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Millet in Fada N'Gourma

EST, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 24% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

234–361

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

205–379

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 205 and 379 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Fada N'Gourma: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 24% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 8% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 234 and 361 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 205 and 379 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0100200300400500202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 526); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 270–333 292 244–365 395 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 247–348 294 207–410 387 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 234–361 291 171–462 385 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 209–376 287 130–526 369 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 205–379 284 130–510 363 –
Price history (410 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026296
Aug 2026295
Jul 2026284
Jun 2026283
May 2026274
Apr 2026286
Mar 2026291
Feb 2026322
Jan 2026282
Dec 2025286
Nov 2025311
Oct 2025314
Sept 2025322
Aug 2025376
Jul 2025389
Jun 2025385
May 2025392
Apr 2025379
Mar 2025375
Feb 2025373
Jan 2025366
Dec 2024321
Nov 2024384
Oct 2024387
Sept 2024395
Aug 2024393
Jul 2024349
Jun 2024316
May 2024316
Apr 2024314
Mar 2024299
Feb 2024283
Jan 2024291
Dec 2023306
Nov 2023312
Oct 2023325
Sept 2023326
Aug 2023332
Jul 2023330
Jun 2023323
May 2023330
Apr 2023330
Mar 2023327
Feb 2023326
Jan 2023329
Dec 2022395
Nov 2022396
Oct 2022390
Sept 2022394
Aug 2022392
Jul 2022397
Jun 2022357
May 2022324
Apr 2022329
Mar 2022330
Feb 2022271
Jan 2022253
Dec 2021258
Nov 2021254
Oct 2021229
Sept 2021227
Aug 2021226
Jul 2021224
Jun 2021222
May 2021222
Apr 2021222
Mar 2021217
Feb 2021205
Jan 2021205
Dec 2020218
Nov 2020219
Oct 2020224
Sept 2020223
Aug 2020224
Jul 2020192
Jun 2020191
May 2020165
Apr 2020165
Mar 2020159
Feb 2020160
Jan 2020159
Dec 2019159
Nov 2019143
Oct 2019159
Sept 2019159
Aug 2019159
Jul 2019159
Jun 2019180
May 2019190
Apr 2019190
Mar 2019193
Feb 2019206
Jan 2019221
Dec 2018221
Nov 2018224
Oct 2018223
Sept 2018223
Aug 2018239
Jul 2018238
Jun 2018238
May 2018230
Apr 2018223
Mar 2018223
Feb 2018223
Jan 2018207
Dec 2017223
Nov 2017223
Oct 2017217
Sept 2017239
Aug 2017235
Jul 2017169
Jun 2017223
May 2017201
Apr 2017194
Mar 2017191
Feb 2017171
Jan 2017155
Dec 2016137
Nov 2016175
Oct 2016178
Sept 2016191
Aug 2016175
Jul 2016172
Jun 2016175
May 2016172
Apr 2016159
Mar 2016159
Feb 2016159
Jan 2016159
Dec 2015175
Nov 2015169
Oct 2015180
Sept 2015191
Aug 2015191
Jul 2015191
Jun 2015191
May 2015175
Apr 2015170
Mar 2015166
Feb 2015187
Jan 2015174
Dec 2014206
Nov 2014201
Oct 2014201
Sept 2014201
Jul 2014201
Jun 2014201
May 2014185
Apr 2014200
Mar 2014188
Feb 2014189
Dec 2013165
Nov 2013200
Oct 2013196
Sept 2013200
Aug 2013200
Jul 2013200
Jun 2013200
