mar 2011127
Feb 2011120
Jan 2011117
Dec 2010110
Nov 2010122
Oct 2010131
Sept 2010145
Aug 2010157
Jul 2010163
Jun 2010144
May 2010144
Apr 2010158
Mar 2010157
Feb 2010156
Jan 2010143
May 2009165
Apr 2009164
Mar 2009163
Feb 2009158
Jan 2009151
Dec 2008128
Nov 2008129
Oct 2008114
Sept 2008152
Aug 2008162
Jul 2008140
Jun 2008130
May 2008121
Apr 2008115
Mar 2008112
Feb 2008110
Jan 200890.5
Dec 200779.8
Nov 200787.1
Oct 200797.5
Sept 200799.9
Aug 2007108
Jul 2007107
Jun 2007108
May 2007111
Apr 2007117
Mar 2007117
Feb 2007103
Jan 200796.2
Dec 200693.2
Nov 200683.2
Oct 2006105
Sept 2006117
Aug 2006137
Jul 2006134
Jun 2006140
May 2006145
Apr 2006141
Mar 2006133
Feb 2006132
Jan 2006121
Dec 2005114
Nov 2005106
Oct 2005124
Sept 2005209
Aug 2005232
Jul 2005224
Jun 2005214
May 2005180
Apr 2005172
Mar 2005155
Feb 2005143
Jan 2005125
Dec 2004138
Nov 2004128
Oct 2004143
Sept 200499.1
Aug 2004106
Jul 200482.4
Jun 200483
May 200488.3
Apr 200491
Mar 200483.3
Feb 200482.8
Jan 200493.8
Dec 200391.7
Nov 200393.2
Oct 2003103
Sept 2003114
Aug 2003121
Jul 2003138
Jun 2003144
May 2003150
Apr 2003147
Mar 2003148
Feb 2003154
Jan 2003149

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-132-135-retail-kg.