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Millet in Gorom Gorom

SAHEL, Burkina Faso · XOF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

272–429

XOF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

251–469

XOF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 272 and 429 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 251 and 469 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Millet, Gorom Gorom: XOF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 5% over the 3 months before. For millet, across 60 markets in Burkina Faso, the median price was about stable. November 2026: most likely between 272 and 429 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 251 and 469 XOF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).0200400600202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

XOF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 776); see the table.

Forecast table (XOF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 318–390 345 274–444 444 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 296–412 349 227–513 428 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 272–429 344 170–616 425 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 256–453 343 143–696 430 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 251–469 345 150–776 425 –
Price history (413 months, latest first)
Observed prices (XOF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 2026358
Aug 2026346
Jul 2026341
Jun 2026335
May 2026364
Apr 2026332
Mar 2026337
Feb 2026368
Jan 2026378
Dec 2025376
Nov 2025389
Oct 2025383
Sept 2025405
Aug 2025462
Jul 2025441
Jun 2025509
May 2025500
Apr 2025502
Mar 2025519
Jan 2025463
Dec 2024439
Nov 2024392
Oct 2024450
Sept 2024459
Aug 2024499
Jul 2024456
Jun 2024398
May 2024390
Apr 2024387
Mar 2024396
Feb 2024405
Jan 2024392
Dec 2023372
Nov 2023385
Oct 2023395
Sept 2023406
Aug 2023395
Jul 2023400
Jun 2023472
May 2023382
Apr 2023366
Mar 2023360
Feb 2023373
Jan 2023361
Dec 2022357
Nov 2022313
Oct 2022365
Sept 2022413
Aug 2022399
Jul 2022433
Jun 2022431
May 2022431
Apr 2022429
Mar 2022363
Feb 2022295
Jan 2022306
Dec 2021312
Nov 2021267
Oct 2021281
Sept 2021269
Aug 2021260
Jul 2021280
Jun 2021270
May 2021270
Apr 2021270
Mar 2021247
Feb 2021243
Jan 2021243
Dec 2020265
Nov 2020270
Oct 2020270
Sept 2020284
Aug 2020284
Jul 2020297
Jun 2020254
May 2020239
Apr 2020239
Mar 2020241
Feb 2020215
Jan 2020222
Dec 2019238
Nov 2019283
Oct 2019225
Sept 2019243
Aug 2019245
Jul 2019243
Jun 2019258
May 2019245
Apr 2019283
Mar 2019264
Feb 2019268
Jan 2019289
Dec 2018289
Nov 2018278
Oct 2018278
Sept 2018278
Aug 2018333
Jul 2018343
Jun 2018340
May 2018306
Apr 2018292
Mar 2018278
Feb 2018278
Jan 2018299
Dec 2017313
Nov 2017340
Oct 2017328
Sept 2017339
Aug 2017333
Jul 2017264
Jun 2017258
May 2017259
Apr 2017253
Mar 2017250
Feb 2017250
Jan 2017250
Dec 2016256
Nov 2016247
Oct 2016247
Sept 2016249
Aug 2016250
Jul 2016253
Jun 2016259
May 2016250
Apr 2016264
Mar 2016258
Feb 2016253
Jan 2016229
Dec 2015230
Nov 2015230
Oct 2015220
Sept 2015242
Aug 2015242
Jul 2015237
Jun 2015236
May 2015236
Apr 2015230
Mar 2015237
Feb 2015228
Jan 2015243
Dec 2014230
Nov 2014230
Oct 2014224
Sept 2014253
Jul 2014252
Jun 2014237
May 2014245
Apr 2014279
Mar 2014265
Feb 2014258
Dec 2013232
Nov 2013253
Oct 2013296
Sept 2013295
Aug 2013274
Jul 2013304
Jun 2013288
May 2013297
Mar 2013250
Feb 2013237
Jan 2013262
Dec 2012318
Nov 2012295
Oct 2012326
Sept 2012336
Aug 2012350
Jul 2012350
Jun 2012348
May 2012296
Apr 2012250