May 2013200
Mar 2013200
Feb 2013200
Jan 2013205
Dec 2012206
Nov 2012252
Oct 2012254
Sept 2012246
Aug 2012240
Jul 2012233
Jun 2012233
May 2012233
Apr 2012233
Mar 2012213
Feb 2012187
Jan 2012183
Dec 2011170
Nov 2011150
Oct 2011150
Sept 2011143
Aug 2011156
Jul 2011156
Jun 2011145
May 2011149
Apr 2011144
Mar 2011136
Feb 2011155
Jan 2011150
Dec 2010143
Nov 2010141
Oct 2010148
Sept 2010161
Aug 2010177
Jul 2010164
Jun 2010152
May 2010145
Apr 2010152
Mar 2010142
Feb 2010152
Jan 2010147
Dec 2009138
Nov 2009145
Oct 2009135
Sept 2009173
Aug 2009174
Jul 2009179
Jun 2009148
May 2009153
Apr 2009157
Mar 2009161
Feb 2009161
Jan 2009154
Dec 2008135
Nov 2008207
Oct 2008184
Sept 2008214
Aug 2008199
Jul 2008177
Jun 2008164
May 2008170
Apr 2008144
Mar 2008128
Feb 2008125
Jan 2008129
Dec 2007120
Nov 2007143
Oct 2007136
Sept 2007114
Aug 2007110
Jul 2007108
Jun 200792.9
May 2007104
Apr 2007113
Mar 2007106
Feb 200794.2
Jan 200791.7
Dec 200696.2
Nov 200687.4
Oct 200686
Sept 2006107
Aug 2006113
Jul 2006130
Jun 2006126
May 2006138
Apr 2006125
Mar 2006120
Feb 2006113
Jan 2006114
Dec 2005138
Nov 2005146
Oct 2005210
Sept 2005202
Aug 2005241
Mar 2005120
Feb 2005117
Jan 2005114
Dec 2004129
Nov 2004105
Oct 2004126
Sept 2004108
Aug 200498.8
Jul 200494.4
Jun 200489.1
May 200489.1
Apr 200489.1
Mar 200489.1
Feb 200475.7
Jan 200473.3
Dec 200377.7
Nov 200375.7
Oct 200378.1
Sept 200391.1
Aug 200386.8
Jul 200393.1
Jun 2003110
May 2003108
Apr 2003113
Mar 2003116
Feb 2003113
Jan 2003108
Dec 2002106
Nov 2002127
Oct 2002131
Sept 2002160
Aug 2002161
Jul 2002185
Jun 2002160
May 2002156
Apr 2002156
Mar 2002134
Feb 2002128
Jan 2002125
Dec 2001109
Nov 2001139
Oct 2001130
Sept 2001162
Aug 2001167
Jul 2001169
Jun 2001152
May 2001138
Apr 2001138
Mar 2001134
Feb 200199.1
Jan 200193.6
Dec 2000112
Nov 200090.5
Oct 200082.8
Sept 200087
Aug 200083.5
Jul 200084.9
Jun 200079.2
May 200076.9
Apr 200068.8
Mar 200069.5
Feb 200061.5
Jan 200060
Dec 199979.1
Nov 199978.8
Oct 199975.6
Sept 199986.3
Aug 199999.6
Jul 1999102
Jun 199993.2
May 199994.9
Apr 1999100
Mar 1999110
Feb 1999106
Jan 1999102
Dec 199896.5
Nov 1998126
Oct 1998178
Sept 1998186
Aug 1998194
Jul 1998190
Jun 1998176
May 1998158
Apr 1998156
Mar 1998164
Feb 1998131
Jan 1998133
Dec 1997118
Nov 1997108
Oct 1997107
Sept 1997104
Aug 1997104
Jul 1997110
Jun 1997104
May 199795.5
Apr 1997102
Mar 1997104
Feb 1997105
Jan 1997110
Dec 1996102
Nov 1996104
Oct 1996109
Sept 1996114
Aug 1996135
Jul 1996114
Jun 1996111
May 199698.6
Apr 199692.5
Mar 199688
Feb 199695.2
Jan 199679
Dec 199579
Nov 199592.2
Oct 199596.6
Sept 1995105
Aug 199599.3
Jul 199590.4
Jun 199579
May 199579
Apr 199576.4
Mar 199579
Feb 199579
Jan 199577
Dec 199469
Nov 199461
Oct 199453
Sept 199454
Aug 199458.8
Jul 199459.2
Jun 199455
May 199455
Apr 199454.6
Mar 199457.2
Feb 199452.2
Jan 199443
Dec 199339.5
Nov 199353
Oct 199350.8
Sept 199359.7
Aug 199363.2
Jul 199366.8
Jun 199359
May 199353
Apr 199353
Mar 199353
Feb 199353
Jan 199355.2
Dec 199253
Nov 199265.7
Oct 199270
Sept 199276
Aug 199283.5
Jul 199292.5
Jun 199281.5
May 199274.5
Apr 199274.5
Mar 199281
Feb 199277.6
Jan 199270.2

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-134-73-retail-kg.