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Millet in Dori

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 27% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

257–403

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

235–434

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 257 and 403 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 235 and 434 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Dori: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 27% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 257 and 403 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 235 and 434 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 671); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 298–365 321 266–406 437 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 274–385 326 230–440 420 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 257–403 322 182–538 422 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 244–416 320 164–590 414 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 235–434 322 147–671 418 –
Price history (414 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026325
Aug 2026323
Jul 2026323
Jun 2026323
May 2026333
Apr 2026323
Mar 2026315
Feb 2026344
Jan 2026309
Dec 2025295
Nov 2025306
Oct 2025361
Sept 2025354
Aug 2025380
Jul 2025410
Jun 2025429
May 2025443
Apr 2025433
Mar 2025451
Feb 2025438
Jan 2025443
Dec 2024460
Nov 2024494
Oct 2024493
Sept 2024530
Aug 2024539
Jul 2024514
Jun 2024406
May 2024387
Apr 2024384
Mar 2024389
Feb 2024387
Jan 2024378
Dec 2023359
Nov 2023355
Oct 2023389
Sept 2023393
Aug 2023417
Jul 2023389
Jun 2023389
May 2023389
Apr 2023396
Mar 2023411
Feb 2023410
Jan 2023411
Dec 2022407
Nov 2022404
Oct 2022387
Sept 2022435
Aug 2022443
Jul 2022444
Jun 2022424
May 2022415
Apr 2022439
Mar 2022396
Feb 2022340
Jan 2022333
Dec 2021333
Nov 2021354
Oct 2021278
Sept 2021278
Aug 2021278
Jul 2021275
Jun 2021278
May 2021278
Apr 2021264
Mar 2021269
Feb 2021250
Jan 2021250
Dec 2020250
Nov 2020250
Oct 2020253
Sept 2020269
Aug 2020292
Jul 2020267
Jun 2020253
May 2020247
Apr 2020247
Mar 2020218
Feb 2020236
Jan 2020236
Dec 2019226
Nov 2019222
Oct 2019222
Sept 2019222
Aug 2019221
Jul 2019247
Jun 2019250
May 2019253
Apr 2019250
Mar 2019251
Feb 2019249
Jan 2019258
Dec 2018258
Nov 2018264
Oct 2018267
Sept 2018267
Aug 2018306
Jul 2018316
Jun 2018328
May 2018313
Apr 2018299
Mar 2018308
Feb 2018285
Jan 2018264
Dec 2017275
Nov 2017278
Oct 2017289
Sept 2017301
Aug 2017299
Jul 2017271
Jun 2017261
May 2017264
Apr 2017263
Mar 2017241
Feb 2017234
Jan 2017234
Dec 2016228
Nov 2016234
Oct 2016216
Sept 2016247
Aug 2016250
Jul 2016250
Jun 2016250
May 2016250
Apr 2016242
Mar 2016247
Feb 2016235
Jan 2016234
Dec 2015213
Nov 2015220
Oct 2015220
Sept 2015260
Aug 2015263
Jul 2015224
Jun 2015230
May 2015219
Apr 2015230
Mar 2015238
Feb 2015250
Jan 2015209
Dec 2014226
Nov 2014224
Oct 2014240
Sept 2014262
Jul 2014255
Jun 2014248
May 2014250
Apr 2014260
Mar 2014246
Feb 2014245
Dec 2013195
Nov 2013219
Oct 2013240
Sept 2013262
Aug 2013260
Jul 2013260
Jun 2013253
May 2013253
Mar 2013249
Feb 2013223
Jan 2013212
Dec 2012203
