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Millet in Djibo

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 42% below the usual level for that time of year.

Irregular reports. This market published a price in 8 of the last 12 months. Prices here can change more, for example through insecurity or road closures; the forecast range is wider accordingly. In past tests, the 80 % range for next month held in 81% of cases in markets that report irregularly, against 77% in markets that report regularly.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

288–478

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

256–538

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 42% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 288 and 478 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 256 and 538 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Djibo: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 42% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 288 and 478 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 256 and 538 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600800202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 344–428 372 265–446 692 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 311–463 376 208–516 679 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 288–478 373 154–479 662 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 236–504 373 69.1–615 713 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 256–538 374 125–627 734 –
Price history (398 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026368
Aug 2026368
Jul 2026368
Jun 2026368
May 2026368
Apr 2026366
Mar 2026375
Feb 2026395
Sept 2025579
Aug 2025582
Jul 2025579
Apr 2025658
Mar 2025634
Dec 2024591
Jun 2024469
May 2024451
Apr 2024471
Feb 2024587
Jan 2024484
Dec 2023487
Nov 2023546
Oct 2023551
Sept 2023550
Aug 2023553
Jul 2023566
Jun 2023687
May 2023757
Apr 2023694
Mar 2023585
Jan 20231,591
Dec 20221,464
Nov 2022908
Oct 2022984
Sept 2022589
Aug 2022515
Jul 2022502
Jun 2022488
Apr 2022467
Mar 2022349
Feb 2022298
Jan 2022300
Dec 2021296
Nov 2021278
Oct 2021224
Sept 2021224
Aug 2021226
Jul 2021231
Jun 2021240
May 2021223
Apr 2021215
Mar 2021213
Feb 2021212
Jan 2021207
Dec 2020194
Nov 2020197
Oct 2020231
Sept 2020266
Aug 2020260
Jul 2020220
Jun 2020225
May 2020185
Apr 2020185
Mar 2020179
Feb 2020178
Jan 2020177
Dec 2019167
Nov 2019165
Oct 2019168
Sept 2019171
Aug 2019177
Jul 2019168
Jun 2019169
May 2019173
Apr 2019177
Mar 2019177
Feb 2019181
Jan 2019179
Dec 2018179
Nov 2018183
Oct 2018189
Sept 2018220
Aug 2018239
Jul 2018226
Jun 2018224
May 2018230
Apr 2018233
Mar 2018227
Feb 2018232
Jan 2018209
Dec 2017194
Nov 2017190
Oct 2017190
Sept 2017255
Aug 2017269
Jul 2017239
Jun 2017242
May 2017225
Apr 2017213
Mar 2017208
Feb 2017195
Jan 2017192
Dec 2016186
Nov 2016171
Oct 2016193
Sept 2016215
Aug 2016220
Jul 2016209
Jun 2016202
May 2016197
Apr 2016194
Mar 2016187
Feb 2016182
Jan 2016181
Dec 2015178
Nov 2015174
Oct 2015186
Sept 2015204
Aug 2015202
Jul 2015200
Jun 2015200
May 2015188
Apr 2015180
Mar 2015180
Feb 2015180
Jan 2015180
Dec 2014182
Nov 2014183
Oct 2014192
Sept 2014221
Jul 2014212
Jun 2014203
May 2014205
Apr 2014197
Mar 2014200
Feb 2014204
Dec 2013167
