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Maize (white) in Fada N'Gourma

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

144–217

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

136–225

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 144 and 217 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 136 and 225 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Fada N'Gourma: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 53 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 144 and 217 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 136 and 225 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 180–211 195 168–218 294 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 164–215 193 153–221 283 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 144–217 188 84.8–240 267 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 137–221 187 81.7–272 265 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 136–225 189 78.6–261 269 –
Price history (279 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026196
Aug 2026195
Jul 2026195
Jun 2026190
May 2026191
Apr 2026190
Mar 2026182
Feb 2026158
Jan 2026185
Dec 2025189
Nov 2025206
Oct 2025229
Sept 2025239
Aug 2025254
Jul 2025270
Jun 2025271
May 2025274
Apr 2025270
Mar 2025269
Feb 2025265
Jan 2025258
Dec 2024251
Nov 2024264
Oct 2024287
Sept 2024315
Aug 2024312
Jul 2024304
Jun 2024253
May 2024255
Apr 2024257
Mar 2024258
Feb 2024252
Jan 2024248
Dec 2023259
Nov 2023259
Oct 2023256
Sept 2023264
Aug 2023260
Jul 2023277
Jun 2023277
May 2023275
Apr 2023263
Mar 2023270
Feb 2023275
Jan 2023268
Dec 2022264
Nov 2022255
Oct 2022282
Sept 2022299
Aug 2022309
Jul 2022326
Jun 2022302
May 2022307
Apr 2022307
Mar 2022292
Feb 2022259
Jan 2022239
Dec 2021239
Nov 2021235
Oct 2021233
Sept 2021240
Aug 2021232
Jul 2021205
Jun 2021203
May 2021203
Apr 2021203
Mar 2021191
Feb 2021186
Jan 2021186
Dec 2020179
Nov 2020170
Oct 2020189
Sept 2020181
Aug 2020170
Jul 2020153
Jun 2020153
May 2020148
Apr 2020148
Mar 2020153
Feb 2020153
Jan 2020153
Dec 2019149
Nov 2019138
Oct 2019139
Sept 2019142
Aug 2019147
Jul 2019136
Jun 2019149
May 2019169
Apr 2019169
Mar 2019169
Feb 2019169
Jan 2019169
Dec 2018169
Nov 2018169
Oct 2018179
Sept 2018187
Aug 2018190
Jul 2018203
Jun 2018203
May 2018190
Apr 2018186
Mar 2018186
Feb 2018186
Jan 2018186
Dec 2017179
Nov 2017169
Oct 2017172
Sept 2017186
Aug 2017169
Jul 2017169
Jun 2017169
May 2017169
Apr 2017155
Mar 2017139
Feb 2017135
Jan 2017131
Dec 2016125
Nov 2016148
Oct 2016166
Sept 2016169
Aug 2016169
Jul 2016169
Jun 2016169
May 2016169
Apr 2016169
Mar 2016169
Feb 2016165
Jan 2016163
Dec 2015169
Nov 2015180
Oct 2015186
Sept 2015174
Aug 2015169
Jul 2015169
Jun 2015169
May 2015156
Apr 2015138
Mar 2015141
Feb 2015142
Jan 2015148
Dec 2014152
Nov 2014138
Oct 2014144
Sept 2014147
Jul 2014142
Jun 2014145
May 2014146
Apr 2014152
Mar 2014135
Feb 2014141
Dec 2013140
Nov 2013144
Oct 2013152
Sept 2013152
Aug 2013160
Jul 2013160
Jun 2013152
May 2013152
Apr 2013152
Mar 2013154
Feb 2013154
Jan 2013156
Dec 2012146
Nov 2012137
Oct 2012177
Sept 2012210
Aug 2012203
Jul 2012199
Jun 2012186
May 2012197
Apr 2012196
Mar 2012186
Feb 2012169
Jan 2012169
Dec 2011169
Nov 2011135
Oct 2011186
Sept 2011166
Aug 2011185
Jul 2011178
Jun 2011143
May 2011135
Apr 2011128
Mar 2011121
Feb 2011130
Jan 2011131
Dec 2010122
Nov 2010116
Oct 2010129
Sept 2010142
Aug 2010149
Jul 2010135
Jun 2010131
May 2010131
Apr 2010138
Mar 2010138
Feb 2010138
Jan 2010138
Dec 2009131
Nov 2009133
Oct 2009154
Sept 2009172
Aug 2009172
Jul 2009170
Jun 2009155
May 2009153
Apr 2009151
Mar 2009155
Feb 2009155
Jan 2009151
Dec 2008125
Nov 2008119
Oct 2008137
Sept 2008210
Aug 2008197
Jul 2008179
Jun 2008163
May 2008162
Apr 2008142
Mar 200865.5
Feb 200893.8
Jan 2008125
Dec 2007116
Nov 2007137
Oct 2007131
Sept 2007104
Aug 2007103
Jul 200796.6
Jun 200783.3
May 200783.3
Apr 200793.3
Mar 200787.4
Feb 200780.6
Jan 200782.5
Dec 200688.8
Nov 200677.7
Oct 200671.3
Sept 200695.5
Aug 200698.3
Jul 2006124
Jun 2006121
May 2006126
Apr 2006118
Mar 2006114
Feb 2006112
Jan 2006125
Dec 2005120
Nov 2005110
Oct 200597.1
Sept 2005180
Aug 2005237
Mar 2005114
Feb 2005113
Jan 2005125
Dec 2004131
Nov 2004110
Oct 2004107
Sept 2004105
Aug 2004102
Jul 200491.5
Jun 200478.7
May 200474.5
Apr 200476.6
Mar 200476.6
Feb 200471.8
Jan 200466.9
Dec 200367.1
Nov 200365
Oct 200364.3
Sept 200371.4
Aug 200364.9
Jul 200376.3
Jun 200394.4
May 200392.8
Apr 200393
Mar 2003105
Feb 2003100
Jan 2003107

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-134-67-retail-kg.