Mar 2012250
Feb 2012250
Jan 2012250
Dec 2011250
Nov 2011206
Oct 2011204
Sept 2011217
Aug 2011217
Jul 2011217
Jun 2011217
May 2011219
Apr 2011211
Mar 2011211
Feb 2011179
Jan 2011179
Dec 2010186
Nov 2010199
Oct 2010214
Sept 2010230
Aug 2010230
Jul 2010225
Jun 2010206
May 2010206
Apr 2010206
Mar 2010206
Feb 2010206
Jan 2010206
Dec 2009199
Nov 2009211
Oct 2009197
Sept 2009249
Aug 2009276
Jul 2009249
Jun 2009225
May 2009207
Apr 2009195
Mar 2009191
Feb 2009195
Jan 2009194
Dec 2008191
Nov 2008214
Oct 2008211
Sept 2008232
Aug 2008219
Jul 2008213
Jun 2008197
May 2008199
Apr 2008183
Mar 2008166
Feb 2008160
Jan 2008145
Dec 2007134
Nov 2007137
Oct 2007151
Sept 2007153
Aug 2007147
Jul 2007151
Jun 2007158
May 2007158
Apr 2007166
Mar 2007151
Feb 2007151
Jan 2007150
Dec 2006150
Nov 2006150
Oct 2006149
Sept 2006163
Aug 2006174
Jul 2006179
Jun 2006179
May 2006185
Apr 2006186
Mar 2006150
Feb 2006163
Jan 2006163
Dec 2005165
Nov 2005106
Oct 2005176
Sept 2005236
Aug 2005235
Jul 2005263
Jun 2005231
May 2005207
Apr 2005202
Mar 2005197
Feb 2005179
Jan 2005169
Dec 2004182
Nov 2004180
Oct 2004170
Sept 2004137
Aug 2004135
Jul 2004131
Jun 2004156
May 2004180
Apr 2004165
Mar 2004138
Feb 2004114
Jan 2004106
Dec 2003118
Nov 2003113
Oct 2003131
Sept 2003139
Aug 2003148
Jul 2003160
Jun 2003168
May 2003185
Apr 2003173
Mar 2003171
Feb 2003163
Jan 2003176
Dec 2002172
Nov 2002169
Oct 2002176
Sept 2002196
Aug 2002216
Jul 2002216
Jun 2002199
May 2002197
Apr 2002190
Mar 2002181
Feb 2002177
Jan 2002173
Dec 2001140
Nov 2001148
Oct 2001191
Sept 2001205
Aug 2001223
Jul 2001193
Jun 2001202
May 2001194
Apr 2001196
Mar 2001181
Feb 2001141
Jan 2001137
Dec 2000134
Nov 2000122
Oct 2000133
Sept 2000124
Aug 2000123
Jul 2000130
Jun 2000124
May 2000115
Apr 2000119
Mar 2000123
Feb 2000120
Jan 2000127
Dec 1999127
Nov 1999119
Oct 1999117
Sept 1999128
Aug 1999135
Jul 1999130
Jun 1999119
May 1999127
Apr 1999130
Mar 1999127
Feb 1999124
Jan 1999126
Dec 1998124
Nov 1998118
Oct 1998167
Sept 1998226
Aug 1998247
Jul 1998207
Jun 1998193
May 1998206
Apr 1998181
Mar 1998165
Feb 1998158
Jan 1998160
Dec 1997145
Nov 1997149
Oct 1997126
Sept 1997137
Aug 1997156
Jul 1997154
Jun 1997144
May 1997134
Apr 1997135
Mar 1997144
Feb 1997144
Jan 1997145
Dec 1996134
Nov 1996115
Oct 1996142
Sept 1996211
Aug 1996192
Jul 1996148
Jun 1996130
May 1996143
Apr 1996130
Mar 1996130
Feb 1996113
Jan 1996117
Dec 199596.5
Nov 199578
Oct 199592.6
Sept 1995102
Aug 199599
Jul 199591.4
Jun 199592.5
May 199592.2
Apr 199594.5
Mar 199592.5
Feb 199587.3
Jan 199566
Dec 199471.5
Nov 199471
Oct 199475.4
Sept 199483.5
Aug 1994100
Jul 199488.5
Jun 199490.2
May 199489
Apr 199488.4
Mar 199488
Feb 199472.5
Jan 199466.5
Dec 199363
Nov 199360.2
Oct 199386
Sept 199369
Aug 199385
Jul 199385
Jun 199376
May 199371.7
Apr 199371.8
Mar 199369.2
Feb 199374.5
Jan 199371.7
Dec 199274.8
Nov 199272
Oct 199273.3
Sept 199290.5
Aug 1992103
Jul 199297.3
Jun 199285.5
May 199287.3
Apr 199289
Mar 199290
Feb 199283.2
Jan 199275.8

Track record in Burkina Faso

How past forecasts for Burkina Faso did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burkina Faso
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 82% 96% 4% better than the base rate 12,122
Estimate (this month) 81% 95% 7% better than the base rate 12,073
Next month 81% 95% 9% better than the base rate 12,034
In 2 months 81% 94% 12% worse than the base rate 12,001
In 3 months 81% 94% 14% worse than the base rate 11,975

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burkina-faso-135-73-retail-kg.