Nov 2013193
Oct 2013192
Sept 2013209
Aug 2013219
Jul 2013201
Jun 2013180
May 2013181
Mar 2013202
Feb 2013197
Jan 2013193
Dec 2012175
Nov 2012188
Oct 2012193
Sept 2012257
Aug 2012299
Jul 2012290
Jun 2012283
May 2012278
Apr 2012286
Mar 2012252
Feb 2012217
Jan 2012210
Dec 2011204
Nov 2011165
Oct 2011138
Sept 2011139
Aug 2011148
Jul 2011132
Jun 2011138
May 2011140
Apr 2011142
Mar 2011140
Feb 2011139
Jan 2011134
Dec 2010124
Nov 2010113
Oct 2010141
Sept 2010166
Aug 2010180
Jul 2010178
Jun 2010159
May 2010153
Apr 2010162
Mar 2010165
Feb 2010163
Jan 2010162
Dec 2009145
Nov 2009133
Oct 2009142
Sept 2009189
Aug 2009211
Jul 2009209
Jun 2009177
May 2009171
Apr 2009176
Mar 2009176
Feb 2009166
Jan 2009167
Dec 2008147
Nov 2008144
Oct 2008137
Sept 2008169
Aug 2008184
Jul 2008159
Jun 2008146
May 2008144
Apr 2008154
Mar 2008125
Feb 2008125
Jan 2008111
Dec 2007101
Nov 200799.6
Oct 2007109
Sept 2007114
Aug 2007122
Jul 2007125
Jun 2007121
May 2007126
Apr 2007131
Mar 2007128
Feb 2007114
Jan 2007111
Dec 2006117
Nov 2006104
Oct 2006123
Sept 2006139
Aug 2006152
Jul 2006147
Jun 2006151
May 2006158
Apr 2006155
Mar 2006147
Feb 2006143
Jan 2006136
Dec 2005130
Nov 2005119
Oct 2005134
Sept 2005201
Aug 2005243
Jul 2005233
Jun 2005225
May 2005195
Apr 2005181
Mar 2005183
Feb 2005166
Jan 2005145
Dec 2004150
Nov 2004143
Oct 2004147
Sept 2004103
Aug 2004117
Jul 200492.7
Jun 200492.8
May 200499.7
Apr 200499.4
Mar 200491.9
Feb 200492.1
Jan 200496
Dec 200396.6
Nov 2003125
Oct 2003102
Sept 2003119
Aug 2003135
Jul 2003150
Jun 2003155
May 2003158
Apr 2003159
Mar 2003158
Feb 2003163
Jan 2003164
Dec 2002167
Nov 2002166
Oct 2002185
Sept 2002198
Aug 2002204
Jul 2002205
Jun 2002176
May 2002174
Apr 2002180
Mar 2002166
Feb 2002159
Jan 2002143
Dec 2001123
Nov 2001125
Oct 2001129
Sept 2001181
Aug 2001190
Jul 2001175
Jun 2001167
May 2001152
Apr 2001173
Mar 2001156
Feb 2001125
Jan 2001109
Dec 2000110
Nov 2000108
Oct 2000106
Sept 2000109
Aug 2000108
Jul 2000105
Jun 200096.5
May 200095.7
Apr 200093.9
Mar 200093.8
Feb 200096.5
Jan 200097.4
Dec 1999103
Nov 199999.3
Oct 1999100
Sept 1999103
Aug 1999111
Jul 1999109
Jun 1999104
May 1999108
Apr 1999119
Mar 1999108
Feb 199997.2
Jan 199997.7
Dec 199897.2
Nov 1998101
Oct 1998129
Sept 1998158
Aug 1998160
Jul 1998170
Jun 1998161
May 1998174
Apr 1998157
Mar 1998139
Feb 1998125
Jan 1998121
Dec 1997114
Nov 1997111
Oct 1997112
Sept 1997105
Aug 1997127
Jul 1997141
Jun 1997139
May 1997129
Apr 1997125
Mar 1997128
Feb 1997115
Jan 1997115
Dec 1996108
Nov 1996129
Oct 1996168
Sept 1996179
Aug 1996164
Jul 1996140
Jun 1996128
May 1996117
Apr 1996115
Mar 1996117
Feb 1996112
Jan 199699.5
Dec 199595.2
Nov 199598.2
Oct 1995107
Sept 1995106
Aug 199587
Jul 199582.8
Jun 199582
May 199582
Apr 199582
Mar 199577
Feb 199573
Jan 199569
Dec 199472.3
Nov 199467.5
Oct 199464.2
Sept 199477
Aug 199477
Jul 199477
Jun 199475.8
May 199477.4
Apr 199475.5
Mar 199465.5
Feb 199464.5
Jan 199463.3
Dec 199364.2
Nov 199365
Oct 199375
Sept 199378
Aug 199379.2
Jul 199376.8
Jun 199365.8
May 199363.8
Apr 199368
Mar 199366.2
Feb 199363.3
Jan 199363
Dec 199266.7
Nov 199266
Oct 199291
Sept 199276.8
Aug 199263.7
Jul 199262.5
Jun 199258
May 199263
Apr 199265
Mar 199262
Feb 199261
Jan 199257.7

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-132-73-retail-kg.