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Maize (white) in Djibo

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 35% below the usual level for that time of year.

Irregular reports. This market published a price in 7 of the last 12 months. Prices here can change more, for example through insecurity or road closures; the forecast range is wider accordingly. In past tests, the 80 % range for next month held in 81% of cases in markets that report irregularly, against 77% in markets that report regularly.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

277–400

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

268–451

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 277 and 400 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 268 and 451 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Djibo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 35% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 277 and 400 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 268 and 451 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 316–376 344 265–392 588 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 296–401 346 221–410 609 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 277–400 341 184–412 575 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 267–419 342 160–471 611 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 268–451 347 165–534 633 –
Price history (269 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026333
Aug 2026345
Jul 2026345
Jun 2026349
May 2026352
Apr 2026374
Mar 2026364
Feb 2026371
Aug 2025491
Jul 2025474
Apr 2025523
Mar 2025470
Feb 2025446
Jan 2025410
Dec 2024409
Jun 2024437
May 2024435
Apr 2024439
Mar 2024588
Feb 2024461
Jan 2024436
Dec 2023450
Nov 2023499
Oct 2023496
Sept 2023488
Aug 2023472
Jul 2023491
Jun 2023528
May 2023500
Apr 2023501
Mar 2023522
Jan 20231,462
Dec 20221,336
Nov 2022643
Oct 2022872
Sept 2022574
Aug 2022475
Jul 2022443
Jun 2022432
Apr 2022445
Mar 2022328
Feb 2022274
Jan 2022274
Dec 2021247
Nov 2021240
Oct 2021227
Sept 2021222
Aug 2021219
Jul 2021218
Jun 2021217
May 2021215
Apr 2021216
Mar 2021215
Feb 2021202
Jan 2021201
Dec 2020176
Nov 2020173
Oct 2020199
Sept 2020214
Aug 2020215
Jul 2020204
Jun 2020219
May 2020179
Apr 2020179
Mar 2020174
Feb 2020174
Jan 2020174
Dec 2019174
Nov 2019174
Oct 2019177
Sept 2019175
Aug 2019186
Jul 2019186
Jun 2019188
May 2019185
Apr 2019187
Mar 2019191
Feb 2019193
Jan 2019200
Dec 2018200
Nov 2018201
Oct 2018207
Sept 2018219
Aug 2018214
Jul 2018215
Jun 2018208
May 2018207
Apr 2018207
Mar 2018207
Feb 2018213
Jan 2018201
Dec 2017202
Nov 2017202
Oct 2017203
Sept 2017212
Aug 2017216
Jul 2017210
Jun 2017213
May 2017204
Apr 2017201
Mar 2017197
Feb 2017194
Jan 2017192
Dec 2016186
Nov 2016191
Oct 2016198
Sept 2016201
Aug 2016201
Jul 2016205
Jun 2016201
May 2016200
Apr 2016200
Mar 2016180
Feb 2016177
Jan 2016178
Dec 2015182
Nov 2015181
Oct 2015205
Sept 2015203
Aug 2015199
Jul 2015199
Jun 2015190
May 2015178
Apr 2015175
Mar 2015175
Feb 2015174
Jan 2015193
Dec 2014167
Nov 2014173
Oct 2014179
Sept 2014187
Jul 2014203
Jun 2014199
May 2014194
Apr 2014202
Mar 2014193
Feb 2014201
Dec 2013183
Nov 2013203
Oct 2013203
Sept 2013202
Aug 2013212
Jul 2013199
Jun 2013191
May 2013201
Apr 2013202
Mar 2013205
Feb 2013211
Jan 2013205
Dec 2012205
Nov 2012195
Oct 2012200
Sept 2012222
Aug 2012254
Jul 2012246
Jun 2012247
May 2012246
Apr 2012251
Mar 2012237
Feb 2012217
Jan 2012202
Dec 2011205
Nov 2011216
Oct 2011200
Sept 2011188
Aug 2011185
Jul 2011173
Jun 2011174
May 2011174
Apr 2011174
Mar 2011163
Feb 2011169
Jan 2011166
Dec 2010160
Nov 2010158
Oct 2010166
Sept 2010173
Aug 2010174
Jul 2010171
Jun 2010172
May 2010173
Apr 2010173
Mar 2010174
Feb 2010174
Jan 2010178
Dec 2009171
Nov 2009165
Oct 2009159
Sept 2009175
Aug 2009215
Jul 2009206
Jun 2009186
May 2009188
Apr 2009186
Mar 2009180
Feb 2009172
Jan 2009164
Dec 2008158
Nov 2008175
Oct 2008190
Sept 2008212
Aug 2008211
Jul 2008196
Jun 2008172
May 2008160
Apr 2008143
Mar 2008142
Feb 2008144
Jan 2008143
Dec 2007135
Nov 2007107
Oct 2007114
Sept 2007115
Aug 2007115
Jul 2007118
Jun 2007115
May 2007116
Apr 2007120
Mar 2007128
Feb 2007114
Jan 2007103
Dec 2006100
Nov 2006104
Oct 2006119
Sept 2006135
Aug 2006144
Jul 2006157
Jun 2006156
May 2006157
Apr 2006177
Mar 2006145
Feb 2006145
Jan 2006149
Dec 2005156
Nov 2005153
Oct 2005150
Sept 2005153
Aug 2005196
Jul 2005228
Jun 2005224
May 2005188
Apr 2005182
Mar 2005183
Feb 2005154
Jan 2005143
Dec 2004144
Nov 2004140
Oct 2004143
Sept 2004118
Aug 2004116
Jul 2004105
Jun 200497.4
May 200499.8
Apr 2004101
Mar 200488.8
Feb 200488.2
Jan 200488
Dec 2003102
Nov 2003102
Oct 200395.6
Sept 2003105
Aug 2003116
Jul 2003134
Jun 2003145
May 2003147
Apr 2003148
Mar 2003142
Feb 2003143
Jan 2003129

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-132-67-retail-kg.