Nov 2012235
Oct 2012253
Sept 2012295
Aug 2012311
Jul 2012307
Jun 2012307
May 2012311
Apr 2012319
Mar 2012267
Feb 2012238
Jan 2012234
Dec 2011230
Nov 2011197
Oct 2011191
Sept 2011188
Aug 2011184
Jul 2011186
Jun 2011191
May 2011181
Apr 2011187
Mar 2011195
Feb 2011192
Jan 2011167
Dec 2010142
Nov 2010138
Oct 2010173
Sept 2010201
Aug 2010210
Jul 2010204
Jun 2010198
May 2010198
Apr 2010198
Mar 2010198
Feb 2010196
Jan 2010193
Dec 2009187
Nov 2009173
Oct 2009195
Sept 2009218
Aug 2009229
Jul 2009219
Jun 2009195
May 2009191
Apr 2009201
Mar 2009197
Feb 2009210
Jan 2009209
Dec 2008191
Nov 2008186
Oct 2008192
Sept 2008197
Aug 2008205
Jul 2008190
Jun 2008179
May 2008171
Apr 2008144
Mar 2008142
Feb 2008137
Jan 2008141
Dec 2007137
Nov 2007120
Oct 2007143
Sept 2007139
Aug 2007142
Jul 2007144
Jun 2007143
May 2007146
Apr 2007156
Mar 2007150
Feb 2007145
Jan 2007147
Dec 2006144
Nov 2006137
Oct 2006139
Sept 2006156
Aug 2006165
Jul 2006160
Jun 2006172
May 2006176
Apr 2006182
Mar 2006173
Feb 2006162
Jan 2006165
Dec 2005182
Nov 2005191
Oct 2005187
Sept 2005269
Aug 2005291
Jul 2005299
Jun 2005279
May 2005221
Apr 2005236
Mar 2005227
Feb 2005211
Jan 2005197
Dec 2004193
Nov 2004202
Oct 2004181
Sept 2004133
Aug 2004133
Jul 2004131
Jun 2004138
May 2004140
Apr 2004141
Mar 2004142
Feb 2004126
Jan 2004113
Dec 200397
Nov 2003106
Oct 2003126
Sept 2003117
Aug 2003145
Jul 2003155
Jun 2003197
May 2003186
Apr 2003193
Mar 2003204
Feb 2003191
Jan 2003190
Dec 2002186
Nov 2002159
Oct 2002196
Sept 2002224
Aug 2002239
Jul 2002235
Jun 2002202
May 2002200
Apr 2002180
Mar 2002176
Feb 2002168
Jan 2002168
Dec 2001139
Nov 2001172
Oct 2001194
Sept 2001209
Aug 2001208
Jul 2001196
Jun 2001194
May 2001204
Apr 2001203
Mar 2001195
Feb 2001161
Jan 2001142
Dec 2000140
Nov 2000134
Oct 2000118
Sept 2000126
Aug 2000116
Jul 2000111
Jun 2000113
May 2000106
Apr 2000107
Mar 2000111
Feb 2000105
Jan 2000107
Dec 1999101
Nov 1999101
Oct 1999108
Sept 1999132
Aug 1999133
Jul 1999120
Jun 1999127
May 1999136
Apr 1999136
Mar 1999136
Feb 1999142
Jan 1999114
Dec 1998105
Nov 1998167
Oct 1998145
Sept 1998208
Aug 1998221
Jul 1998209
Jun 1998195
May 1998186
Apr 1998178
Mar 1998162
Feb 1998155
Jan 1998158
Dec 1997137
Nov 1997135
Oct 1997140
Sept 1997125
Aug 1997148
Jul 1997148
Jun 1997148
May 1997137
Apr 1997111
Mar 1997124
Feb 1997133
Jan 1997143
Dec 1996143
Nov 1996142
Oct 1996164
Sept 1996194
Aug 1996200
Jul 1996186
Jun 1996179
May 1996157
Apr 1996143
Mar 1996143
Feb 1996143
Jan 1996113
Dec 199586
Nov 199586
Oct 199588
Sept 199598.8
Aug 199596.3
Jul 199588.8
Jun 199591.2
May 199588.8
Apr 199582.6
Mar 199585.2
Feb 199578
Jan 199567
Dec 199466.5
Nov 199469
Oct 199471.6
Sept 199481.3
Aug 199491.7
Jul 199492.8
Jun 199493.2
May 199490.5
Apr 199484
Mar 199476.2
Feb 199468
Jan 199466.5
Dec 199365
Nov 199367
Oct 199368.3
Sept 199375
Aug 199389.3
Jul 199378.5
Jun 199373
May 199372.3
Apr 199368.5
Mar 199371.5
Feb 199368
Jan 199365
Dec 199256
Nov 199270
Oct 199271.5
Sept 199292.5
Aug 1992100
Jul 1992100
Jun 199293.3
May 199289.2
Apr 199291
Mar 199290
Feb 199288.6
Jan 199273

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-133-73-retail-kg.